Rochester, MN, Minnesota: Realigning Affluent Suburb metro. In 2024, voted R+1%. Republican peak: R+65 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
- Population
- 228,5222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,4952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 49.3% | 63,723 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 48.3% | 62,441 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.4% | 3,138 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +15.8% |
| 1896 | −30.0% |
| 1900 | −32.6% |
| 1904 | −49.6% |
| 1908 | −31.5% |
| 1912 | +9.7% |
| 1916 | −17.5% |
| 1920 | −64.9% |
| 1924 | −49.9% |
| 1928 | −35.6% |
| 1932 | +14.4% |
| 1936 | +14.4% |
| 1940 | −19.9% |
| 1944 | −20.6% |
| 1948 | +1.1% |
| 1952 | −41.4% |
| 1956 | −32.2% |
| 1960 | −21.4% |
| 1964 | +12.1% |
| 1968 | −13.3% |
| 1972 | −37.1% |
| 1976 | −16.9% |
| 1980 | −19.8% |
| 1984 | −23.4% |
| 1988 | −14.2% |
| 1992 | −4.7% |
| 1996 | +3.4% |
| 2000 | −6.8% |
| 2004 | −5.7% |
| 2008 | +2.0% |
| 2012 | +1.5% |
| 2016 | −7.3% |
| 2020 | −0.1% |
| 2024 | −1.0% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 62,441 | 63,723 | 129,302 | ||
| R | 62,817 | 62,929 | 128,836 | ||
| R | 47,108 | 55,455 | 113,670 | ||
| D | 54,953 | 53,316 | 111,298 | ||
| D | 54,741 | 52,598 | 109,811 | ||
| R | 48,775 | 54,778 | 104,976 | ||
| R | 38,734 | 44,745 | 88,196 | ||
| D | 35,345 | 32,666 | 78,913 | ||
| R | 29,372 | 33,433 | 85,509 | ||
| R | 30,904 | 41,216 | 72,765 | ||
| R | 27,344 | 44,198 | 72,092 | ||
| R | 24,403 | 38,042 | 68,776 | ||
| R | 26,729 | 37,944 | 66,221 | ||
| R | 17,910 | 39,934 | 59,330 | ||
| R | 23,224 | 30,694 | 56,042 | ||
| D | 29,513 | 23,130 | 52,725 | ||
| R | 20,642 | 31,922 | 52,649 | ||
| R | 14,714 | 28,726 | 43,545 | ||
| R | 13,342 | 32,325 | 45,855 | ||
| D | 19,822 | 19,396 | 39,658 | ||
| R | 14,346 | 21,809 | 36,289 | ||
| R | 17,231 | 25,848 | 43,204 | ||
| D | 20,656 | 15,171 | 38,158 | ||
| D | 19,721 | 14,681 | 35,068 | ||
| R | 11,146 | 23,566 | 34,877 | ||
| R | 2,176 | 16,962 | 29,608 | ||
| R | 4,446 | 22,764 | 28,213 | ||
| R | 5,583 | 8,093 | 14,370 | ||
| O | 4,497 | 3,156 | 13,843 | ||
| R | 4,705 | 9,335 | 14,694 | ||
| R | 3,096 | 9,801 | 13,526 | ||
| R | 5,041 | 10,284 | 16,073 | ||
| R | 6,221 | 11,826 | 18,663 | ||
| D | 8,068 | 5,587 | 15,653 | ||
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Demographics
Rochester's economy revolves around a single world-renowned medical employer, producing one of Minnesota's highest concentrations of advanced-degree holders and a white-collar electorate that has trended competitive in recent statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixteen points in 1892 and a Republican high of sixty-five points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was one point.
A population of 228,522, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,495 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Rochester, MN, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/40340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.