Flint, MI, Michigan: Heartland Swing metro. In 2024, voted D+4%. Republican peak: R+73 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 403,3052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,2812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 51.4% | 114,670 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 47.2% | 105,303 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.5% | 3,295 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −11.2% |
| 1896 | −6.7% |
| 1900 | −23.3% |
| 1904 | −44.9% |
| 1908 | −35.5% |
| 1912 | −3.2% |
| 1916 | −0.2% |
| 1920 | −52.1% |
| 1924 | −73.5% |
| 1928 | −59.1% |
| 1932 | +12.8% |
| 1936 | +38.9% |
| 1940 | +13.2% |
| 1944 | +12.0% |
| 1948 | +7.8% |
| 1952 | −4.6% |
| 1956 | −9.1% |
| 1960 | −2.0% |
| 1964 | +35.0% |
| 1968 | +6.8% |
| 1972 | −7.3% |
| 1976 | +5.2% |
| 1980 | +6.4% |
| 1984 | −1.9% |
| 1988 | +19.2% |
| 1992 | +28.7% |
| 1996 | +32.6% |
| 2000 | +27.9% |
| 2004 | +20.8% |
| 2008 | +32.5% |
| 2012 | +28.1% |
| 2016 | +9.4% |
| 2020 | +9.3% |
| 2024 | +4.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 114,670 | 105,303 | 223,268 | ||
| D | 119,390 | 98,714 | 221,360 | ||
| D | 102,751 | 84,175 | 197,641 | ||
| D | 128,978 | 71,808 | 203,742 | ||
| D | 143,927 | 72,451 | 219,896 | ||
| D | 128,334 | 83,870 | 213,775 | ||
| D | 119,833 | 66,641 | 190,865 | ||
| D | 106,065 | 49,332 | 174,056 | ||
| D | 105,156 | 47,834 | 199,998 | ||
| D | 104,880 | 70,922 | 176,859 | ||
| R | 89,491 | 92,943 | 183,387 | ||
| D | 90,393 | 78,572 | 183,900 | ||
| D | 88,967 | 80,004 | 171,438 | ||
| R | 73,896 | 85,747 | 162,449 | ||
| D | 75,174 | 63,948 | 164,013 | ||
| D | 100,346 | 48,311 | 148,878 | ||
| R | 72,059 | 74,940 | 147,457 | ||
| R | 62,808 | 75,431 | 138,474 | ||
| R | 56,753 | 62,220 | 119,712 | ||
| D | 45,032 | 38,270 | 86,228 | ||
| D | 52,444 | 41,145 | 94,116 | ||
| D | 50,300 | 38,495 | 89,283 | ||
| D | 49,891 | 21,097 | 73,931 | ||
| D | 36,860 | 28,231 | 67,267 | ||
| R | 10,910 | 42,743 | 53,853 | ||
| R | 4,225 | 34,264 | 40,878 | ||
| R | 7,408 | 24,543 | 32,873 | ||
| R | 9,311 | 9,353 | 19,315 | ||
| O | 3,005 | 3,426 | 13,313 | ||
| R | 3,234 | 7,211 | 11,213 | ||
| R | 2,281 | 6,594 | 9,605 | ||
| R | 3,934 | 6,478 | 10,901 | ||
| R | 4,915 | 5,638 | 10,843 | ||
| R | 3,712 | 4,785 | 9,543 | ||
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Demographics
Genesee County's largest city has seen decades of population loss reshape its electorate, with union-household density and majority-Black precincts making it a bellwether for working-class Democratic coalition strength in Michigan's interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-nine points in 1936 and a Republican high of seventy-three points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was four points.
A population of 403,305, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,281 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Flint, MI, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/22420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.