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Nancy A Dahlstrom

State House candidate from Alaska, undefeated in 2 races

Republican
State House
Electoral Grade
Requires 3+ graded races
2
Races
2-0
W-L (100%)
-100.0
Avg Margin
2004–2006
Career Span
Best: +-100.0 (2006 State House)Worst: -100.0 (2006 State House)
100%
Win Rate
2
Win Streak
2 yrs
Career Span
7K
Career Votes

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 15, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology
2026
Tilt D
AK GovernorDeclared

Alaska's first open-seat gubernatorial race under ranked-choice voting now has 16 candidates and the dynamics have shifted. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins raised $750K in his first two weeks, instantly becoming the top Democratic fundraiser, while Begich has $348K raised with $215K on hand. Dahlstrom — supposedly the GOP establishment pick — has raised just $18K with $5K cash, making her a paper candidate. Republican Matt Heilala leads overall fundraising at $1.3M (mostly self-funded). Data for Progress RCV simulations show Begich could win the general by picking up moderate Republican second-choice votes. Peltola now appears headed toward a Senate run rather than governor. A second ballot measure to repeal RCV will appear on the 2026 ballot (the 2024 repeal failed by just 743 votes). The fragmented 16-candidate field under RCV makes this genuinely competitive.

vs.Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsTom Begich

Career Margin Trend2 races

R+60R+30EvenD+30D+602004: R+100.0 - Click to view2006: R+100.0 - Click to view20042006

Career Timeline

2,037
Candidate Votes
100.0%
Vote %
2,037
Total Votes
-100.0%
Margin

Key Insights

1 insights generated

Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.

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Geographic Performance

2 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

2 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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