akashic
1876–2024
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL·Florida

Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL has voted Republican in twenty straight presidential elections — R+28 in 2024.

Fast-growing Gulf Coast metro where retiree in-migration shapes the electorate

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
LatestR+28in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population817,6662024 ACS

Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida: Florida Surge metro. In 2024, voted R+28%. Democratic peak: D+96 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+28MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
817,6662024 5-year
Median household income
$76,1072024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.7%2024 5-year
Black
7.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
24.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+96 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+59 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
TrumpR+28
—
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican63.9%250,648
Kamala HarrisDemocratic35.5%139,169
OtherAll other candidates0.7%2,631
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −28.4% in 2024.flipped R · 1948−28.4%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+96.2%
1896+47.4%
1900+69.9%
1904+36.9%
1908+36.4%
1912+55.2%
1916+51.6%
1920+18.4%
1924+18.1%
1928−27.7%
1932+44.9%
1936+38.3%
1940+37.0%
1944+28.5%
1948−6.8%
1952−18.2%
1956−25.2%
1960−30.7%
1964−11.6%
1968−20.6%
1972−59.1%
1976−10.7%
1980−34.8%
1984−47.8%
1988−36.1%
1992−11.9%
1996−9.2%
2000−17.7%
2004−20.9%
2008−10.4%
2012−16.5%
2016−20.4%
2020−19.2%
2024−28.4%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−28.4%
139,169250,648392,448
R
−19.2%
157,695233,247393,899
R
−20.4%
124,908191,551326,420
R
−16.5%
110,157154,163266,166
R
−10.4%
119,701147,608269,276
R
−20.9%
93,860144,176240,667
R
−17.7%
73,571106,151184,400
R
−9.2%
65,69980,898165,951
R
−11.9%
53,66073,436166,002
R
−36.1%
40,72587,303128,936
R
−47.8%
30,02285,024115,076
R
−34.8%
28,12561,03394,613
R
−10.7%
30,56738,03869,789
R
−59.1%
9,40436,73846,235
R
−20.6%
7,97814,37631,095
R
−11.6%
10,20412,88623,090
R
−30.7%
5,49410,35715,851
R
−25.2%
4,5207,56512,085
R
−18.2%
3,8285,5289,356
R
−6.8%
1,8832,2765,797
D
+28.5%
3,3531,8655,218
D
+37.0%
3,5311,6225,153
D
+38.3%
2,5491,1373,686
D
+44.9%
2,5579733,530
R
−27.7%
1,1542,0583,258
D
+18.1%
8455521,622
D
+18.4%
9386261,694
D
+51.6%
7511671,132
D
+55.2%
43238714
D
+36.4%
26672533
D
+36.9%
26684493
D
+69.9%
27839342
D
+47.4%
22274312
D
+96.2%
1530159
—
No data
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.0%
Irish
10.8%
American
9.7%
English
9.4%
Italian
7.4%
Polish
3.1%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 49.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.4%
85+
1.8%
5.2%
75–84
5.3%
7.2%
65–74
8.0%
6.7%
55–64
7.4%
5.5%
45–54
5.7%
5.4%
35–44
5.4%
5.4%
25–34
5.3%
3.6%
18–24
3.6%
6.5%
5–17
6.2%
2.3%
<5
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,107
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL$76,107
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.9%
Working age (18–64)11.0%
Seniors (65+)11.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.2%
speak English only
Spanish19.8%
Other Indo-European4.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.9%
Other Christian
13.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.0%
Baptist
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Methodist
1.7%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Cape Coral-Fort Myers has been one of Florida's fastest-expanding metros, with heavy in-migration of retirees from the Midwest and Northeast steadily recomposing its voter base and pushing registration numbers well ahead of housing-boom projections.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of ninety-six points in 1892 and a Republican high of fifty-nine points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved nine points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-eight points.

A population of 817,666, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,107 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/15980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida voted Republican by 28.4 points (R+28), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 392,448 votes cast, 139,169 went Democratic and 250,648 went Republican.
What is Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1944.
How many people live in Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida?
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida has a population of 817,666 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida is $76,107 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.