Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado: Realigning Affluent Suburb market. In 2024, voted R+26%. Democratic peak: D+68 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
- Population
- 202,4082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,3252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1980MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 61.9% | 72,543 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 35.8% | 41,927 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.4% | 2,776 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | −15.8% |
| 1888 | −10.6% |
| 1892 | −39.5% |
| 1896 | +67.8% |
| 1900 | +19.2% |
| 1904 | −22.1% |
| 1908 | +0.4% |
| 1912 | +22.5% |
| 1916 | +29.6% |
| 1920 | −10.5% |
| 1924 | −18.6% |
| 1928 | −34.1% |
| 1932 | +16.9% |
| 1936 | +27.3% |
| 1940 | −0.4% |
| 1944 | −2.5% |
| 1948 | +9.3% |
| 1952 | −28.7% |
| 1956 | −25.5% |
| 1960 | −17.6% |
| 1964 | +20.6% |
| 1968 | −11.0% |
| 1972 | −40.0% |
| 1976 | −30.3% |
| 1980 | −45.9% |
| 1984 | −40.9% |
| 1988 | −21.3% |
| 1992 | −7.4% |
| 1996 | −17.6% |
| 2000 | −33.9% |
| 2004 | −36.4% |
| 2008 | −29.6% |
| 2012 | −33.3% |
| 2016 | −37.4% |
| 2020 | −29.8% |
| 2024 | −26.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 41,927 | 72,543 | 117,246 | ||
| R | 39,220 | 73,658 | 115,535 | ||
| R | 27,195 | 64,161 | 98,840 | ||
| R | 29,984 | 61,024 | 93,077 | ||
| R | 30,503 | 56,777 | 88,784 | ||
| R | 24,340 | 52,757 | 78,104 | ||
| R | 19,506 | 41,662 | 65,269 | ||
| R | 21,133 | 31,491 | 58,851 | ||
| R | 18,875 | 23,016 | 55,790 | ||
| R | 18,120 | 28,162 | 47,148 | ||
| R | 12,802 | 30,898 | 44,247 | ||
| R | 9,781 | 29,371 | 42,716 | ||
| R | 11,971 | 22,762 | 35,672 | ||
| R | 8,228 | 20,098 | 29,672 | ||
| R | 11,169 | 14,292 | 28,383 | ||
| D | 16,725 | 10,995 | 27,791 | ||
| R | 11,933 | 17,055 | 29,057 | ||
| R | 10,028 | 16,923 | 27,030 | ||
| R | 8,920 | 16,162 | 25,216 | ||
| D | 10,945 | 9,059 | 20,301 | ||
| R | 9,128 | 9,605 | 18,835 | ||
| R | 10,707 | 10,793 | 21,767 | ||
| D | 10,762 | 5,902 | 17,824 | ||
| D | 9,198 | 6,380 | 16,665 | ||
| R | 4,520 | 9,319 | 14,073 | ||
| R | 3,627 | 6,130 | 13,435 | ||
| R | 4,660 | 5,846 | 11,329 | ||
| D | 6,965 | 3,538 | 11,574 | ||
| O | 4,211 | 1,607 | 11,576 | ||
| D | 4,285 | 4,242 | 9,877 | ||
| R | 2,477 | 4,089 | 7,294 | ||
| D | 3,006 | 1,975 | 5,368 | ||
| D | 3,722 | 651 | 4,530 | ||
| O | 0 | 830 | 2,100 | ||
| R | 760 | 952 | 1,809 | ||
| R | 559 | 773 | 1,357 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Anchored by Mesa County, this oil-and-gas-dependent market consistently produces some of Colorado's widest Republican margins, making it a reliable counterweight to the Front Range in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty-eight points in 1896 and a Republican high of forty-six points in 1980. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved four points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-six points.
A population of 202,408, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,325 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/773/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.