Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas: Stable Rural Right metro. In 2024, voted R+36%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 100,0352024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,1812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Hot Springs, AR
TrumpR+36
Constituent county margins for Hot Springs, AR, AROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 67.0% | 28,359 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 30.7% | 13,015 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.3% | 953 |
D+60R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +20.4% |
| 1896 | +34.0% |
| 1900 | +14.0% |
| 1904 | −3.0% |
| 1908 | +9.1% |
| 1912 | +36.8% |
| 1916 | +22.7% |
| 1920 | +21.2% |
| 1924 | +15.4% |
| 1928 | +1.9% |
| 1932 | +67.2% |
| 1936 | +41.0% |
| 1940 | +40.0% |
| 1944 | +26.9% |
| 1948 | +20.7% |
| 1952 | −20.5% |
| 1956 | −26.5% |
| 1960 | −6.2% |
| 1964 | +7.6% |
| 1968 | −10.0% |
| 1972 | −49.2% |
| 1976 | +20.3% |
| 1980 | −10.8% |
| 1984 | −28.7% |
| 1988 | −24.9% |
| 1992 | +16.5% |
| 1996 | +15.3% |
| 2000 | −9.1% |
| 2004 | −9.2% |
| 2008 | −25.0% |
| 2012 | −30.0% |
| 2016 | −35.0% |
| 2020 | −34.0% |
| 2024 | −36.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 13,015 | 28,359 | 42,327 | ||
| R | 14,045 | 29,069 | 44,199 | ||
| R | 12,311 | 26,087 | 39,387 | ||
| R | 13,804 | 26,014 | 40,728 | ||
| R | 15,899 | 26,825 | 43,719 | ||
| R | 18,040 | 21,734 | 40,154 | ||
| R | 15,840 | 19,098 | 35,935 | ||
| D | 19,211 | 13,662 | 36,206 | ||
| D | 18,811 | 12,886 | 35,995 | ||
| R | 11,406 | 19,281 | 31,642 | ||
| R | 11,484 | 21,213 | 33,958 | ||
| R | 12,515 | 15,739 | 29,717 | ||
| D | 15,707 | 10,394 | 26,170 | ||
| R | 5,207 | 15,602 | 21,112 | ||
| R | 5,655 | 7,674 | 20,284 | ||
| D | 11,591 | 9,952 | 21,629 | ||
| R | 6,333 | 7,204 | 13,944 | ||
| R | 5,437 | 9,427 | 15,076 | ||
| R | 5,165 | 7,848 | 13,065 | ||
| D | 3,764 | 2,286 | 7,154 | ||
| D | 3,596 | 2,069 | 5,669 | ||
| D | 3,335 | 1,424 | 4,772 | ||
| D | 2,931 | 1,217 | 4,183 | ||
| D | 4,252 | 833 | 5,086 | ||
| D | 2,823 | 2,720 | 5,558 | ||
| D | 1,501 | 1,064 | 2,837 | ||
| D | 1,670 | 1,055 | 2,901 | ||
| D | 1,678 | 1,057 | 2,735 | ||
| D | 1,046 | 300 | 2,027 | ||
| D | 1,340 | 1,105 | 2,575 | ||
| R | 804 | 854 | 1,677 | ||
| D | 940 | 708 | 1,661 | ||
| D | 1,465 | 703 | 2,244 | ||
| D | 1,456 | 940 | 2,534 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.7%
Irish
12.5%
German
11.2%
American
6.2%
Italian
2.2%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 45.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$57,181
Hot Springs, AR ranks near the middle of US counties.
Hot Springs, AR$57,181
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.8%
Working age (18–64)14.9%
Seniors (65+)10.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.0%
speak English only
Spanish5.0%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Hot Springs anchors a small metro where tourism history and a disproportionately older population shape turnout patterns, contributing to the low-density, high-Republican-margin profile typical of Arkansas's non-delta interior counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty-seven points in 1932 and a Republican high of forty-nine points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-six points.
A population of 100,035, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,181 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/26300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 36.3 points (R+36), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 42,327 votes cast, 13,015 went Democratic and 28,359 went Republican.
What is Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas in the "Stable Rural Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas has a population of 100,035 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas is $57,181 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.