John L. Bates
an underperforming governor candidate from Massachusetts with a 2-1 career record, often underperforming expectations
Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts.
Learn how grades workEvidence & provenance
Source owners
Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic scoring inputs.
Freshness
Rendered Apr 22, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.
Boundary scope
Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.
Claim type
Deterministic summaries, calculated scores, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.
Career Margin Trend3 races
Career Timeline
Key Insights
2 insights generated
Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.
Unlock with Pro$33/moGeographic Performance
3 races with county data
County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.
Unlock with Pro$33/moCounty Results Table
Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.
Unlock with Pro$33/moDemographic Coalition Analysis
3 races available
Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.
Unlock with Insider$99/moOpponents Faced2 opponents
Similar Candidates
8 matches found
Candidates with the closest career profiles — same era, similar performance.
Unlock with Pro$33/moAsk the Historian
Ask the Historian
Interactive AI-powered chat about John L. Bates's career, opponents, and performance.
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