akashic
1876–2024
Burlington, IA-IL·Iowa

Burlington, IA-IL moved 6 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A Mississippi River crossing where Iowa and Illinois margins routinely diverge

1876 — 2024·38 elections
IA
LatestR+19in 2024
TypologyHeartland Swingcluster typology
Population44,6802024 ACS

Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa: Heartland Swing metro. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+41 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+19MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Heartland SwingAkashic typology
Population
44,6802024 5-year
Median household income
$62,8312024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.7%2024 5-year
Black
4.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Burlington, IA-IL
TrumpR+19
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Burlington, IA-IL, IAA map of the constituent counties of Burlington, IA-IL, IA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Des Moines County, IA · R+15Henderson County, IL · R+39
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican58.5%13,163
Kamala HarrisDemocratic39.8%8,961
OtherAll other candidates1.7%394
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −18.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−18.7%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+7.0%
1896−14.1%
1900−10.6%
1904−22.3%
1908−8.2%
1912+10.6%
1916−9.7%
1920−41.3%
1924−39.7%
1928−32.8%
1932+21.9%
1936+0.4%
1940−24.9%
1944−14.4%
1948+1.5%
1952−19.3%
1956−15.1%
1960−6.8%
1964+35.5%
1968+4.7%
1972−9.6%
1976+8.8%
1980−0.1%
1984+5.1%
1988+18.5%
1992+22.3%
1996+25.7%
2000+18.5%
2004+18.6%
2008+22.2%
2012+17.5%
2016−10.2%
2020−12.3%
2024−18.7%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−18.7%
8,96113,16322,518
R
−12.3%
10,08012,98623,612
R
−10.2%
9,36711,68422,789
D
+17.5%
13,8669,67723,953
D
+22.2%
14,6779,26224,384
D
+18.6%
14,72510,07825,027
D
+18.5%
13,3819,09323,231
D
+25.7%
12,7147,01122,193
D
+22.3%
13,3227,68825,238
D
+18.5%
13,6789,37823,195
D
+5.1%
13,14211,84825,128
R
−0.1%
11,58611,60124,663
D
+8.8%
13,42011,23324,943
R
−9.6%
10,61312,90523,794
D
+4.7%
11,79910,67624,127
D
+35.5%
16,1657,69323,896
R
−6.8%
11,56913,25024,864
R
−15.1%
10,25013,89524,173
R
−19.3%
10,14415,02125,260
D
+1.5%
10,2579,95720,567
R
−14.4%
9,09312,18321,432
R
−24.9%
8,55514,25222,906
D
+0.4%
9,5079,42620,925
D
+21.9%
11,7677,40519,941
R
−32.8%
6,64313,24220,092
R
−39.7%
3,41910,87418,761
R
−41.3%
4,18911,03416,581
R
−9.7%
5,4386,66012,663
D
+10.6%
3,8902,78410,392
R
−8.2%
4,7955,70010,975
R
−22.3%
3,7516,16410,839
R
−10.6%
4,8856,08711,367
R
−14.1%
4,7036,30511,370
D
+7.0%
5,4474,71310,413
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
28.5%
Irish
12.8%
English
10.6%
American
6.8%
French
2.1%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.5%
85+
1.8%
2.4%
75–84
3.5%
6.5%
65–74
6.4%
6.8%
55–64
7.3%
5.5%
45–54
5.9%
5.8%
35–44
5.9%
5.8%
25–34
5.7%
3.7%
18–24
3.6%
8.3%
5–17
7.6%
3.1%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,831
Burlington, IA-IL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Burlington, IA-IL$62,831
Iowa$75,059
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.6%
Working age (18–64)12.0%
Seniors (65+)10.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.2%
speak English only
Spanish1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
8.9%
Mainline Protestant
8.1%
Methodist
6.4%
Other Christian
4.5%
Non-Christian
3.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Baptist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 65.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Burlington metro straddles the Iowa-Illinois state line, and its two sides have historically split their presidential-level votes by several points, making cross-river comparison a useful stress test for regional partisan models.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-five points in 1964 and a Republican high of forty-one points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nineteen points.

A population of 44,680, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,831 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/15460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa voted Republican by 18.7 points (R+19), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,518 votes cast, 8,961 went Democratic and 13,163 went Republican.
What is Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa's political typology?
Akashic places Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa in the "Heartland Swing" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa?
Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa has a population of 44,680 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa?
Median household income in Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa is $62,831 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.