akashic
1876–2024
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL·Missouri

Cape Girardeau, MO-IL has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential elections — R+49 in 2024.

A Missouri-rooted metro where Republican margins have widened each cycle since 2008

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MO
LatestR+49in 2024
TypologyStable Rural Rightcluster typology
Population98,1692024 ACS

Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri: Stable Rural Right metro. In 2024, voted R+49%. Republican peak: R+50 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+49MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
Population
98,1692024 5-year
Median household income
$66,9002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.6%2024 5-year
Black
8.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+16 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+50 in 2016MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
TrumpR+49
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, MOA map of the constituent counties of Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, MO, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Cape Girardeau County, MO · R+46Alexander County, IL · R+19Bollinger County, MO · R+75
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican73.6%36,021
Kamala HarrisDemocratic25.0%12,221
OtherAll other candidates1.5%727
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −48.6% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−48.6%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−3.6%
1896−6.3%
1900−11.4%
1904−19.6%
1908−17.1%
1912+5.3%
1916−11.7%
1920−23.0%
1924−12.9%
1928−19.2%
1932+13.6%
1936+7.9%
1940−3.3%
1944−8.6%
1948+2.6%
1952−13.7%
1956−12.3%
1960−11.5%
1964+15.8%
1968−12.5%
1972−35.8%
1976−1.9%
1980−18.9%
1984−30.4%
1988−25.9%
1992−7.2%
1996−12.0%
2000−29.4%
2004−34.8%
2008−30.5%
2012−40.3%
2016−50.0%
2020−46.8%
2024−48.6%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−48.6%
12,22136,02148,969
R
−46.8%
12,62435,56049,030
R
−50.0%
10,45933,34045,807
R
−40.3%
12,90630,95244,786
R
−30.5%
16,08730,43247,076
R
−34.8%
14,33829,74744,333
R
−29.4%
13,38324,90739,175
R
−12.0%
14,75419,18936,973
R
−7.2%
14,32117,05438,080
R
−25.9%
12,48021,24733,817
R
−30.4%
12,14122,75634,918
R
−18.9%
13,71020,37435,332
R
−1.9%
16,42617,06933,684
R
−35.8%
10,58022,43133,069
R
−12.5%
11,27815,12130,798
D
+15.8%
18,98613,79632,782
R
−11.5%
14,58418,36032,962
R
−12.3%
13,98517,90831,914
R
−13.7%
14,42019,00833,482
D
+2.6%
14,58813,83228,536
R
−8.6%
13,45315,98129,526
R
−3.3%
17,74418,97236,900
D
+7.9%
18,68015,91534,852
D
+13.6%
17,04112,93630,284
R
−19.2%
10,84616,02426,927
R
−12.9%
9,68112,74523,741
R
−23.0%
9,77015,69325,761
R
−11.7%
8,47110,77219,616
D
+5.3%
6,0355,30613,737
R
−17.1%
6,1658,76415,194
R
−19.6%
5,2287,88013,542
R
−11.4%
5,6117,08312,967
R
−6.3%
5,7716,55612,409
R
−3.6%
5,0085,40110,947
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.1%
English
9.9%
Irish
8.5%
American
7.4%
Scottish
1.7%
French
1.6%
Italian
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.3%
2.5%
75–84
3.2%
5.0%
65–74
5.7%
6.2%
55–64
6.2%
5.4%
45–54
5.7%
6.0%
35–44
5.8%
6.1%
25–34
6.1%
5.9%
18–24
6.6%
8.2%
5–17
7.7%
3.0%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$66,900
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL$66,900
Missouri$83,390
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.1%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.6%
Working age (18–64)14.2%
Seniors (65+)12.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.9%
speak English only
Spanish1.1%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
11.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.3%
Mainline Protestant
9.6%
Other Christian
9.1%
Methodist
8.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
5.7%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Cape Girardeau, Missouri, this small Mississippi River metro draws its political character from rural Bootheel counties and a regional university town that hasn't bucked the area's deepening rightward trend.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixteen points in 1964 and a Republican high of fifty points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-nine points.

A population of 98,169, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,900 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/16020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri voted Republican by 48.6 points (R+49), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 48,969 votes cast, 12,221 went Democratic and 36,021 went Republican.
What is Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri in the "Stable Rural Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 29 times, and other 0 times.
When did Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri?
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri has a population of 98,169 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri?
Median household income in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri is $66,900 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.