akashic
1876–2024
Duluth, MN-WI·Minnesota

Duluth, MN-WI has voted Democratic in twenty-four straight presidential elections — D+10 in 2024.

Iron Range roots meet a shifting blue-collar electoral calculus

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MN
LatestD+10in 2024
TypologyFarm Beltcluster typology
Population280,8702024 ACS

Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota: Farm Belt metro. In 2024, voted D+10%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+10MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Farm BeltAkashic typology
Population
280,8702024 5-year
Median household income
$72,2272024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
89.8%2024 5-year
Black
1.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+52 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+61 in 1904MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Duluth, MN-WI
HarrisD+10
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Duluth, MN-WI, MNA map of the constituent counties of Duluth, MN-WI, MN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Carlton County, MN · R+3St. Louis County, MN · D+14Douglas County, WI · D+5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic54.1%89,314
Donald TrumpRepublican43.8%72,233
OtherAll other candidates2.1%3,513
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +10.3% in 2024.flipped D · 1932+10.3%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+7.5%
1896−18.3%
1900−31.6%
1904−61.5%
1908−38.6%
1912+7.1%
1916+3.3%
1920−31.0%
1924−49.5%
1928−26.4%
1932+6.7%
1936+50.8%
1940+35.1%
1944+37.4%
1948+35.0%
1952+20.9%
1956+19.9%
1960+26.0%
1964+52.2%
1968+44.1%
1972+17.5%
1976+34.3%
1980+29.5%
1984+37.1%
1988+36.6%
1992+32.7%
1996+33.9%
2000+26.7%
2004+31.1%
2008+32.0%
2012+29.4%
2016+9.9%
2020+12.9%
2024+10.3%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+10.3%
89,31472,233165,060
D
+12.9%
91,02069,731164,577
D
+9.9%
77,58862,451153,169
D
+29.4%
99,63053,422156,924
D
+32.0%
104,68253,126161,329
D
+31.1%
105,95755,202163,086
D
+26.7%
86,45047,928144,251
D
+33.9%
79,76434,754132,702
D
+32.7%
81,86834,180145,815
D
+36.6%
93,04142,865137,246
D
+37.1%
101,16346,105148,525
D
+29.5%
89,92845,425150,706
D
+34.3%
97,76546,701148,983
D
+17.5%
79,27355,299136,681
D
+44.1%
93,31134,653132,930
D
+52.2%
104,31832,605137,381
D
+26.0%
89,75652,540143,016
D
+19.9%
79,95053,253133,902
D
+20.9%
81,00252,752135,297
D
+35.0%
81,79837,484126,697
D
+37.4%
82,50737,278121,061
D
+35.1%
91,32743,338136,808
D
+50.8%
93,18529,574125,151
D
+6.7%
53,48246,107110,516
R
−26.4%
34,30160,19398,107
R
−49.5%
3,51846,06285,976
R
−31.0%
18,03038,07064,615
D
+3.3%
16,11114,93735,754
O
+7.1%
6,9364,89428,599
R
−38.6%
6,68517,07226,938
R
−61.5%
3,18216,41921,526
R
−31.6%
7,32114,42022,487
R
−18.3%
10,48215,25326,102
D
+7.5%
8,2346,92317,500
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.2%
Irish
9.5%
English
7.1%
Polish
5.7%
Italian
3.9%
French
2.9%
American
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.5%
2.7%
75–84
3.1%
6.4%
65–74
6.4%
6.9%
55–64
6.9%
5.9%
45–54
5.4%
6.5%
35–44
5.9%
6.1%
25–34
5.5%
5.6%
18–24
5.4%
7.4%
5–17
7.0%
2.4%
<5
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,227
Duluth, MN-WI ranks near the middle of US counties.
Duluth, MN-WI$72,227
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.7%
Working age (18–64)12.8%
Seniors (65+)11.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.9%
speak English only
Spanish1.1%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Other languages0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.8%
Mainline Protestant
12.0%
Other Christian
5.3%
Methodist
1.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 65.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Lake Superior's western tip, the Duluth metro has long blended union-household Democratic loyalty with rural conservative pressure from its Wisconsin and Minnesota hinterlands, producing competitive margins in statewide races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-two points in 1964 and a Republican high of sixty-one points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was ten points.

A population of 280,870, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,227 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Democratic by 10.3 points (D+10), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 165,060 votes cast, 89,314 went Democratic and 72,233 went Republican.
What is Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota's political typology?
Akashic places Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota in the "Farm Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 7 times, and other 1 times.
When did Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Republican was 1928.
How many people live in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota has a population of 280,870 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota is $72,227 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.