akashic
1876–2024
Pennsylvania·Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania delivered R+2 in 2024.

18762024·38 elections
PA
LatestR+2in 2024
Typologycluster typology
Population13,018,6392024 ACS

Pennsylvania: state. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+2MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Akashic typology
Population
13,018,6392024 5-year
Median household income
$77,9712024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
74.5%2024 5-year
Black
10.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+30 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+46 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Pennsylvania
TrumpR+2
2024 presidential margin by county for Pennsylvania, PAA map of the constituent counties of Pennsylvania, PA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Adams County, PA · R+34Armstrong County, PA · R+53Beaver County, PA · R+21Bedford County, PA · R+68Berks County, PA · R+12Blair County, PA · R+43Bradford County, PA · R+48Bucks County, PA · TiedButler County, PA · R+32Cambria County, PA · R+40Cameron County, PA · R+50Carbon County, PA · R+35Centre County, PA · D+3Clarion County, PA · R+53Clearfield County, PA · R+51Clinton County, PA · R+41Columbia County, PA · R+31Crawford County, PA · R+39Cumberland County, PA · R+9Dauphin County, PA · D+6Delaware County, PA · D+24Elk County, PA · R+47Erie County, PA · R+1Fayette County, PA · R+38Forest County, PA · R+44Franklin County, PA · R+43Fulton County, PA · R+73Greene County, PA · R+45Huntingdon County, PA · R+53Indiana County, PA · R+39Jefferson County, PA · R+58Juniata County, PA · R+61Lackawanna County, PA · D+3Lancaster County, PA · R+16Lawrence County, PA · R+34Lebanon County, PA · R+32Lehigh County, PA · D+3Luzerne County, PA · R+19Lycoming County, PA · R+41McKean County, PA · R+47Mercer County, PA · R+30Mifflin County, PA · R+56Monroe County, PA · R+1Montgomery County, PA · D+23Montour County, PA · R+21Northampton County, PA · R+2Northumberland County, PA · R+40Perry County, PA · R+49Pike County, PA · R+24Potter County, PA · R+62Schuylkill County, PA · R+42Snyder County, PA · R+47Somerset County, PA · R+57Sullivan County, PA · R+47Susquehanna County, PA · R+45Tioga County, PA · R+52Union County, PA · R+23Venango County, PA · R+42Warren County, PA · R+39Washington County, PA · R+25Wayne County, PA · R+37Westmoreland County, PA · R+28Wyoming County, PA · R+37York County, PA · R+25Allegheny County, PA · D+20Chester County, PA · D+14Philadelphia County, PA · D+59
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican50.2%3,543,308
Kamala HarrisDemocratic48.5%3,423,042
OtherAll other candidates1.3%91,919
D+60
R+60
67 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −1.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−1.7%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−6.4%
1896−24.7%
1900−24.6%
1904−40.7%
1908−23.4%
1912+10.0%
1916−14.0%
1920−38.6%
1924−46.3%
1928−31.4%
1932−5.5%
1936+16.0%
1940+6.9%
1944+2.8%
1948−4.0%
1952−5.9%
1956−13.2%
1960+2.3%
1964+30.2%
1968+3.6%
1972−20.0%
1976+2.7%
1980−7.1%
1984−7.4%
1988−2.3%
1992+9.0%
1996+9.2%
2000+4.2%
2004+2.5%
2008+10.3%
2012+5.4%
2016−0.7%
2020+1.2%
2024−1.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.7%
3,423,0423,543,3087,058,269
D
+1.2%
3,458,2293,377,6746,915,283
R
−0.7%
2,926,4582,970,7426,166,938
D
+5.4%
2,990,2742,680,4345,755,620
D
+10.3%
3,276,3632,655,8855,995,137
D
+2.5%
2,938,0952,793,8475,766,120
D
+4.2%
2,485,9672,281,1274,913,027
D
+9.2%
2,215,8191,801,1694,501,307
D
+9.0%
2,239,1641,791,8414,959,810
R
−2.3%
2,194,9442,300,0874,536,251
R
−7.4%
2,228,1312,584,3234,844,903
R
−7.1%
1,937,5402,261,8724,561,501
D
+2.7%
2,328,6772,205,6044,620,787
R
−20.0%
1,796,9512,714,5214,592,106
D
+3.6%
2,259,4052,090,0174,747,928
D
+30.2%
3,130,9541,673,6574,822,690
D
+2.3%
2,556,2822,439,9565,006,541
R
−13.2%
1,981,7692,585,2524,576,503
R
−5.9%
2,146,2692,415,7894,580,969
R
−4.0%
1,752,4261,902,1973,735,348
D
+2.8%
1,940,4791,835,0543,794,793
D
+6.9%
2,171,0351,889,8484,078,714
D
+16.0%
2,353,9871,690,2004,138,436
R
−5.5%
1,295,9481,453,5402,859,124
R
−31.4%
1,067,5862,055,3823,150,612
R
−46.3%
409,1921,401,4812,144,719
R
−38.6%
503,8431,218,2161,852,616
R
−14.0%
521,784703,8231,297,292
O
+10.0%
395,637273,3601,217,736
R
−23.4%
448,782745,7791,267,450
R
−40.7%
337,998840,9491,236,738
R
−24.6%
424,232712,6651,173,210
R
−24.7%
433,228728,3001,194,355
R
−6.4%
452,264516,0111,003,010
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R48.6%48.8%6,963,137
2022D51.2%46.3%5,368,021
2018D55.6%42.7%4,994,643
2016R47.3%48.8%6,051,856
2012D53.7%44.6%5,627,422
2010R49.0%51.0%3,977,661
2006D58.6%41.3%4,081,043
2004R42.0%52.6%5,559,105
2000R45.5%52.4%4,735,116
1998R34.8%61.3%2,957,499
1994R46.9%49.4%3,513,361
1992R46.3%49.1%4,802,410
1988R32.4%66.5%4,366,598
1986R42.9%56.4%3,378,226
1982R39.2%59.3%3,604,108
1980R48.0%50.5%4,418,042
1976R46.8%52.4%4,546,353

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.6%
Irish
14.8%
Italian
10.6%
English
8.3%
Polish
5.4%
American
4.4%
Scottish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
87.6%
speak English only
Spanish5.6%
Other Indo-European3.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.2%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
22.3%
Other Christian
7.9%
Mainline Protestant
6.6%
Methodist
3.8%
Non-Christian
2.5%
Baptist
2.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Pennsylvania sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty points in 1964 and a Republican high of forty-six points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the state moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was two points.

A population of 13,018,639, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,971 describe the state.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/PA/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 1.7 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,058,269 votes cast, 3,423,042 went Democratic and 3,543,308 went Republican.
What is Pennsylvania's political typology?
Akashic places Pennsylvania in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 19 times, and other 1 times.
When did Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Pennsylvania?
Pennsylvania has a population of 13,018,639 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Pennsylvania is $77,971 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The state's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.