Austin, Texas: Diversifying Metro market. In 2024, voted D+14%. Democratic peak: D+81 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,588,6062024 5-year
- Median household income
- $99,0392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 31.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 56.0% | 653,331 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 41.9% | 488,561 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.1% | 24,191 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +56.8% |
| 1916 | +40.9% |
| 1920 | +25.6% |
| 1924 | +53.0% |
| 1928 | +11.9% |
| 1932 | +80.7% |
| 1936 | +72.0% |
| 1940 | +47.0% |
| 1944 | +43.9% |
| 1948 | +45.3% |
| 1952 | −3.8% |
| 1956 | −5.4% |
| 1960 | +14.4% |
| 1964 | +41.1% |
| 1968 | +7.6% |
| 1972 | −19.5% |
| 1976 | +6.5% |
| 1980 | −3.8% |
| 1984 | −21.4% |
| 1988 | +2.4% |
| 1992 | +7.5% |
| 1996 | +1.9% |
| 2000 | −18.2% |
| 2004 | −5.2% |
| 2008 | +8.8% |
| 2012 | +1.5% |
| 2016 | +13.2% |
| 2020 | +20.7% |
| 2024 | +14.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 653,331 | 488,561 | 1,166,083 | ||
| D | 679,384 | 442,513 | 1,145,887 | ||
| D | 454,340 | 341,220 | 854,725 | ||
| D | 347,953 | 337,448 | 708,083 | ||
| D | 383,690 | 320,625 | 715,746 | ||
| R | 290,244 | 322,474 | 623,166 | ||
| R | 187,063 | 280,135 | 511,518 | ||
| D | 190,643 | 183,035 | 406,929 | ||
| D | 184,749 | 152,133 | 432,748 | ||
| D | 187,372 | 178,548 | 369,367 | ||
| R | 130,165 | 201,175 | 332,401 | ||
| R | 111,926 | 121,292 | 248,211 | ||
| D | 117,921 | 103,307 | 224,460 | ||
| R | 71,579 | 106,395 | 178,877 | ||
| D | 62,496 | 52,423 | 131,720 | ||
| D | 76,988 | 32,069 | 109,165 | ||
| D | 50,896 | 38,063 | 89,249 | ||
| R | 38,576 | 43,009 | 81,812 | ||
| R | 40,352 | 43,564 | 84,002 | ||
| D | 43,202 | 15,187 | 61,834 | ||
| D | 35,884 | 11,858 | 54,723 | ||
| D | 41,421 | 14,885 | 56,427 | ||
| D | 34,184 | 5,437 | 39,945 | ||
| D | 41,369 | 4,346 | 45,895 | ||
| D | 19,302 | 15,189 | 34,530 | ||
| D | 29,805 | 7,472 | 42,117 | ||
| D | 14,592 | 6,786 | 30,438 | ||
| D | 15,450 | 6,334 | 22,275 | ||
| D | 12,763 | 2,252 | 18,518 | ||
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Demographics
Rapid in-migration from coastal metros has accelerated demographic change across the Austin DMA, compressing margins in once-reliable suburban territory and making the market one of the most closely watched bellwethers in statewide Texas races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eighty-one points in 1932 and a Republican high of twenty-one points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fourteen points.
A population of 2,588,606, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,039 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Austin, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/635/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.