akashic
1876–2024
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH·Ohio

Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH has voted Republican in seven straight presidential elections — R+11 in 2024.

A post-industrial metro where blue-collar legacy meets aerospace growth

18762024·38 elections
OH
LatestR+11in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population816,0802024 ACS

Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio: Industrial Catholic Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+37 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+11MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
816,0802024 5-year
Median household income
$71,9842024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
74.2%2024 5-year
Black
14.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+25 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
TrumpR+11
2024 presidential margin by county for Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, OHA map of the constituent counties of Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Montgomery County, OH · TiedMiami County, OH · R+45Greene County, OH · R+20
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican54.5%221,642
Kamala HarrisDemocratic43.8%178,311
OtherAll other candidates1.7%6,736
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −10.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−10.7%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−3.8%
1896−10.6%
1900−12.1%
1904−25.7%
1908−4.3%
1912+8.3%
1916+4.4%
1920−14.2%
1924−37.2%
1928−34.0%
1932−0.9%
1936+20.4%
1940+13.2%
1944+6.9%
1948+7.6%
1952−11.1%
1956−19.9%
1960−9.8%
1964+25.4%
1968+1.8%
1972−22.8%
1976−0.6%
1980−2.7%
1984−24.0%
1988−20.8%
1992−3.1%
1996+3.2%
2000−5.5%
2004−7.2%
2008−3.2%
2012−5.8%
2016−11.4%
2020−8.9%
2024−10.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−10.7%
178,311221,642406,689
R
−8.9%
185,525222,477415,120
R
−11.4%
164,079209,528399,257
R
−5.8%
185,778209,266404,266
R
−3.2%
197,909211,032415,675
R
−7.2%
191,134220,751413,626
R
−5.5%
155,240173,775339,032
D
+3.2%
156,091145,577332,744
R
−3.1%
140,703152,143364,228
R
−20.8%
124,900190,943318,233
R
−24.0%
120,840197,620320,429
R
−2.7%
138,071146,293307,659
R
−0.6%
139,787141,507287,926
R
−22.8%
104,088167,573278,473
D
+1.8%
124,488119,352279,472
D
+25.4%
167,28899,535266,823
R
−9.8%
124,250151,395275,645
R
−19.9%
95,360142,884238,244
R
−11.1%
99,445124,330223,775
D
+7.6%
95,91582,334179,669
D
+6.9%
100,78087,767188,547
D
+13.2%
106,76481,864188,628
D
+20.4%
98,13063,534169,776
R
−0.9%
68,54769,879144,600
R
−34.0%
47,76997,372146,055
R
−37.2%
29,62771,106111,634
R
−14.2%
50,52568,215124,533
D
+4.4%
32,83429,91366,443
D
+8.3%
21,96117,19857,706
R
−4.3%
28,81731,52962,981
R
−25.7%
19,58333,98056,088
R
−12.1%
24,10630,90356,221
R
−10.6%
23,93029,68054,207
R
−3.8%
20,78022,51745,248
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.9%
English
12.8%
Irish
12.1%
American
5.9%
Italian
3.4%
Scottish
2.1%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.6%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
21.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.8%
Baptist
7.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.0%
Mainline Protestant
3.4%
Methodist
2.9%
Non-Christian
2.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Wright-Patterson Air Force Base anchors a defense economy that complicates the area's traditional manufacturing identity, and the metro's mix of urban Dayton precincts and fast-growing suburban Warren County townships has kept countywide margins competitive across recent cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-five points in 1964 and a Republican high of thirty-seven points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eleven points.

A population of 816,080, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,984 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/19430/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 10.7 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 406,689 votes cast, 178,311 went Democratic and 221,642 went Republican.
What is Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 25 times, and other 0 times.
When did Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio has a population of 816,080 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio is $71,984 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.