Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio: Industrial Catholic Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+37 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 816,0802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,9842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 54.5% | 221,642 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 43.8% | 178,311 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.7% | 6,736 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −3.8% |
| 1896 | −10.6% |
| 1900 | −12.1% |
| 1904 | −25.7% |
| 1908 | −4.3% |
| 1912 | +8.3% |
| 1916 | +4.4% |
| 1920 | −14.2% |
| 1924 | −37.2% |
| 1928 | −34.0% |
| 1932 | −0.9% |
| 1936 | +20.4% |
| 1940 | +13.2% |
| 1944 | +6.9% |
| 1948 | +7.6% |
| 1952 | −11.1% |
| 1956 | −19.9% |
| 1960 | −9.8% |
| 1964 | +25.4% |
| 1968 | +1.8% |
| 1972 | −22.8% |
| 1976 | −0.6% |
| 1980 | −2.7% |
| 1984 | −24.0% |
| 1988 | −20.8% |
| 1992 | −3.1% |
| 1996 | +3.2% |
| 2000 | −5.5% |
| 2004 | −7.2% |
| 2008 | −3.2% |
| 2012 | −5.8% |
| 2016 | −11.4% |
| 2020 | −8.9% |
| 2024 | −10.7% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 178,311 | 221,642 | 406,689 | ||
| R | 185,525 | 222,477 | 415,120 | ||
| R | 164,079 | 209,528 | 399,257 | ||
| R | 185,778 | 209,266 | 404,266 | ||
| R | 197,909 | 211,032 | 415,675 | ||
| R | 191,134 | 220,751 | 413,626 | ||
| R | 155,240 | 173,775 | 339,032 | ||
| D | 156,091 | 145,577 | 332,744 | ||
| R | 140,703 | 152,143 | 364,228 | ||
| R | 124,900 | 190,943 | 318,233 | ||
| R | 120,840 | 197,620 | 320,429 | ||
| R | 138,071 | 146,293 | 307,659 | ||
| R | 139,787 | 141,507 | 287,926 | ||
| R | 104,088 | 167,573 | 278,473 | ||
| D | 124,488 | 119,352 | 279,472 | ||
| D | 167,288 | 99,535 | 266,823 | ||
| R | 124,250 | 151,395 | 275,645 | ||
| R | 95,360 | 142,884 | 238,244 | ||
| R | 99,445 | 124,330 | 223,775 | ||
| D | 95,915 | 82,334 | 179,669 | ||
| D | 100,780 | 87,767 | 188,547 | ||
| D | 106,764 | 81,864 | 188,628 | ||
| D | 98,130 | 63,534 | 169,776 | ||
| R | 68,547 | 69,879 | 144,600 | ||
| R | 47,769 | 97,372 | 146,055 | ||
| R | 29,627 | 71,106 | 111,634 | ||
| R | 50,525 | 68,215 | 124,533 | ||
| D | 32,834 | 29,913 | 66,443 | ||
| D | 21,961 | 17,198 | 57,706 | ||
| R | 28,817 | 31,529 | 62,981 | ||
| R | 19,583 | 33,980 | 56,088 | ||
| R | 24,106 | 30,903 | 56,221 | ||
| R | 23,930 | 29,680 | 54,207 | ||
| R | 20,780 | 22,517 | 45,248 | ||
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Demographics
Wright-Patterson Air Force Base anchors a defense economy that complicates the area's traditional manufacturing identity, and the metro's mix of urban Dayton precincts and fast-growing suburban Warren County townships has kept countywide margins competitive across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-five points in 1964 and a Republican high of thirty-seven points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eleven points.
A population of 816,080, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,984 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/19430/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.