akashic
1876–2024
Arkansas·Arkansas

Arkansas has voted Republican in seven straight presidential elections — R+31 in 2024.

18762024·38 elections
AR
LatestR+31in 2024
Typologycluster typology
Population3,049,3912024 ACS

Arkansas: state. In 2024, voted R+31%. Democratic peak: D+74 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+31MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Akashic typology
Population
3,049,3912024 5-year
Median household income
$60,7732024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.1%2024 5-year
Black
14.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+74 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+38 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Arkansas
TrumpR+31
2024 presidential margin by county for Arkansas, ARA map of the constituent counties of Arkansas, AR, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Arkansas County, AR · R+44Ashley County, AR · R+48Baxter County, AR · R+57Boone County, AR · R+65Bradley County, AR · R+39Calhoun County, AR · R+62Carroll County, AR · R+32Chicot County, AR · D+4Clark County, AR · R+20Clay County, AR · R+62Cleburne County, AR · R+68Cleveland County, AR · R+68Columbia County, AR · R+37Conway County, AR · R+40Craighead County, AR · R+37Crawford County, AR · R+58Crittenden County, AR · D+2Cross County, AR · R+48Dallas County, AR · R+29Desha County, AR · R+5Drew County, AR · R+34Faulkner County, AR · R+32Franklin County, AR · R+62Fulton County, AR · R+62Garland County, AR · R+36Grant County, AR · R+69Greene County, AR · R+61Hempstead County, AR · R+40Hot Spring County, AR · R+52Howard County, AR · R+47Independence County, AR · R+59Izard County, AR · R+66Jackson County, AR · R+49Jefferson County, AR · D+20Johnson County, AR · R+51Lafayette County, AR · R+38Lawrence County, AR · R+64Lee County, AR · D+4Lincoln County, AR · R+50Little River County, AR · R+54Logan County, AR · R+62Lonoke County, AR · R+54Madison County, AR · R+59Marion County, AR · R+60Miller County, AR · R+51Mississippi County, AR · R+32Monroe County, AR · R+16Montgomery County, AR · R+63Nevada County, AR · R+40Newton County, AR · R+64Ouachita County, AR · R+19Perry County, AR · R+58Phillips County, AR · D+13Pike County, AR · R+73Poinsett County, AR · R+64Polk County, AR · R+70Pope County, AR · R+52Prairie County, AR · R+66Randolph County, AR · R+64St. Francis County, AR · D+1Saline County, AR · R+40Scott County, AR · R+74Searcy County, AR · R+72Sebastian County, AR · R+38Sevier County, AR · R+62Sharp County, AR · R+63Stone County, AR · R+62Union County, AR · R+34Van Buren County, AR · R+60White County, AR · R+61Woodruff County, AR · R+32Yell County, AR · R+61Benton County, AR · R+27Pulaski County, AR · D+22Washington County, AR · R+7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican64.2%759,241
Kamala HarrisDemocratic33.6%396,905
OtherAll other candidates2.2%26,530
D+60
R+60
75 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −30.6% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−30.6%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+27.6%
1896+48.6%
1900+28.5%
1904+15.2%
1908+20.3%
1912+35.9%
1916+40.9%
1920+18.9%
1924+31.9%
1928+20.9%
1932+73.9%
1936+63.9%
1940+57.4%
1944+40.1%
1948+40.7%
1952+12.1%
1956+6.6%
1960+7.1%
1964+12.7%
1968−0.4%
1972−38.1%
1976+30.0%
1980−0.6%
1984−22.2%
1988−14.2%
1992+17.7%
1996+16.9%
2000−5.4%
2004−9.8%
2008−19.9%
2012−23.7%
2016−27.8%
2020−27.6%
2024−30.6%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−30.6%
396,905759,2411,182,676
R
−27.6%
423,932760,6471,219,069
R
−27.8%
380,494684,8721,095,195
R
−23.7%
394,409647,7441,069,468
R
−19.9%
422,310638,0171,086,617
R
−9.8%
469,953572,8981,054,945
R
−5.4%
422,768472,940921,781
D
+16.9%
475,171325,416884,262
D
+17.7%
505,823337,324950,653
R
−14.2%
349,237466,578827,738
R
−22.2%
338,646534,774884,406
R
−0.6%
398,041403,164837,582
D
+30.0%
499,614268,753769,396
R
−38.1%
198,899445,751647,666
O
−0.4%
188,228190,759619,969
D
+12.7%
314,197243,264560,426
D
+7.1%
215,049184,508428,509
D
+6.6%
213,277186,287406,572
D
+12.1%
226,300177,155404,800
D
+40.7%
149,65950,959242,475
D
+40.1%
148,96563,551212,954
D
+57.4%
157,21342,122200,429
D
+63.9%
146,76532,049179,431
D
+73.9%
189,52927,465219,269
D
+20.9%
119,19677,784197,726
D
+31.9%
84,79040,583138,540
D
+18.9%
106,68271,948183,771
D
+40.9%
112,28247,135159,417
D
+35.9%
68,87624,675123,036
D
+20.3%
87,52056,624152,335
D
+15.2%
64,43446,760116,358
D
+28.5%
81,24244,800127,966
D
+48.6%
110,10337,512149,396
D
+27.6%
87,83446,983148,028
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R31.1%65.7%901,306
2020R0.0%66.5%1,193,261
2016R36.2%59.8%1,107,522
2014R39.4%56.5%847,505
2010R36.9%57.9%779,957
2008D79.5%0.0%1,011,754
2004D55.9%44.1%1,039,349
2002D53.9%46.1%804,121
1998D55.1%42.2%700,831
1996R47.3%52.7%846,183
1992D60.2%39.8%920,008
1990D99.8%0.0%494,735
1986D62.3%37.7%695,487
1984D57.3%42.7%875,956
1980D59.1%40.9%808,812
1978D76.5%16.3%517,138

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.3%
German
9.2%
Irish
8.9%
American
7.5%
Scottish
1.8%
French
1.4%
Italian
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.7%
speak English only
Spanish6.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other Indo-European0.8%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
27.0%
Other Christian
13.7%
Methodist
5.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.1%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arkansas sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of seventy-four points in 1932 and a Republican high of thirty-eight points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the state moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-one points.

A population of 3,049,391, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,773 describe the state.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/AR/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas voted Republican by 30.6 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,182,676 votes cast, 396,905 went Democratic and 759,241 went Republican.
What is Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Arkansas in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 11 times, and other 1 times.
When did Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Arkansas?
Arkansas has a population of 3,049,391 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas?
Median household income in Arkansas is $60,773 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The state's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.