akashic
1876–2024
North Carolina·North Carolina

North Carolina delivered R+3 in 2024.

18762024·38 elections
NC
LatestR+3in 2024
Typologycluster typology
Population10,730,4042024 ACS

North Carolina: state. In 2024, voted R+3%. Democratic peak: D+48 in 1940.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Akashic typology
Population
10,730,4042024 5-year
Median household income
$72,3882024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
61.8%2024 5-year
Black
20.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+48 in 1940MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41 in 1972MIT Election Lab
North Carolina
TrumpR+3
2024 presidential margin by county for North Carolina, NCA map of the constituent counties of North Carolina, NC, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Alamance County, NC · R+8Alexander County, NC · R+60Alleghany County, NC · R+52Anson County, NC · R+3Ashe County, NC · R+44Avery County, NC · R+52Beaufort County, NC · R+31Bertie County, NC · D+16Bladen County, NC · R+20Brunswick County, NC · R+25Burke County, NC · R+41Cabarrus County, NC · R+8Caldwell County, NC · R+53Camden County, NC · R+51Carteret County, NC · R+43Caswell County, NC · R+25Catawba County, NC · R+38Chatham County, NC · D+12Cherokee County, NC · R+57Chowan County, NC · R+22Clay County, NC · R+50Cleveland County, NC · R+35Columbus County, NC · R+34Craven County, NC · R+20Cumberland County, NC · D+13Currituck County, NC · R+48Dare County, NC · R+19Davidson County, NC · R+47Davie County, NC · R+46Duplin County, NC · R+29Durham County, NC · D+62Edgecombe County, NC · D+23Forsyth County, NC · D+13Franklin County, NC · R+14Gaston County, NC · R+25Gates County, NC · R+22Graham County, NC · R+64Granville County, NC · R+9Greene County, NC · R+18Guilford County, NC · D+22Halifax County, NC · D+18Harnett County, NC · R+25Haywood County, NC · R+25Henderson County, NC · R+14Hertford County, NC · D+27Hoke County, NC · D+6Hyde County, NC · R+22Iredell County, NC · R+33Jackson County, NC · R+9Johnston County, NC · R+21Jones County, NC · R+26Lee County, NC · R+17Lenoir County, NC · R+7Lincoln County, NC · R+46McDowell County, NC · R+49Macon County, NC · R+38Madison County, NC · R+23Martin County, NC · R+10Mitchell County, NC · R+56Montgomery County, NC · R+38Moore County, NC · R+29Nash County, NC · R+2New Hanover County, NC · D+1Northampton County, NC · D+14Onslow County, NC · R+36Orange County, NC · D+51Pamlico County, NC · R+32Pasquotank County, NC · R+5Pender County, NC · R+35Perquimans County, NC · R+39Person County, NC · R+24Pitt County, NC · D+6Polk County, NC · R+25Randolph County, NC · R+57Richmond County, NC · R+21Robeson County, NC · R+28Rockingham County, NC · R+36Rowan County, NC · R+36Rutherford County, NC · R+48Sampson County, NC · R+30Scotland County, NC · R+7Stanly County, NC · R+51Stokes County, NC · R+59Surry County, NC · R+53Swain County, NC · R+24Transylvania County, NC · R+12Tyrrell County, NC · R+21Union County, NC · R+25Vance County, NC · D+13Warren County, NC · D+19Washington County, NC · D+6Watauga County, NC · D+6Wayne County, NC · R+16Wilkes County, NC · R+60Wilson County, NC · TiedYadkin County, NC · R+62Yancey County, NC · R+34Buncombe County, NC · D+25Mecklenburg County, NC · D+33Wake County, NC · D+25
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican50.9%2,898,429
Kamala HarrisDemocratic47.6%2,715,382
OtherAll other candidates1.5%85,344
D+60
R+60
100 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −3.2% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−3.2%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+11.6%
1896+5.8%
1900+8.5%
1904+20.1%
1908+8.7%
1912+47.3%
1916+16.4%
1920+13.5%
1924+19.4%
1928−9.9%
1932+40.6%
1936+46.8%
1940+48.1%
1944+33.4%
1948+25.3%
1952+7.8%
1956+1.3%
1960+4.2%
1964+12.3%
1968−10.3%
1972−40.6%
1976+11.0%
1980−2.1%
1984−24.0%
1988−16.3%
1992−0.8%
1996−4.7%
2000+12.8%
2004−12.4%
2008+0.3%
2012−2.0%
2016−3.7%
2020−1.3%
2024−3.2%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.2%
2,715,3822,898,4295,699,155
R
−1.3%
2,684,2922,758,7755,524,804
R
−3.7%
2,189,3162,362,6314,741,564
R
−2.0%
2,178,3912,270,3954,505,372
D
+0.3%
2,142,6512,128,4744,310,789
R
−12.4%
1,525,8491,961,1663,501,007
D
+12.8%
1,631,1631,257,6922,911,262
R
−4.7%
1,107,8491,225,9382,515,807
R
−0.8%
1,114,0421,134,6612,611,850
R
−16.3%
890,1671,237,2582,134,370
R
−24.0%
824,2871,346,4812,175,361
R
−2.1%
875,635915,0181,855,833
D
+11.0%
927,365741,9601,677,906
R
−40.6%
438,7051,054,8891,518,612
R
−10.3%
464,113627,1921,587,493
D
+12.3%
800,139624,8441,424,983
D
+4.2%
713,136655,4201,368,556
D
+1.3%
590,530575,0621,165,592
D
+7.8%
652,803558,1171,210,920
D
+25.3%
459,070258,572791,209
D
+33.4%
527,399263,155790,554
D
+48.1%
609,015213,633822,648
D
+46.8%
616,141223,294839,435
D
+40.6%
497,566208,344711,498
R
−9.9%
286,227348,923635,150
D
+19.4%
284,190190,754481,595
D
+13.5%
305,367232,819538,186
D
+16.4%
168,383120,890289,835
D
+47.3%
144,40729,129243,809
D
+8.7%
136,928114,888252,542
D
+20.1%
124,12182,442207,844
D
+8.5%
157,733132,997292,518
D
+5.8%
174,408155,122331,337
D
+11.6%
132,950100,326280,527
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R47.3%50.5%3,773,924
2020R46.9%48.7%5,474,952
2016R45.4%51.1%4,691,133
2014R47.3%48.8%2,915,281
2010R43.0%54.8%2,660,079
2008D52.7%44.2%4,271,970
2004R47.0%51.6%3,472,082
2002R45.0%53.6%2,331,181
1998D51.2%47.0%2,012,143
1996R45.9%52.6%2,556,456
1992R46.3%50.3%2,577,891
1990R47.4%52.5%2,069,585
1986D50.9%49.1%1,534,848
1984R47.8%51.7%2,239,051
1980R49.4%50.0%1,797,665
1978R45.5%54.5%1,135,814

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.7%
German
9.4%
Irish
8.4%
American
8.3%
Italian
3.3%
Scottish
2.3%
Polish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.5%
speak English only
Spanish8.7%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
15.1%
Other Christian
13.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.1%
Methodist
7.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Non-Christian
1.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

North Carolina sits in the Carolinas. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-eight points in 1940 and a Republican high of forty-one points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the state moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was three points.

A population of 10,730,404, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,388 describe the state.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/NC/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Carolina voted Republican by 3.2 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,699,155 votes cast, 2,715,382 went Democratic and 2,898,429 went Republican.
What is North Carolina's political typology?
Akashic places North Carolina in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which North Carolina voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in North Carolina?
North Carolina has a population of 10,730,404 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Carolina?
Median household income in North Carolina is $72,388 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The state's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.