akashic
1876–2024
Montana·Montana

Montana has voted Republican in eight straight presidential elections — R+20 in 2024.

18762024·38 elections
MT
LatestR+20in 2024
Typologycluster typology
Population1,116,8752024 ACS

Montana: state. In 2024, voted R+20%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+20MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Akashic typology
Population
1,116,8752024 5-year
Median household income
$72,5092024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.0%2024 5-year
Black
0.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+60 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+29 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Montana
TrumpR+20
2024 presidential margin by county for Montana, MTA map of the constituent counties of Montana, MT, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Beaverhead County, MT · R+43Big Horn County, MT · R+2Blaine County, MT · R+6Broadwater County, MT · R+60Carbon County, MT · R+32Carter County, MT · R+80Chouteau County, MT · R+32Custer County, MT · R+49Daniels County, MT · R+66Dawson County, MT · R+59Deer Lodge County, MT · D+1Fallon County, MT · R+76Fergus County, MT · R+51Flathead County, MT · R+34Gallatin County, MT · D+3Garfield County, MT · R+90Glacier County, MT · D+20Golden Valley County, MT · R+72Granite County, MT · R+44Hill County, MT · R+18Jefferson County, MT · R+37Judith Basin County, MT · R+58Lake County, MT · R+20Lewis and Clark County, MT · R+6Liberty County, MT · R+54Lincoln County, MT · R+53McCone County, MT · R+74Madison County, MT · R+45Meagher County, MT · R+54Mineral County, MT · R+48Missoula County, MT · D+21Musselshell County, MT · R+72Park County, MT · R+8Petroleum County, MT · R+76Phillips County, MT · R+62Pondera County, MT · R+42Powder River County, MT · R+75Powell County, MT · R+54Prairie County, MT · R+62Ravalli County, MT · R+41Richland County, MT · R+68Roosevelt County, MT · R+10Rosebud County, MT · R+37Sanders County, MT · R+55Sheridan County, MT · R+42Stillwater County, MT · R+62Sweet Grass County, MT · R+53Teton County, MT · R+45Toole County, MT · R+57Treasure County, MT · R+70Valley County, MT · R+51Wheatland County, MT · R+58Wibaux County, MT · R+72Cascade County, MT · R+22Silver Bow County, MT · D+7Yellowstone County, MT · R+27
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican58.4%352,001
Kamala HarrisDemocratic38.5%231,856
OtherAll other candidates3.1%18,975
D+60
R+60
56 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −19.9% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−19.9%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−2.9%
1896+60.2%
1900+18.5%
1904−20.4%
1908−4.4%
1912+11.8%
1916+19.3%
1920−29.1%
1924−23.1%
1928−17.9%
1932+22.7%
1936+41.7%
1940+18.6%
1944+9.4%
1948+9.9%
1952−19.3%
1956−14.3%
1960−2.5%
1964+18.4%
1968−9.0%
1972−20.1%
1976−7.4%
1980−24.4%
1984−22.3%
1988−5.9%
1992+2.5%
1996−2.9%
2000−25.1%
2004−20.5%
2008−2.4%
2012−13.6%
2016−20.2%
2020−16.4%
2024−19.9%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−19.9%
231,856352,001602,832
R
−16.4%
244,786343,602603,640
R
−20.2%
177,709279,240501,822
R
−13.6%
201,839267,928484,484
R
−2.4%
232,159243,882491,768
R
−20.5%
173,710266,063450,445
R
−25.1%
137,126240,178410,986
R
−2.9%
167,922179,652407,083
D
+2.5%
154,507144,207410,583
R
−5.9%
168,936190,412365,674
R
−22.3%
146,742232,450384,377
R
−24.4%
118,032206,814363,952
R
−7.4%
149,259173,703328,734
R
−20.1%
120,197183,976317,603
R
−9.0%
114,117138,835274,404
D
+18.4%
164,246113,032278,628
R
−2.5%
134,891141,841277,579
R
−14.3%
116,238154,933271,171
R
−19.3%
106,213157,394265,037
D
+9.9%
119,07196,770224,278
D
+9.4%
112,55693,163207,355
D
+18.6%
145,69899,579247,873
D
+41.7%
159,69063,598230,502
D
+22.7%
127,28678,078216,479
R
−17.9%
78,578113,300194,108
R
−23.1%
33,80574,138174,425
R
−29.1%
57,372109,430179,006
D
+19.3%
101,06366,750177,679
O
+11.8%
27,94118,51279,826
R
−4.4%
29,32632,33368,822
R
−20.4%
21,77334,93264,444
D
+18.5%
37,14625,37363,641
D
+60.2%
42,46910,49453,149
R
−2.9%
17,58118,85144,315
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R45.5%52.6%607,262
2020R45.0%55.0%605,637
2018D50.3%46.8%504,384
2014R40.1%57.8%369,826
2012D48.6%44.9%486,066
2008D72.9%27.1%477,658
2006D49.2%48.3%406,505
2002D62.7%31.7%326,537
2000R47.2%50.6%411,601
1996D49.6%44.7%407,490
1994R37.6%62.4%350,387
1990D68.1%29.4%319,336
1988R48.1%51.9%365,254
1984D56.9%40.7%379,155
1982D54.5%41.7%321,062
1978D55.7%44.3%287,942
1976D64.2%35.8%321,445

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.9%
Irish
13.5%
English
13.1%
American
5.5%
Italian
3.4%
Scottish
2.8%
French
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.8%
speak English only
Spanish1.5%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Other languages0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
13.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.4%
Mainline Protestant
5.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.2%
Baptist
1.4%
Methodist
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 65.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Montana sits in the Northern Rockies. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty points in 1896 and a Republican high of twenty-nine points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the state moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty points.

A population of 1,116,875, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,509 describe the state.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/MT/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana voted Republican by 19.9 points (R+20), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 602,832 votes cast, 231,856 went Democratic and 352,001 went Republican.
What is Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Montana in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Montana?
Montana has a population of 1,116,875 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana?
Median household income in Montana is $72,509 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The state's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.