Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL Metro Area — Elections 1876–2024

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois: Industrial Catholic Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+3MIT Election Lab
Political typology: Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population: 381,5032024 5-year
Median household income: $73,1392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 78.0%2024 5-year
Black: 7.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 9.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+51 in 1920MIT Election Lab

2024 presidential election

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL

TrumpR+3

—

How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Donald Trump ✓Republican	50.6%	94,611
Kamala HarrisDemocratic	47.5%	88,781
OtherAll other candidates	1.9%	3,637

D+60

R+60

4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1876–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1876	No data
1880	No data
1884	No data
1888	No data
1892	+0.3%
1896	−23.7%
1900	−24.1%
1904	−38.0%
1908	−21.9%
1912	+15.5%
1916	−23.0%
1920	−50.7%
1924	−49.8%
1928	−29.0%
1932	+4.3%
1936	+17.0%
1940	+3.7%
1944	+0.2%
1948	−3.5%
1952	−19.9%
1956	−15.3%
1960	−6.2%
1964	+21.4%
1968	−1.8%
1972	−14.7%
1976	−4.1%
1980	−12.3%
1984	−2.8%
1988	+10.3%
1992	+12.4%
1996	+15.7%
2000	+10.5%
2004	+6.0%
2008	+17.2%
2012	+14.9%
2016	−0.1%
2020	+1.9%
2024	−3.1%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−3.1%	88,781	94,611	187,029
2020	D	+1.9%	96,694	93,004	194,161
2016	R	−0.1%	84,680	84,939	184,448
2012	D	+14.9%	106,648	78,644	188,453
2008	D	+17.2%	109,205	76,825	188,405
2004	D	+6.0%	98,391	87,238	186,909
2000	D	+10.5%	90,135	72,579	167,451
1996	D	+15.7%	82,995	58,458	155,951
1992	D	+12.4%	86,244	64,028	179,612
1988	D	+10.3%	90,387	73,478	164,913
1984	R	−2.8%	87,419	92,566	181,073
1980	R	−12.3%	67,774	89,139	173,063
1976	R	−4.1%	79,677	86,693	169,117
1972	R	−14.7%	68,184	91,931	161,910
1968	R	−1.8%	70,700	73,555	156,489
1964	D	+21.4%	89,780	58,066	147,930
1960	R	−6.2%	70,664	80,030	150,876
1956	R	−15.3%	59,432	80,935	140,701
1952	R	−19.9%	56,923	85,369	142,927
1948	R	−3.5%	52,809	56,664	110,723
1944	D	+0.2%	61,471	61,201	123,082
1940	D	+3.7%	70,547	65,440	136,583
1936	D	+17.0%	69,719	49,159	121,150
1932	D	+4.3%	55,994	51,235	110,038
1928	R	−29.0%	35,450	64,585	100,614
1924	R	−49.8%	11,621	57,700	92,489
1920	R	−50.7%	14,785	56,051	81,443
1916	R	−23.0%	24,776	41,212	71,520
1912	O	+15.5%	13,450	6,780	43,127
1908	R	−21.9%	14,860	24,299	43,159
1904	R	−38.0%	9,863	25,502	41,182
1900	R	−24.1%	14,862	24,822	41,329
1896	R	−23.7%	14,024	23,039	38,000
1892	D	+0.3%	14,884	14,786	31,300
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

2024 ACS

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

24.8%

Irish

13.1%

English

10.1%

American

3.8%

Italian

2.6%

Polish

1.8%

Scottish

1.7%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

2024 ACS

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 40.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.5%

2.5%

75–84

3.2%

5.4%

65–74

5.9%

6.4%

55–64

6.5%

6.0%

45–54

5.8%

6.5%

35–44

6.3%

6.0%

25–34

6.0%

4.3%

18–24

4.1%

8.6%

5–17

8.4%

2.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Median household income

Inflation-adjusted dollars

$73,139

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL ranks near the middle of US counties.

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL$73,139

Illinois$75,059

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

12.6%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1816.8%

Working age (18–64)11.5%

Seniors (65+)9.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

90.9%

speak English only

Spanish4.6%

Other Indo-European1.9%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%

Other languages1.1%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

2020 religion census

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

13.3%

Mainline Protestant

9.0%

Other Christian

5.2%

Methodist

3.5%

Baptist

3.2%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.7%

Non-Christian

1.1%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Straddling the Mississippi River across Iowa and Illinois, this metro has tracked closely with national presidential margins for decades, making it a reliable bellwether for Midwestern working-class voter shifts.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-one points in 1964 and a Republican high of fifty-one points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was three points.

A population of 381,503, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,139 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/19340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois vote in 2024?

In 2024, Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois voted Republican by 3.1 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 187,029 votes cast, 88,781 went Democratic and 94,611 went Republican.

What is Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois's political typology?

Akashic places Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 19 times, and other 1 times.

When did Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois?

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois has a population of 381,503 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois?

Median household income in Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois is $73,139 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $75,059.

What is the political history of Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.

Scott County, IA	R +9,121
Henry County, IL	R +2,863
Rock Island County, IL	R +2,855

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL moved 5 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions