akashic
1876–2024
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN·Tennessee

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN has voted Republican in six straight presidential elections — R+17 in 2024.

A booming Sun Belt metro where in-migration is reshaping the electorate

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TN
LatestR+17in 2024
TypologySunbelt Conservativecluster typology
Population2,079,5962024 ACS

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee: Sunbelt Conservative metro. In 2024, voted R+17%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+17MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
Population
2,079,5962024 5-year
Median household income
$88,6372024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
70.1%2024 5-year
Black
14.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+67 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+28 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
TrumpR+17
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, TNA map of the constituent counties of Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, TN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Smith County, TN · R+65Sumner County, TN · R+42Rutherford County, TN · R+22Hickman County, TN · R+61Cheatham County, TN · R+46Cannon County, TN · R+66Wilson County, TN · R+40Robertson County, TN · R+51Dickson County, TN · R+52Trousdale County, TN · R+59Macon County, TN · R+74Williamson County, TN · R+32Davidson County, TN · D+27Maury County, TN · R+45
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican57.8%542,365
Kamala HarrisDemocratic40.3%378,720
OtherAll other candidates1.9%17,649
D+60
R+60
14 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −17.4% in 2024.flipped R · 2004−17.4%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+34.6%
1896+26.3%
1900+32.5%
1904+38.0%
1908+37.4%
1912+46.7%
1916+41.2%
1920+24.3%
1924+44.7%
1928+9.1%
1932+59.5%
1936+66.9%
1940+56.6%
1944+49.2%
1948+41.6%
1952+25.7%
1956+29.4%
1960+13.0%
1964+32.6%
1968+0.7%
1972−27.7%
1976+27.1%
1980+17.6%
1984−11.4%
1988−12.7%
1992+10.3%
1996+6.1%
2000+1.6%
2004−12.8%
2008−10.5%
2012−16.4%
2016−16.3%
2020−10.8%
2024−17.4%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−17.4%
378,720542,365938,734
R
−10.8%
401,381500,933923,304
R
−16.3%
281,062398,113719,346
R
−16.4%
278,481389,779679,447
R
−10.5%
314,069388,882711,956
R
−12.8%
275,021356,687635,748
D
+1.6%
257,907249,423516,073
D
+6.1%
226,786198,876454,970
D
+10.3%
221,469174,973449,788
R
−12.7%
159,423206,188367,654
R
−11.4%
160,469201,884364,810
D
+17.6%
191,769132,732334,777
D
+27.1%
186,641106,387296,379
R
−27.7%
79,931143,708230,124
O
+0.7%
71,97570,250241,476
D
+32.6%
141,10271,660212,762
D
+13.0%
106,59381,853190,078
D
+29.4%
106,83457,915166,362
D
+25.7%
101,17459,736161,309
D
+41.6%
52,22517,03784,668
D
+49.2%
59,97120,35780,556
D
+56.6%
62,48417,27579,941
D
+66.9%
55,16910,80566,289
D
+59.5%
50,85712,68364,198
D
+9.1%
32,99027,49160,559
D
+44.7%
31,53811,47444,898
D
+24.3%
41,00424,90966,192
D
+41.2%
32,73313,47746,685
D
+46.7%
32,97710,66247,828
D
+37.4%
29,99013,51244,024
D
+38.0%
28,73612,59542,483
D
+32.5%
31,54615,82848,424
D
+26.3%
37,62521,71460,455
D
+34.6%
29,71212,76049,024
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.7%
American
10.5%
German
9.7%
Irish
8.9%
Italian
2.7%
Scottish
2.3%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.4%
85+
0.8%
1.8%
75–84
2.3%
4.1%
65–74
4.7%
5.8%
55–64
6.1%
6.2%
45–54
6.3%
7.1%
35–44
7.2%
7.5%
25–34
7.8%
4.5%
18–24
4.5%
8.6%
5–17
8.2%
3.1%
<5
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$88,637
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN$88,637
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.3%
Working age (18–64)9.3%
Seniors (65+)9.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
87.1%
speak English only
Spanish7.4%
Other languages2.0%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
16.4%
Other Christian
16.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.1%
Methodist
4.8%
Mainline Protestant
2.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Non-Christian
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Nashville's metro has absorbed hundreds of thousands of new residents since 2010, compressing Republican margins in Davidson County's suburbs even as the city core votes reliably Democratic by double digits.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty-seven points in 1936 and a Republican high of twenty-eight points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seventeen points.

A population of 2,079,596, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,637 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/34980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 17.4 points (R+17), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 938,734 votes cast, 378,720 went Democratic and 542,365 went Republican.
What is Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee in the "Sunbelt Conservative" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 24 times, Republican 9 times, and other 1 times.
When did Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee has a population of 2,079,596 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee is $88,637 — above the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Sunbelt Conservative" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.