akashic
1876–2024
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR·Arkansas

Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR has voted Republican in twelve straight presidential elections — R+20 in 2024.

Northwest Arkansas's fastest-growing metro reshapes the state's political map

18762024·38 elections
AR
LatestR+20in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population577,7262024 ACS

Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas: Diversifying Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+20%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+20MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
577,7262024 5-year
Median household income
$82,2422024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
61.7%2024 5-year
Black
2.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
18.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+45 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
TrumpR+20
2024 presidential margin by county for Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, ARA map of the constituent counties of Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, AR, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Madison County, AR · R+59Washington County, AR · R+7Benton County, AR · R+27
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican58.3%136,035
Kamala HarrisDemocratic38.8%90,501
OtherAll other candidates2.9%6,718
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −19.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−19.5%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+19.2%
1896+45.3%
1900+30.7%
1904+13.9%
1908+19.7%
1912+36.3%
1916+27.6%
1920+9.2%
1924+13.3%
1928−17.0%
1932+38.9%
1936+22.4%
1940+12.0%
1944−4.7%
1948+4.7%
1952−29.4%
1956−21.4%
1960−30.7%
1964+11.1%
1968−21.6%
1972−46.0%
1976+0.9%
1980−26.7%
1984−43.1%
1988−35.4%
1992−3.6%
1996−5.7%
2000−23.2%
2004−25.5%
2008−25.6%
2012−29.2%
2016−25.0%
2020−17.8%
2024−19.5%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−19.5%
90,501136,035233,254
R
−17.8%
87,636127,127221,529
R
−25.0%
62,959107,275177,609
R
−29.2%
52,97198,597156,285
R
−25.6%
54,49693,059150,781
R
−25.5%
50,77486,170138,608
R
−23.2%
40,75766,456110,733
R
−5.7%
40,12845,52795,090
R
−3.6%
40,21843,65696,436
R
−35.4%
24,06250,96375,991
R
−43.1%
20,75852,80574,411
R
−26.7%
23,94142,79870,696
D
+0.9%
29,82529,30459,282
R
−46.0%
13,08035,51648,740
R
−21.6%
11,79321,06443,013
D
+11.1%
18,53614,83033,458
R
−30.7%
10,71220,36531,470
R
−21.4%
10,78716,70827,644
R
−29.4%
10,59119,43430,098
D
+4.7%
8,8157,97117,884
R
−4.7%
7,7388,50916,284
D
+12.0%
7,5115,88813,531
D
+22.4%
7,4754,73512,258
D
+38.9%
11,5494,97416,889
R
−17.0%
6,4609,14015,736
D
+13.3%
5,9294,42311,352
D
+9.2%
6,9385,74912,979
D
+27.6%
7,4844,25011,734
D
+36.3%
5,1661,8929,007
D
+19.7%
7,2564,77212,580
D
+13.9%
5,0133,7319,239
D
+30.7%
7,1133,72311,026
D
+45.3%
8,4453,14211,694
D
+19.2%
6,4184,23711,381
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.0%
German
11.1%
Irish
8.6%
American
4.8%
Scottish
2.1%
Italian
2.0%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.8%
speak English only
Spanish11.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.9%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
18.0%
Other Christian
14.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
12.0%
Methodist
3.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Mainline Protestant
2.2%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Walmart's global headquarters and a booming Latinx population, this corridor has shifted from reliably rural-conservative toward a more contested suburban profile over the past decade.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-five points in 1896 and a Republican high of forty-six points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty points.

A population of 577,726, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,242 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/22220/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 19.5 points (R+20), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 233,254 votes cast, 90,501 went Democratic and 136,035 went Republican.
What is Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas?
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas has a population of 577,726 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas is $82,242 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.