Tucson, AZ, Arizona: Diversifying Metro metro. In 2024, voted D+15%. Democratic peak: D+33 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,060,4902024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,3152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 36.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25 in 1956MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Tucson, AZ
HarrisD+15
Constituent county margins for Tucson, AZ, AZOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 56.8% | 292,450 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 41.7% | 214,669 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.5% | 7,908 |
D+60R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +18.8% |
| 1916 | −10.9% |
| 1920 | −16.0% |
| 1924 | −11.4% |
| 1928 | −14.2% |
| 1932 | +27.7% |
| 1936 | +33.2% |
| 1940 | +19.5% |
| 1944 | +9.0% |
| 1948 | +2.0% |
| 1952 | −20.4% |
| 1956 | −25.1% |
| 1960 | −5.1% |
| 1964 | +7.1% |
| 1968 | −9.9% |
| 1972 | −10.5% |
| 1976 | −3.9% |
| 1980 | −15.3% |
| 1984 | −14.8% |
| 1988 | −1.7% |
| 1992 | +11.2% |
| 1996 | +12.8% |
| 2000 | +8.0% |
| 2004 | +6.0% |
| 2008 | +6.1% |
| 2012 | +6.9% |
| 2016 | +13.6% |
| 2020 | +18.6% |
| 2024 | +15.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 292,450 | 214,669 | 515,027 | ||
| D | 304,981 | 207,758 | 522,174 | ||
| D | 224,661 | 167,428 | 421,640 | ||
| D | 201,251 | 174,779 | 383,173 | ||
| D | 206,254 | 182,406 | 393,428 | ||
| D | 193,128 | 171,109 | 367,492 | ||
| D | 147,688 | 124,579 | 287,640 | ||
| D | 137,983 | 104,121 | 264,552 | ||
| D | 128,569 | 97,036 | 281,484 | ||
| R | 113,824 | 117,899 | 234,473 | ||
| R | 91,585 | 123,830 | 217,612 | ||
| R | 64,418 | 93,055 | 187,057 | ||
| R | 71,214 | 77,264 | 155,061 | ||
| R | 56,223 | 73,154 | 161,110 | ||
| R | 39,786 | 49,479 | 97,766 | ||
| D | 54,120 | 46,955 | 101,278 | ||
| R | 42,171 | 46,734 | 89,144 | ||
| R | 23,536 | 39,298 | 62,885 | ||
| R | 21,237 | 32,113 | 53,350 | ||
| D | 17,692 | 16,968 | 35,625 | ||
| D | 13,006 | 10,850 | 23,913 | ||
| D | 14,035 | 9,445 | 23,562 | ||
| D | 12,249 | 6,079 | 18,590 | ||
| D | 11,061 | 6,152 | 17,727 | ||
| R | 4,976 | 6,635 | 11,653 | ||
| R | 2,594 | 3,559 | 8,439 | ||
| R | 2,455 | 3,392 | 5,847 | ||
| R | 2,079 | 2,616 | 4,922 | ||
| O | 693 | 353 | 1,804 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.1%
English
10.7%
Irish
9.2%
Italian
4.1%
American
3.3%
Polish
2.3%
Scottish
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,315
Tucson, AZ ranks near the middle of US counties.
Tucson, AZ$70,315
Arizona$79,964
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.6%
Working age (18–64)13.9%
Seniors (65+)8.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.3%
speak English only
Spanish20.8%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Tucson anchors Pima County, one of Arizona's most consistently Democratic metros, driven by a large university population, significant Latino electorate, and a border-adjacent economy that shapes voters' priorities on trade and immigration policy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-three points in 1936 and a Republican high of twenty-five points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifteen points.
A population of 1,060,490, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,315 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tucson, AZ, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/46060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Tucson, AZ, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tucson, AZ, Arizona voted Democratic by 15.1 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 515,027 votes cast, 292,450 went Democratic and 214,669 went Republican.
What is Tucson, AZ, Arizona's political typology?
Akashic places Tucson, AZ, Arizona in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 13 times, and other 1 times.
When did Tucson, AZ, Arizona last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Tucson, AZ, Arizona voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Tucson, AZ, Arizona?
Tucson, AZ, Arizona has a population of 1,060,490 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tucson, AZ, Arizona?
Median household income in Tucson, AZ, Arizona is $70,315 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Tucson, AZ, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tucson, AZ, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.