akashic
1876–2024
Flagstaff, AZ·Arizona

Flagstaff, AZ has voted Democratic in nine straight presidential elections — D+20 in 2024.

High-altitude college hub that reliably breaks from Arizona's Sun Belt trend

18762024·38 elections
AZ
LatestD+20in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population144,5082024 ACS

Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona: Diversifying Metro metro. In 2024, voted D+20%. Democratic peak: D+41 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+20MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
144,5082024 5-year
Median household income
$72,9662024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
56.0%2024 5-year
Black
1.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
15.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+41 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+29 in 1968MIT Election Lab
Flagstaff, AZ
HarrisD+20
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic59.2%41,504
Donald TrumpRepublican39.4%27,576
OtherAll other candidates1.4%987
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +19.9% in 2024.flipped D · 1992+19.9%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908No data
1912+11.9%
1916+17.8%
1920−26.4%
1924−14.4%
1928−18.8%
1932+41.0%
1936+37.6%
1940+22.5%
1944+11.2%
1948+4.9%
1952−22.8%
1956−27.2%
1960−9.0%
1964−4.4%
1968−28.6%
1972−25.1%
1976−7.4%
1980−25.9%
1984−20.4%
1988−6.2%
1992+12.0%
1996+17.7%
2000+6.6%
2004+12.8%
2008+17.0%
2012+15.5%
2016+18.9%
2020+24.0%
2024+19.9%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+19.9%
41,50427,57670,067
D
+24.0%
44,69827,05273,632
D
+18.9%
32,40421,10859,784
D
+15.5%
29,25721,22051,962
D
+17.0%
31,43322,18654,344
D
+12.8%
29,24322,52652,391
D
+6.6%
20,28017,56240,883
D
+17.7%
20,47513,63838,522
D
+12.0%
18,88813,76942,618
R
−6.2%
14,66016,64932,140
R
−20.4%
11,52817,58129,735
R
−25.9%
7,83214,61326,199
R
−7.4%
9,45011,03621,418
R
−25.1%
6,25010,61117,389
R
−28.6%
3,5046,76511,392
R
−4.4%
5,2705,75611,037
R
−9.0%
4,0654,8708,944
R
−27.2%
2,3144,0446,369
R
−22.8%
2,4083,8276,235
D
+4.9%
2,3092,0934,441
D
+11.2%
2,2361,7864,028
D
+22.5%
3,0251,9134,951
D
+37.6%
2,5781,1403,829
D
+41.0%
2,6891,1103,853
R
−18.8%
1,1721,7172,901
R
−14.4%
7111,0452,317
R
−26.4%
7811,3422,123
D
+17.8%
1,1718022,072
D
+11.9%
339237855
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.4%
English
10.4%
Irish
9.4%
Italian
4.0%
American
2.6%
Scottish
2.2%
Polish
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.9%
speak English only
Other languages13.0%
Spanish7.0%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
15.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
12.1%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Baptist
0.5%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to Northern Arizona University and a large Native American population from surrounding tribal lands, Flagstaff's Coconino County posts Democratic margins uncommon in rural Arizona, driven by student voters and reservation turnout patterns.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-one points in 1932 and a Republican high of twenty-nine points in 1968. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty points.

A population of 144,508, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,966 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/22380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona voted Democratic by 19.9 points (D+20), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 70,067 votes cast, 41,504 went Democratic and 27,576 went Republican.
What is Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona's political typology?
Akashic places Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona?
Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona has a population of 144,508 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona?
Median household income in Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona is $72,966 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Flagstaff, AZ, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.