Akashic
1876–2024
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA·Pennsylvania

Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA delivered R+11.2 in 2024.

Northeastern PA's post-industrial corridor where margins have narrowed sharply since 2008

20082024·5 elections
PA
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
TrumpR+11.2
2024 presidential margin by county for Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, PAA map of the constituent counties of Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, PA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Lackawanna County, PA · D+2.8Luzerne County, PA · R+19.1Wyoming County, PA · R+36.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican55.1%158,927
Kamala HarrisDemocratic43.9%126,694
OtherAll other candidates1.0%2,831
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −11.2% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−11.2%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+1.9%
1896−16.4%
1900−10.1%
1904−32.0%
1908−13.3%
1912+23.3%
1916−8.8%
1920−29.8%
1924−31.6%
1928+2.9%
1932+6.6%
1936+15.3%
1940+11.2%
1944+5.9%
1948+2.3%
1952−5.8%
1956−13.8%
1960+18.9%
1964+42.8%
1968+15.4%
1972−19.4%
1976+10.8%
1980−4.2%
1984−7.5%
1988−0.4%
1992+7.3%
1996+16.8%
2000+13.0%
2004+6.5%
2008+15.0%
2012+13.3%
2016−10.9%
2020−6.2%
2024−11.2%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
43.9%Harris126,694
55.1%Trump158,927
1.0%
−11.2%
288,452
R
46.4%Biden131,568
52.6%Trump149,199
1.0%incl. Jorgensen
−6.2%
283,589
R
42.7%Clinton108,245
53.6%Trump135,909
3.7%incl. Johnson
−10.9%
253,567
D
55.8%Obama131,206
42.5%Romney99,997
1.7%
+13.3%
235,117
D
57.0%Obama145,997
42.0%McCain107,598
1.0%
+15.0%
256,189
D
52.7%Kerry134,128
46.1%Bush117,501
1.2%
+6.5%
254,679
D
54.5%Gore124,033
41.4%Bush94,346
4.1%incl. Nader
+13.0%
227,676
D
52.7%Clinton110,600
35.9%Dole75,395
11.4%incl. Perot
+16.8%
209,906
D
45.0%Clinton104,835
37.7%Bush87,871
17.3%incl. Perot
+7.3%
232,964
R
49.4%Dukakis106,941
49.8%Bush107,749
0.7%
−0.4%
216,280
R
45.6%Mondale106,851
53.2%Reagan124,531
1.2%
−7.5%
234,245
R
45.1%Carter107,999
49.2%Reagan117,983
5.7%incl. Anderson
−4.2%
239,694
D
54.8%Carter135,968
44.0%Ford109,117
1.3%
+10.8%
248,261
R
39.9%McGovern98,705
59.3%Nixon146,619
0.7%
−19.4%
247,106
D
55.5%Humphrey147,703
40.1%Nixon106,639
4.3%incl. Wallace
+15.4%
265,895
D
71.1%Johnson198,796
28.3%Goldwater79,031
0.7%
+42.8%
279,755
D
59.4%Kennedy185,822
40.4%Nixon126,535
0.2%
+18.9%
312,975
R
42.9%Stevenson123,016
56.7%Eisenhower162,750
0.4%
−13.8%
287,055
R
47.0%Stevenson139,320
52.7%Eisenhower156,383
0.3%
−5.8%
296,601
D
50.5%Truman128,038
48.2%Dewey122,289
1.2%incl. Thurmond
+2.3%
253,487
D
52.8%Roosevelt134,846
46.9%Dewey119,826
0.3%
+5.9%
255,359
D
55.5%Roosevelt175,468
44.2%Willkie139,889
0.3%
+11.2%
316,423
D
57.0%Roosevelt188,862
41.7%Landon138,079
1.2%
+15.3%
331,065
D
52.4%Roosevelt104,496
45.8%Hoover91,272
1.8%
+6.6%
199,329
D
51.4%Smith126,890
48.5%Hoover119,703
0.1%
+2.9%
246,940
R
24.9%Davis38,525
56.6%Coolidge87,396
18.5%incl. La Follette
−31.6%
154,518
R
33.5%Cox49,301
63.3%Harding93,220
3.2%
−29.8%
147,303
R
43.6%Wilson37,170
52.5%Hughes44,704
3.9%
−8.8%
85,195
O
35.2%Wilson27,389
11.9%Taft9,249
52.9%incl. Roosevelt
+23.3%
77,754
R
41.8%Bryan34,459
55.0%Taft45,418
3.2%
−13.3%
82,525
R
32.3%Parker25,161
64.3%Roosevelt50,040
3.4%
−32.0%
77,818
R
43.2%Bryan33,073
53.3%McKinley40,803
3.4%
−10.1%
76,498
R
40.3%Bryan31,125
56.7%McKinley43,828
3.0%
−16.4%
77,310
D
48.7%Cleveland27,990
46.8%Harrison26,876
4.5%incl. Weaver
+1.9%
57,480
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorScranton--Wilkes-Barre, PAMetro areaPennsylvaniaStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White78.7%74.5%61.0%
Black4.1%10.7%12.2%
Asian1.8%3.8%6.0%
Two or more races9.0%7.1%12.6%
Other race6.4%3.9%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino13.8%8.7%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$65,051$77,971$84,427
Poverty rate14.8%11.7%12.5%
Median age42.141.239.1
Age 18–248.6%8.9%9.2%
Age 65 and older20.3%19.5%17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)27.2%35.2%35.6%
Speaks a non-English language at home13.2%12.4%22.3%
Spanish9.7%5.6%13.6%
Other Indo-European1.4%1.7%2.0%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryIrish 18.2%German 21.6%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryItalian 16.0%Irish 14.8%Mexican 11.3%
3rd-largest ancestryPolish 14.5%Italian 10.6%English 9.5%
Religion
Catholic38.7%21.9%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant6.0%9.3%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed45.2%53.1%51.5%
Mainline Protestant6.9%10.3%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
Irish
18.2%
Italian
16.0%
Polish
14.5%
German
13.9%
English
6.3%
American
4.0%
Welsh
3.2%
Slovak
1.8%
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Dominican
5.3%
Puerto Rican
3.6%
Mexican
2.0%
Salvadoran
0.4%
Honduran
0.3%
Colombian
0.2%
Ecuadorian
0.2%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries only.
African
0.3%
Jamaican
0.2%
Detailed group · ACS B02015
Asian Indian
0.7%
Filipino
0.2%
Chinese
0.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.8%
speak English only
Spanish9.7%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.5%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.4%
German or other West Germanic0.3%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.2%
Other languages0.2%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.2%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.2%
Korean0.1%
Arabic0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
38.7%
Mainline Protestant
6.9%
Evangelical Protestant
6.0%
Jewish
0.7%
Muslim
0.6%
Other Christian
0.6%
Latter-day Saints
0.5%
Hindu
0.4%
Orthodox Christian
0.3%
Black Protestant
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted45.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by union households and Catholic working-class voters, the Scranton–Wilkes-Barre metro has shifted toward single-digit or sub-single-digit presidential margins over the past three cycles, making it a closely watched bellwether for blue-collar realignment.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 32.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.2 points.

A population of 569,788, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,051 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/42540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 11.2 points (R+11.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 288,452 votes cast, 126,694 went Democratic and 158,927 went Republican.
When did Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 569,788 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania is $65,051 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.