akashic
1876–2024
Knoxville, TN·Tennessee

Knoxville, TN has voted Republican in twelve straight presidential elections — R+35 in 2024.

Anchor of East Tennessee's reliably Republican highland corridor

18762024·38 elections
TN
LatestR+35in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population932,2412024 ACS

Knoxville, TN, Tennessee: Industrial Catholic Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+35%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+35MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
932,2412024 5-year
Median household income
$72,4722024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.8%2024 5-year
Black
5.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+11 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+54 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Knoxville, TN
TrumpR+35
2024 presidential margin by county for Knoxville, TN, TNA map of the constituent counties of Knoxville, TN, TN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Blount County, TN · R+48Morgan County, TN · R+74Union County, TN · R+71Anderson County, TN · R+36Loudon County, TN · R+53Grainger County, TN · R+74Roane County, TN · R+54Knox County, TN · R+19Campbell County, TN · R+70
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican66.8%289,889
Kamala HarrisDemocratic31.4%136,410
OtherAll other candidates1.8%7,656
D+60
R+60
9 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −35.4% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−35.4%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−25.1%
1896−39.5%
1900−30.4%
1904−36.0%
1908−35.7%
1912+10.9%
1916−32.2%
1920−44.3%
1924−32.7%
1928−53.6%
1932−7.9%
1936+7.7%
1940+6.8%
1944−15.1%
1948−14.8%
1952−26.0%
1956−23.5%
1960−23.2%
1964−1.6%
1968−25.8%
1972−44.7%
1976+0.7%
1980−19.9%
1984−28.0%
1988−26.7%
1992−2.4%
1996−4.4%
2000−15.7%
2004−26.6%
2008−29.6%
2012−35.8%
2016−36.2%
2020−31.1%
2024−35.4%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−35.4%
136,410289,889433,955
R
−31.1%
140,410270,665419,417
R
−36.2%
99,215222,902341,338
R
−35.8%
101,730218,572326,258
R
−29.6%
119,877222,750348,113
R
−26.6%
122,550212,374337,730
R
−15.7%
119,031164,296288,357
R
−4.4%
118,070129,746265,979
R
−2.4%
117,731124,272273,269
R
−26.7%
80,018138,795219,961
R
−28.0%
82,774147,515231,551
R
−19.9%
85,188129,892224,287
D
+0.7%
104,292102,769209,431
R
−44.7%
45,240120,998169,485
R
−25.8%
46,26591,091173,697
R
−1.6%
81,31083,894165,204
R
−23.2%
62,05799,831163,082
R
−23.5%
57,04292,753151,955
R
−26.0%
52,06588,688141,049
R
−14.8%
33,90546,35883,975
R
−15.1%
32,83844,56677,743
D
+6.8%
36,24531,59068,206
D
+7.7%
35,96430,78566,996
R
−7.9%
21,21924,92046,833
R
−53.6%
10,20933,90944,222
R
−32.7%
12,02724,85339,198
R
−44.3%
13,40734,89948,482
R
−32.2%
9,13617,97627,419
O
+10.9%
8,7525,85926,635
R
−35.7%
8,80318,95228,433
R
−36.0%
6,79714,80122,228
R
−30.4%
9,62418,27028,465
R
−39.5%
9,77422,84633,107
R
−25.1%
8,86415,26425,477
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.7%
American
11.7%
German
11.1%
Irish
10.5%
Scottish
2.8%
Italian
2.4%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.4%
speak English only
Spanish3.7%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
26.6%
Other Christian
12.6%
Methodist
6.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Knoxville's metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchored by a white working-class and college-educated suburban base that has shown little of the ticket-splitting volatility seen in Nashville or Memphis.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eleven points in 1912 and a Republican high of fifty-four points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-five points.

A population of 932,241, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,472 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Knoxville, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/28940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Knoxville, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Knoxville, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 35.4 points (R+35), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 433,955 votes cast, 136,410 went Democratic and 289,889 went Republican.
What is Knoxville, TN, Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places Knoxville, TN, Tennessee in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 30 times, and other 1 times.
When did Knoxville, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Knoxville, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Knoxville, TN, Tennessee has a population of 932,241 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee is $72,472 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.