akashic
1876–2024
Hannibal, MO·Missouri

Hannibal, MO has voted Republican in seven straight presidential elections — R+55 in 2024.

Mark Twain's river town, now a bellwether for small-city Missouri drift

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MO
LatestR+55in 2024
TypologyFarm Beltcluster typology
Population38,8852024 ACS

Hannibal, MO, Missouri: Farm Belt metro. In 2024, voted R+55%. Republican peak: R+55 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+55MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Farm BeltAkashic typology
Population
38,8852024 5-year
Median household income
$63,5692024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
90.2%2024 5-year
Black
3.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+47 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Hannibal, MO
TrumpR+55
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Hannibal, MO, MOA map of the constituent counties of Hannibal, MO, MO, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Ralls County, MO · R+59Marion County, MO · R+53
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican76.9%14,566
Kamala HarrisDemocratic22.1%4,186
OtherAll other candidates0.9%178
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −54.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−54.8%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+30.4%
1896+28.3%
1900+29.8%
1904+20.3%
1908+25.7%
1912+34.4%
1916+28.7%
1920+22.2%
1924+9.7%
1928−8.6%
1932+47.5%
1936+44.6%
1940+29.0%
1944+33.0%
1948+44.0%
1952+20.3%
1956+15.0%
1960+7.8%
1964+44.0%
1968+9.4%
1972−23.9%
1976+10.5%
1980−0.3%
1984−14.3%
1988+10.8%
1992+7.4%
1996+5.1%
2000−12.1%
2004−24.0%
2008−22.4%
2012−31.3%
2016−51.2%
2020−52.0%
2024−54.8%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−54.8%
4,18614,56618,930
R
−52.0%
4,40714,31119,038
R
−51.2%
4,13213,38818,081
R
−31.3%
5,76711,15417,194
R
−22.4%
6,74410,69217,637
R
−24.0%
6,59910,80117,487
R
−12.1%
7,0268,99616,254
D
+5.1%
6,9226,16614,773
D
+7.4%
7,3146,11116,176
D
+10.8%
8,1066,52814,664
R
−14.3%
6,6778,89815,575
R
−0.3%
7,9598,00416,328
D
+10.5%
8,4426,83515,345
R
−23.9%
5,5429,02414,566
D
+9.4%
7,3165,90714,922
D
+44.0%
11,1614,34115,502
D
+7.8%
9,2537,91617,169
D
+15.0%
9,5067,03016,536
D
+20.3%
11,4777,59919,102
D
+44.0%
12,1354,71016,866
D
+33.0%
11,3745,72417,115
D
+29.0%
13,2857,30420,640
D
+44.6%
14,8905,67920,632
D
+47.5%
13,8194,88418,826
R
−8.6%
7,9529,45817,438
D
+9.7%
8,3566,77316,369
D
+22.2%
9,5226,02215,742
D
+28.7%
6,5283,58510,245
D
+34.4%
5,2052,2848,492
D
+25.7%
5,9293,4549,643
D
+20.3%
4,9213,2258,374
D
+29.8%
6,0883,2609,485
D
+28.3%
6,3053,5139,880
D
+30.4%
5,6022,9568,706
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.5%
English
12.7%
Irish
9.6%
American
8.8%
Italian
2.9%
French
1.8%
Scottish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.0%
85+
1.3%
2.6%
75–84
3.4%
5.7%
65–74
6.2%
6.7%
55–64
6.9%
6.0%
45–54
5.8%
6.0%
35–44
5.9%
5.4%
25–34
5.7%
4.3%
18–24
3.9%
8.1%
5–17
8.6%
3.5%
<5
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,569
Hannibal, MO ranks near the middle of US counties.
Hannibal, MO$63,569
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.3%
Working age (18–64)12.6%
Seniors (65+)20.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
99.0%
speak English only
Spanish0.4%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
15.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.7%
Other Christian
7.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.8%
Methodist
5.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Hannibal's Marion County has shifted decisively toward Republican margins over the past two decades, tracking a broader pattern of rural and small-city realignment along the Mississippi corridor that reshaped Missouri statewide.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-seven points in 1932 and a Republican high of fifty-five points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-five points.

A population of 38,885, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,569 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hannibal, MO, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/25300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Hannibal, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hannibal, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 54.8 points (R+55), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,930 votes cast, 4,186 went Democratic and 14,566 went Republican.
What is Hannibal, MO, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Hannibal, MO, Missouri in the "Farm Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 11 times, and other 0 times.
When did Hannibal, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hannibal, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hannibal, MO, Missouri?
Hannibal, MO, Missouri has a population of 38,885 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hannibal, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Hannibal, MO, Missouri is $63,569 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Hannibal, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hannibal, MO, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.