Arizona — Elections 1876–2024

Arizona: state. In 2024, voted R+6%. Democratic peak: D+43 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+6MIT Election Lab
Political typology: Akashic typology
Population: 7,378,8382024 5-year
Median household income: $79,9642024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 59.0%2024 5-year
Black: 4.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 31.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+43 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+34 in 1984MIT Election Lab

2024 presidential election

Arizona

TrumpR+6

—

How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Donald Trump ✓Republican	52.1%	1,770,242
Kamala HarrisDemocratic	46.6%	1,582,860
OtherAll other candidates	1.4%	47,172

D+60

R+60

15 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1876–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1876	No data
1880	No data
1884	No data
1888	No data
1892	No data
1896	No data
1900	No data
1904	No data
1908	No data
1912	+30.8%
1916	+21.8%
1920	−11.2%
1924	−5.8%
1928	−15.3%
1932	+36.5%
1936	+42.9%
1940	+27.5%
1944	+17.9%
1948	+10.0%
1952	−16.7%
1956	−22.1%
1960	−11.1%
1964	−0.8%
1968	−19.8%
1972	−31.3%
1976	−16.6%
1980	−32.4%
1984	−33.9%
1988	−21.2%
1992	−2.0%
1996	+2.2%
2000	−6.3%
2004	−10.5%
2008	−8.5%
2012	−9.0%
2016	−3.5%
2020	+0.3%
2024	−5.5%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−5.5%	1,582,860	1,770,242	3,400,274
2020	D	+0.3%	1,672,143	1,661,686	3,397,388
2016	R	−3.5%	1,161,167	1,252,401	2,604,657
2012	R	−9.0%	1,025,232	1,233,654	2,306,559
2008	R	−8.5%	1,034,707	1,230,111	2,293,475
2004	R	−10.5%	893,524	1,104,294	2,016,102
2000	R	−6.3%	685,341	781,652	1,534,113
1996	D	+2.2%	653,288	622,073	1,404,405
1992	R	−2.0%	543,050	572,086	1,487,006
1988	R	−21.2%	454,029	702,541	1,171,873
1984	R	−33.9%	333,854	681,416	1,025,897
1980	R	−32.4%	246,843	529,688	873,945
1976	R	−16.6%	295,602	418,642	742,719
1972	R	−31.3%	198,540	402,812	653,505
1968	R	−19.8%	170,514	266,721	486,936
1964	R	−0.8%	237,461	241,420	479,362
1960	R	−11.1%	176,408	220,742	397,616
1956	R	−22.1%	112,880	176,990	290,173
1952	R	−16.7%	108,528	152,042	260,570
1948	D	+10.0%	95,251	77,597	177,065
1944	D	+17.9%	80,926	56,287	137,634
1940	D	+27.5%	95,267	54,030	150,039
1936	D	+42.9%	86,722	33,433	124,163
1932	D	+36.5%	79,264	36,104	118,251
1928	R	−15.3%	38,537	52,533	91,254
1924	R	−5.8%	26,235	30,516	73,691
1920	R	−11.2%	29,546	37,016	66,562
1916	D	+21.8%	33,170	20,524	57,921
1912	O	+30.8%	10,324	3,021	23,722
1908	—	No data	—	—	—
1904	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 18 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	D	50.1%	47.7%	3,347,964
2022	D	51.4%	46.5%	2,572,294
2020	D	51.2%	48.8%	3,355,307
2018	D	50.0%	47.6%	2,384,308
2016	R	40.7%	53.7%	2,530,730
2012	R	46.2%	49.2%	2,243,422
2010	R	34.7%	58.9%	1,708,484
2006	R	43.5%	53.3%	1,526,782
2004	R	20.6%	76.7%	1,961,677
2000	R	0.0%	79.3%	1,397,076
1998	R	27.2%	68.7%	1,013,280
1994	R	39.5%	53.7%	1,119,060
1992	R	31.6%	55.8%	1,382,051
1988	D	56.7%	41.1%	1,164,539
1986	R	39.5%	60.5%	862,921
1982	D	56.9%	40.3%	723,885
1980	R	48.4%	49.5%	874,238
1976	D	54.0%	43.3%	741,210

Demographics

2024 ACS

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

12.6%

English

10.2%

Irish

8.9%

Italian

4.1%

American

4.0%

Polish

1.9%

French

1.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

2024 ACS

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 39.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.1%

2.9%

75–84

3.3%

5.0%

65–74

5.8%

55–64

6.2%

5.8%

45–54

5.8%

6.5%

35–44

6.2%

7.2%

25–34

6.7%

4.9%

18–24

4.6%

8.3%

5–17

7.9%

2.8%

2.7%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Median household income

Inflation-adjusted dollars

$79,964

Arizona ranks near the middle of US counties.

Arizona$79,964

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

12.5%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1816.3%

Working age (18–64)11.6%

Seniors (65+)10.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

74.2%

speak English only

Spanish19.3%

Other languages2.3%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%

Other Indo-European2.0%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

2020 religion census

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

21.5%

Other Christian

14.3%

Non-Christian

2.6%

Mainline Protestant

1.7%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.7%

Baptist

1.6%

Methodist

0.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arizona sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-three points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-four points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the state moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was six points.

A population of 7,378,838, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,964 describe the state.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/AZ/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Arizona vote in 2024?

In 2024, Arizona voted Republican by 5.5 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,400,274 votes cast, 1,582,860 went Democratic and 1,770,242 went Republican.

What is Arizona's political typology?

Akashic places Arizona in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 20 times, and other 1 times.

When did Arizona last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Arizona voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Arizona?

Arizona has a population of 7,378,838 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Arizona?

Median household income in Arizona is $79,964 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.

What is the political history of Arizona?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The state's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.

Pima County, AZ	D +10,653
Yuma County, AZ	R +9,419
Pinal County, AZ	R +9,260

Arizona moved 6 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions