akashic
1876–2024
Tennessee·Tennessee

Tennessee has voted Republican in seven straight presidential elections — R+30 in 2024.

18762024·38 elections
TN
LatestR+30in 2024
Typologycluster typology
Population7,066,3832024 ACS

Tennessee: state. In 2024, voted R+30%. Republican peak: R+38 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+30MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Akashic typology
Population
7,066,3832024 5-year
Median household income
$69,5952024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
72.4%2024 5-year
Black
15.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+38 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+38 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Tennessee
TrumpR+30
2024 presidential margin by county for Tennessee, TNA map of the constituent counties of Tennessee, TN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Anderson County, TN · R+36Bedford County, TN · R+58Benton County, TN · R+63Bledsoe County, TN · R+70Blount County, TN · R+48Bradley County, TN · R+59Campbell County, TN · R+70Cannon County, TN · R+66Carroll County, TN · R+62Carter County, TN · R+63Cheatham County, TN · R+46Chester County, TN · R+65Claiborne County, TN · R+70Clay County, TN · R+67Cocke County, TN · R+68Coffee County, TN · R+55Crockett County, TN · R+59Cumberland County, TN · R+59Davidson County, TN · D+27Decatur County, TN · R+69DeKalb County, TN · R+63Dickson County, TN · R+52Dyer County, TN · R+62Fayette County, TN · R+42Fentress County, TN · R+76Franklin County, TN · R+53Gibson County, TN · R+52Giles County, TN · R+55Grainger County, TN · R+74Greene County, TN · R+66Grundy County, TN · R+69Hamblen County, TN · R+59Hamilton County, TN · R+13Hancock County, TN · R+76Hardeman County, TN · R+24Hardin County, TN · R+71Hawkins County, TN · R+69Haywood County, TN · TiedHenderson County, TN · R+68Henry County, TN · R+55Hickman County, TN · R+61Houston County, TN · R+58Humphreys County, TN · R+56Jackson County, TN · R+62Jefferson County, TN · R+64Johnson County, TN · R+69Lake County, TN · R+55Lauderdale County, TN · R+37Lawrence County, TN · R+69Lewis County, TN · R+66Lincoln County, TN · R+65Loudon County, TN · R+53McMinn County, TN · R+64McNairy County, TN · R+68Macon County, TN · R+74Madison County, TN · R+18Marion County, TN · R+56Marshall County, TN · R+56Meigs County, TN · R+68Monroe County, TN · R+67Montgomery County, TN · R+18Moore County, TN · R+69Morgan County, TN · R+74Obion County, TN · R+65Overton County, TN · R+64Perry County, TN · R+69Pickett County, TN · R+66Polk County, TN · R+68Putnam County, TN · R+47Rhea County, TN · R+67Roane County, TN · R+54Robertson County, TN · R+51Rutherford County, TN · R+22Scott County, TN · R+80Sequatchie County, TN · R+66Sevier County, TN · R+61Smith County, TN · R+65Stewart County, TN · R+64Sullivan County, TN · R+55Sumner County, TN · R+42Tipton County, TN · R+53Trousdale County, TN · R+59Unicoi County, TN · R+62Union County, TN · R+71Van Buren County, TN · R+67Warren County, TN · R+56Washington County, TN · R+39Wayne County, TN · R+77Weakley County, TN · R+58White County, TN · R+67Williamson County, TN · R+32Wilson County, TN · R+40Knox County, TN · R+19Maury County, TN · R+45Shelby County, TN · D+25
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican64.0%1,966,865
Kamala HarrisDemocratic34.4%1,056,265
OtherAll other candidates1.6%48,527
D+60
R+60
95 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −29.6% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−29.6%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+13.5%
1896+6.0%
1900+8.1%
1904+10.8%
1908+6.9%
1912+28.9%
1916+13.6%
1920−2.8%
1924+9.3%
1928−11.1%
1932+34.0%
1936+37.9%
1940+34.9%
1944+21.2%
1948+12.3%
1952−0.3%
1956−0.6%
1960−7.1%
1964+11.0%
1968−9.7%
1972−38.0%
1976+13.0%
1980−0.3%
1984−16.3%
1988−16.3%
1992+4.7%
1996+2.4%
2000−3.9%
2004−14.3%
2008−15.0%
2012−20.4%
2016−26.0%
2020−23.2%
2024−29.6%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−29.6%
1,056,2651,966,8653,071,657
R
−23.2%
1,143,6001,852,4753,053,761
R
−26.0%
870,6951,522,9252,508,027
R
−20.4%
960,7091,462,3302,460,904
R
−15.0%
1,089,8831,480,7792,603,800
R
−14.3%
1,035,1601,383,3362,434,949
R
−3.9%
981,7201,061,9492,076,181
D
+2.4%
909,146863,5301,894,105
D
+4.7%
933,521841,3001,982,638
R
−16.3%
679,794947,2331,636,251
R
−16.3%
711,714990,2121,711,994
R
−0.3%
783,051787,7611,617,616
D
+13.0%
825,879633,9691,476,345
R
−38.0%
357,293813,1471,201,182
R
−9.7%
351,233472,5921,248,617
D
+11.0%
634,947508,9651,143,912
R
−7.1%
481,453556,5771,051,776
R
−0.6%
456,507462,288939,404
R
−0.3%
443,710446,147892,553
D
+12.3%
270,402202,914550,283
D
+21.2%
308,707200,311510,692
D
+34.9%
351,601169,153522,823
D
+37.9%
328,083147,050477,081
D
+34.0%
259,463126,752390,263
R
−11.1%
156,169195,195352,024
D
+9.3%
158,679130,728300,117
R
−2.8%
205,898217,898425,975
D
+13.6%
153,280116,223272,190
D
+28.9%
133,02160,475251,101
D
+6.9%
135,604117,977257,176
D
+10.8%
131,653105,372242,759
D
+8.1%
145,249123,108273,870
D
+6.0%
168,176148,773322,001
D
+13.5%
136,468100,577265,772
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R34.2%63.8%3,007,608
2020R35.2%62.2%2,959,761
2018R43.9%54.7%2,243,740
2014R31.9%61.9%1,374,065
2012R30.4%64.9%2,321,477
2008R31.6%65.1%2,424,585
2006R48.0%50.7%1,833,695
2002R44.3%54.3%1,642,432
2000R32.2%65.1%1,928,613
1996R36.8%61.4%1,778,664
1994R42.1%56.4%1,480,391
1990D67.7%29.8%783,922
1988D65.1%34.5%1,567,181
1984D60.7%33.8%1,648,036
1982D61.9%38.1%1,259,785
1978R40.3%55.5%1,157,094
1976D52.5%47.0%1,432,046

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.3%
American
11.3%
Irish
9.3%
German
9.1%
Italian
2.3%
Scottish
2.2%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.3%
speak English only
Spanish5.3%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
23.0%
Other Christian
15.2%
Methodist
5.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.7%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Tennessee sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-eight points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-eight points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the state moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty points.

A population of 7,066,383, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,595 describe the state.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/TN/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tennessee voted Republican by 29.6 points (R+30), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,071,657 votes cast, 1,056,265 went Democratic and 1,966,865 went Republican.
What is Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places Tennessee in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Tennessee?
Tennessee has a population of 7,066,383 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tennessee?
Median household income in Tennessee is $69,595 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The state's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.