akashic
1876–2024
Johnson City, TN·Tennessee

Johnson City, TN has voted Republican in twenty-eight straight presidential elections — R+48 in 2024.

Tri-Cities anchor where Appalachian heritage meets university-town demographics

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TN
LatestR+48in 2024
TypologyStable Rural Rightcluster typology
Population210,7292024 ACS

Johnson City, TN, Tennessee: Stable Rural Right metro. In 2024, voted R+48%. Republican peak: R+66 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+48MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
Population
210,7292024 5-year
Median household income
$58,5062024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
89.0%2024 5-year
Black
2.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.4%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+66 in 1928MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Johnson City, TN
TrumpR+48
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Johnson City, TN, TNA map of the constituent counties of Johnson City, TN, TN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Washington County, TN · R+39Unicoi County, TN · R+62Carter County, TN · R+63
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican73.3%69,342
Kamala HarrisDemocratic25.5%24,163
OtherAll other candidates1.2%1,146
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −47.7% in 2024.−47.7%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−30.6%
1896−47.6%
1900−50.1%
1904−51.6%
1908−49.7%
1912−5.2%
1916−44.4%
1920−59.0%
1924−48.8%
1928−65.9%
1932−28.7%
1936−23.1%
1940−23.2%
1944−34.4%
1948−33.9%
1952−45.5%
1956−50.5%
1960−47.3%
1964−10.8%
1968−41.6%
1972−57.9%
1976−5.8%
1980−24.8%
1984−42.3%
1988−36.0%
1992−16.9%
1996−18.7%
2000−22.7%
2004−35.9%
2008−37.9%
2012−42.7%
2016−50.1%
2020−45.0%
2024−47.7%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−47.7%
24,16369,34294,651
R
−45.0%
24,78266,62793,002
R
−50.1%
17,73956,82178,029
R
−42.7%
21,02753,34375,735
R
−37.9%
23,63553,20477,974
R
−35.9%
23,71350,53374,782
R
−22.7%
24,05938,47063,473
R
−18.7%
21,60832,62258,877
R
−16.9%
21,94832,26261,120
R
−36.0%
16,51535,31552,151
R
−42.3%
15,79039,16455,280
R
−24.8%
19,48532,93354,170
R
−5.8%
23,92026,91551,324
R
−57.9%
8,29732,32241,468
R
−41.6%
8,00025,67642,453
R
−10.8%
17,57921,81539,394
R
−47.3%
11,01731,06942,370
R
−50.5%
9,35828,66738,267
R
−45.5%
9,11524,49533,807
R
−33.9%
6,67613,92621,388
R
−34.4%
6,50113,35019,929
R
−23.2%
6,72110,82017,688
R
−23.1%
7,16411,49618,772
R
−28.7%
5,76910,46216,333
R
−65.9%
2,43011,86414,313
R
−48.8%
2,7718,28111,294
R
−59.0%
3,48113,50116,990
R
−44.4%
2,5556,6459,208
O
−5.2%
2,1792,6579,139
R
−49.7%
2,1006,2668,377
R
−51.6%
1,7215,4807,280
R
−50.1%
1,9806,0738,170
R
−47.6%
2,1956,3118,641
R
−30.6%
2,2874,4337,019
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
18.9%
English
17.0%
German
10.7%
Irish
10.3%
Scottish
2.7%
Italian
2.1%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.3%
2.8%
75–84
3.5%
5.7%
65–74
6.3%
6.8%
55–64
7.0%
6.3%
45–54
6.5%
5.8%
35–44
5.7%
6.4%
25–34
6.1%
5.0%
18–24
5.7%
7.2%
5–17
6.8%
2.3%
<5
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$58,506
Johnson City, TN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Johnson City, TN$58,506
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.0%
Working age (18–64)15.5%
Seniors (65+)11.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.9%
speak English only
Spanish2.7%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
21.6%
Other Christian
17.3%
Methodist
5.1%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Johnson City's Ballad Health campus and East Tennessee State University give the metro an unusually large healthcare and higher-education workforce, moderating the deep-red baseline typical of surrounding Sullivan and Washington counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of sixty-six points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-eight points.

A population of 210,729, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,506 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Johnson City, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/27740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Johnson City, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Johnson City, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 47.7 points (R+48), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 94,651 votes cast, 24,163 went Democratic and 69,342 went Republican.
What is Johnson City, TN, Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places Johnson City, TN, Tennessee in the "Stable Rural Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 33 times, and other 1 times.
How many people live in Johnson City, TN, Tennessee?
Johnson City, TN, Tennessee has a population of 210,729 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Johnson City, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Johnson City, TN, Tennessee is $58,506 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Johnson City, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Johnson City, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 33 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.