Knoxville, TN, Tennessee: Industrial Catholic Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+35%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 932,2412024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,4722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 66.8% | 289,889 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 31.4% | 136,410 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.8% | 7,656 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −25.1% |
| 1896 | −39.5% |
| 1900 | −30.4% |
| 1904 | −36.0% |
| 1908 | −35.7% |
| 1912 | +10.9% |
| 1916 | −32.2% |
| 1920 | −44.3% |
| 1924 | −32.7% |
| 1928 | −53.6% |
| 1932 | −7.9% |
| 1936 | +7.7% |
| 1940 | +6.8% |
| 1944 | −15.1% |
| 1948 | −14.8% |
| 1952 | −26.0% |
| 1956 | −23.5% |
| 1960 | −23.2% |
| 1964 | −1.6% |
| 1968 | −25.8% |
| 1972 | −44.7% |
| 1976 | +0.7% |
| 1980 | −19.9% |
| 1984 | −28.0% |
| 1988 | −26.7% |
| 1992 | −2.4% |
| 1996 | −4.4% |
| 2000 | −15.7% |
| 2004 | −26.6% |
| 2008 | −29.6% |
| 2012 | −35.8% |
| 2016 | −36.2% |
| 2020 | −31.1% |
| 2024 | −35.4% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 136,410 | 289,889 | 433,955 | ||
| R | 140,410 | 270,665 | 419,417 | ||
| R | 99,215 | 222,902 | 341,338 | ||
| R | 101,730 | 218,572 | 326,258 | ||
| R | 119,877 | 222,750 | 348,113 | ||
| R | 122,550 | 212,374 | 337,730 | ||
| R | 119,031 | 164,296 | 288,357 | ||
| R | 118,070 | 129,746 | 265,979 | ||
| R | 117,731 | 124,272 | 273,269 | ||
| R | 80,018 | 138,795 | 219,961 | ||
| R | 82,774 | 147,515 | 231,551 | ||
| R | 85,188 | 129,892 | 224,287 | ||
| D | 104,292 | 102,769 | 209,431 | ||
| R | 45,240 | 120,998 | 169,485 | ||
| R | 46,265 | 91,091 | 173,697 | ||
| R | 81,310 | 83,894 | 165,204 | ||
| R | 62,057 | 99,831 | 163,082 | ||
| R | 57,042 | 92,753 | 151,955 | ||
| R | 52,065 | 88,688 | 141,049 | ||
| R | 33,905 | 46,358 | 83,975 | ||
| R | 32,838 | 44,566 | 77,743 | ||
| D | 36,245 | 31,590 | 68,206 | ||
| D | 35,964 | 30,785 | 66,996 | ||
| R | 21,219 | 24,920 | 46,833 | ||
| R | 10,209 | 33,909 | 44,222 | ||
| R | 12,027 | 24,853 | 39,198 | ||
| R | 13,407 | 34,899 | 48,482 | ||
| R | 9,136 | 17,976 | 27,419 | ||
| O | 8,752 | 5,859 | 26,635 | ||
| R | 8,803 | 18,952 | 28,433 | ||
| R | 6,797 | 14,801 | 22,228 | ||
| R | 9,624 | 18,270 | 28,465 | ||
| R | 9,774 | 22,846 | 33,107 | ||
| R | 8,864 | 15,264 | 25,477 | ||
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Demographics
Knoxville's metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchored by a white working-class and college-educated suburban base that has shown little of the ticket-splitting volatility seen in Nashville or Memphis.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eleven points in 1912 and a Republican high of fifty-four points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-five points.
A population of 932,241, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,472 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Knoxville, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/28940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.