McMinnville, TN, Tennessee: Appalachian Realigners metro. In 2024, voted R+56%. Democratic peak: D+69 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 42,1662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,4872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
McMinnville, TN
TrumpR+56
Constituent county margins for McMinnville, TN, TNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 77.4% | 13,192 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 21.4% | 3,647 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.2% | 211 |
D+60R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +35.8% |
| 1896 | +41.9% |
| 1900 | +48.3% |
| 1904 | +42.6% |
| 1908 | +36.2% |
| 1912 | +59.8% |
| 1916 | +49.3% |
| 1920 | +32.4% |
| 1924 | +46.2% |
| 1928 | +9.2% |
| 1932 | +69.3% |
| 1936 | +61.0% |
| 1940 | +61.6% |
| 1944 | +49.9% |
| 1948 | +48.4% |
| 1952 | +30.0% |
| 1956 | +34.3% |
| 1960 | +7.5% |
| 1964 | +48.3% |
| 1968 | +2.4% |
| 1972 | −24.6% |
| 1976 | +47.2% |
| 1980 | +23.6% |
| 1984 | +0.0% |
| 1988 | +1.3% |
| 1992 | +28.2% |
| 1996 | +18.6% |
| 2000 | +13.9% |
| 2004 | −4.8% |
| 2008 | −21.2% |
| 2012 | −25.0% |
| 2016 | −44.1% |
| 2020 | −49.5% |
| 2024 | −56.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,647 | 13,192 | 17,050 | ||
| R | 3,924 | 11,850 | 16,009 | ||
| R | 3,535 | 9,540 | 13,612 | ||
| R | 4,752 | 8,010 | 13,015 | ||
| R | 5,515 | 8,562 | 14,400 | ||
| R | 6,808 | 7,503 | 14,400 | ||
| D | 7,378 | 5,552 | 13,131 | ||
| D | 6,389 | 4,226 | 11,633 | ||
| D | 7,189 | 3,704 | 12,355 | ||
| D | 4,646 | 4,529 | 9,218 | ||
| D | 4,813 | 4,811 | 9,691 | ||
| D | 6,021 | 3,680 | 9,904 | ||
| D | 6,666 | 2,364 | 9,115 | ||
| R | 2,118 | 3,565 | 5,894 | ||
| O | 2,046 | 1,858 | 7,718 | ||
| D | 5,027 | 1,754 | 6,781 | ||
| D | 3,119 | 2,682 | 5,841 | ||
| D | 4,014 | 1,954 | 5,998 | ||
| D | 3,568 | 1,912 | 5,513 | ||
| D | 2,969 | 807 | 4,464 | ||
| D | 2,560 | 848 | 3,429 | ||
| D | 2,323 | 546 | 2,887 | ||
| D | 2,304 | 553 | 2,870 | ||
| D | 2,325 | 410 | 2,765 | ||
| D | 1,111 | 923 | 2,043 | ||
| D | 1,356 | 490 | 1,874 | ||
| D | 1,986 | 1,010 | 3,012 | ||
| D | 1,855 | 624 | 2,498 | ||
| D | 1,745 | 339 | 2,350 | ||
| D | 1,573 | 729 | 2,330 | ||
| D | 1,815 | 707 | 2,599 | ||
| D | 1,926 | 672 | 2,598 | ||
| D | 2,101 | 842 | 3,003 | ||
| D | 1,568 | 633 | 2,614 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
18.0%
English
15.3%
Irish
8.5%
German
5.9%
Scottish
2.0%
Italian
1.4%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$55,487
McMinnville, TN ranks near the middle of US counties.
McMinnville, TN$55,487
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.4%
Working age (18–64)14.4%
Seniors (65+)12.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.7%
speak English only
Spanish6.0%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
McMinnville anchors Warren County, a persistently Republican-leaning corner of the Cumberland Plateau where voter registration has trended increasingly toward the GOP over the past decade, even as light industrial growth draws a modestly younger workforce.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty-nine points in 1932 and a Republican high of fifty-six points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-six points.
A population of 42,166, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,487 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
McMinnville, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/32660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did McMinnville, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, McMinnville, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 56.0 points (R+56), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,050 votes cast, 3,647 went Democratic and 13,192 went Republican.
What is McMinnville, TN, Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places McMinnville, TN, Tennessee in the "Appalachian Realigners" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 7 times, and other 1 times.
When did McMinnville, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which McMinnville, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in McMinnville, TN, Tennessee?
McMinnville, TN, Tennessee has a population of 42,166 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McMinnville, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in McMinnville, TN, Tennessee is $55,487 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of McMinnville, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in McMinnville, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Appalachian Realigners" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.