Erie, PA, Pennsylvania: Industrial Catholic Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+1%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 269,0522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,3542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 49.9% | 68,866 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 48.9% | 67,456 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.2% | 1,657 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −7.4% |
| 1896 | −12.1% |
| 1900 | −22.4% |
| 1904 | −35.9% |
| 1908 | −24.0% |
| 1912 | +3.7% |
| 1916 | +3.4% |
| 1920 | −43.0% |
| 1924 | −50.3% |
| 1928 | −22.5% |
| 1932 | +3.0% |
| 1936 | +11.4% |
| 1940 | −7.1% |
| 1944 | −3.4% |
| 1948 | −8.9% |
| 1952 | −14.2% |
| 1956 | −23.3% |
| 1960 | +2.1% |
| 1964 | +39.6% |
| 1968 | +8.5% |
| 1972 | −18.5% |
| 1976 | +5.3% |
| 1980 | −2.9% |
| 1984 | −3.1% |
| 1988 | +5.4% |
| 1992 | +14.5% |
| 1996 | +16.2% |
| 2000 | +9.2% |
| 2004 | +8.4% |
| 2008 | +19.9% |
| 2012 | +16.0% |
| 2016 | −1.6% |
| 2020 | +1.0% |
| 2024 | −1.0% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 67,456 | 68,866 | 137,979 | ||
| D | 68,286 | 66,869 | 137,083 | ||
| R | 58,112 | 60,069 | 125,129 | ||
| D | 68,036 | 49,025 | 119,114 | ||
| D | 75,775 | 50,351 | 127,691 | ||
| D | 67,921 | 57,372 | 125,898 | ||
| D | 59,399 | 49,027 | 112,335 | ||
| D | 57,508 | 39,884 | 108,791 | ||
| D | 56,381 | 39,283 | 117,804 | ||
| D | 53,913 | 48,306 | 103,300 | ||
| R | 52,471 | 55,860 | 109,266 | ||
| R | 45,946 | 48,918 | 103,162 | ||
| D | 55,385 | 49,641 | 107,439 | ||
| R | 42,022 | 61,542 | 105,713 | ||
| D | 51,604 | 43,134 | 99,847 | ||
| D | 72,944 | 31,393 | 104,886 | ||
| D | 53,723 | 51,525 | 105,543 | ||
| R | 33,802 | 54,430 | 88,555 | ||
| R | 36,619 | 48,836 | 85,846 | ||
| R | 28,159 | 33,806 | 63,245 | ||
| R | 32,912 | 35,247 | 68,578 | ||
| R | 31,735 | 36,608 | 68,714 | ||
| D | 33,042 | 25,607 | 65,355 | ||
| D | 19,592 | 18,371 | 40,442 | ||
| R | 19,278 | 30,542 | 50,097 | ||
| R | 3,502 | 19,480 | 31,784 | ||
| R | 6,311 | 19,465 | 30,569 | ||
| D | 9,641 | 8,933 | 20,630 | ||
| O | 5,633 | 4,958 | 18,408 | ||
| R | 6,173 | 10,828 | 19,419 | ||
| R | 5,119 | 11,951 | 19,018 | ||
| R | 7,281 | 11,816 | 20,207 | ||
| R | 9,210 | 11,819 | 21,592 | ||
| R | 7,589 | 8,918 | 17,923 | ||
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Demographics
Erie's metro anchors Pennsylvania's northwest corner with a blue-collar manufacturing base that has produced some of the state's sharpest vote swings, shifting between parties by double-digit margins across consecutive presidential elections.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty points in 1964 and a Republican high of fifty points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was one point.
A population of 269,052, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,354 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Erie, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/21500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.