Akashic
1876–2024
Warren, PA·Pennsylvania

Warren, PA has voted Republican in seven straight presidential elections — R+39.1 in 2024.

A mid-sized Steel Belt metro where union tradition meets shifting rural margins.

2008 — 2024·5 elections
PA
2024 presidential election
Warren, PA
TrumpR+39.1
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Warren, PA, PAA map of the single county of Warren, PA, PA, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Warren County, PA · R+39.1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican69.0%14,345
Kamala HarrisDemocratic29.9%6,212
OtherAll other candidates1.1%235
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −39.1% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−39.1%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−14.9%
1896−21.8%
1900−36.0%
1904−50.9%
1908−34.8%
1912+1.7%
1916−11.0%
1920−46.9%
1924−52.9%
1928−61.4%
1932−19.0%
1936−5.0%
1940−30.6%
1944−34.9%
1948−33.4%
1952−44.0%
1956−46.1%
1960−28.0%
1964+27.8%
1968−15.8%
1972−33.9%
1976−6.8%
1980−22.6%
1984−26.7%
1988−13.8%
1992+2.1%
1996+1.4%
2000−10.0%
2004−15.3%
2008−6.2%
2012−17.4%
2016−39.4%
2020−39.6%
2024−39.1%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
29.9%Harris6,212
69.0%Trump14,345
1.1%
−39.1%
20,792
R
29.4%Biden6,066
68.9%Trump14,237
1.7%incl. Jorgensen
−39.6%
20,650
R
27.7%Clinton5,145
67.1%Trump12,477
5.3%incl. Johnson
−39.4%
18,606
R
40.4%Obama6,995
57.9%Romney10,010
1.7%
−17.4%
17,299
R
46.1%Obama8,537
52.3%McCain9,685
1.6%
−6.2%
18,517
R
41.7%Kerry8,044
57.1%Bush10,999
1.2%
−15.3%
19,273
R
42.9%Gore7,537
52.9%Bush9,290
4.1%incl. Nader
−10.0%
17,552
D
42.7%Clinton7,291
41.3%Dole7,056
15.9%incl. Perot
+1.4%
17,067
D
37.8%Clinton6,972
35.7%Bush6,585
26.4%incl. Perot
+2.1%
18,426
R
42.5%Dukakis6,790
56.2%Bush8,991
1.3%
−13.8%
15,995
R
36.3%Mondale6,244
62.9%Reagan10,838
0.8%
−26.7%
17,221
R
34.8%Carter5,560
57.4%Reagan9,165
7.8%incl. Anderson
−22.6%
15,974
R
45.8%Carter7,412
52.6%Ford8,508
1.5%
−6.8%
16,170
R
32.2%McGovern4,877
66.1%Nixon10,018
1.8%
−33.9%
15,167
R
39.9%Humphrey6,368
55.7%Nixon8,889
4.5%incl. Wallace
−15.8%
15,968
D
63.6%Johnson10,598
35.8%Goldwater5,965
0.6%
+27.8%
16,657
R
35.9%Kennedy6,525
63.8%Nixon11,611
0.3%
−28.0%
18,195
R
26.8%Stevenson4,463
72.9%Eisenhower12,145
0.3%
−46.1%
16,651
R
27.5%Stevenson4,442
71.5%Eisenhower11,555
0.9%
−44.0%
16,150
R
32.0%Truman4,103
65.4%Dewey8,378
2.6%incl. Thurmond
−33.4%
12,814
R
32.1%Roosevelt4,440
67.0%Dewey9,276
1.0%
−34.9%
13,853
R
34.4%Roosevelt5,825
65.0%Willkie11,016
0.6%
−30.6%
16,942
R
45.3%Roosevelt8,495
50.3%Landon9,440
4.4%
−5.0%
18,767
R
38.2%Roosevelt5,254
57.2%Hoover7,872
4.6%
−19.0%
13,753
R
18.8%Smith2,835
80.2%Hoover12,077
1.0%
−61.4%
15,056
R
18.0%Davis2,161
70.9%Coolidge8,502
11.0%incl. La Follette
−52.9%
11,986
R
18.2%Cox2,180
65.1%Harding7,791
16.7%
−46.9%
11,974
R
36.8%Wilson2,628
47.8%Hughes3,413
15.4%
−11.0%
7,141
O
23.2%Wilson1,686
21.5%Taft1,564
55.2%incl. Roosevelt
+1.7%
7,258
R
27.3%Bryan2,054
62.0%Taft4,672
10.7%
−34.8%
7,532
R
17.7%Parker1,222
68.6%Roosevelt4,737
13.7%
−50.9%
6,908
R
28.9%Bryan2,500
64.9%McKinley5,609
6.2%
−36.0%
8,645
R
36.9%Bryan3,048
58.7%McKinley4,846
4.4%
−21.8%
8,255
R
37.0%Cleveland2,735
51.9%Harrison3,838
11.1%incl. Weaver
−14.9%
7,394
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No data
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Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorWarren, PAMetro areaPennsylvaniaStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White94.4%74.5%61.0%
Black0.8%10.7%12.2%
Asian0.4%3.8%6.0%
Two or more races3.7%7.1%12.6%
Other race0.7%3.9%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino1.3%8.7%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$60,480$77,971$84,427
Poverty rate10.8%11.7%12.5%
Median age47.141.239.1
Age 18–246.6%8.9%9.2%
Age 65 and older24.9%19.5%17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)19.9%35.2%35.6%
Speaks a non-English language at home2.9%12.4%22.3%
Spanish1.1%5.6%13.6%
German or other West Germanic1.0%0.9%0.5%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryGerman 22.7%German 21.6%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryIrish 13.4%Irish 14.8%Mexican 11.3%
3rd-largest ancestryEnglish 13.4%Italian 10.6%English 9.5%
Religion
Catholic8.1%21.9%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant11.2%9.3%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed62.3%53.1%51.5%
Mainline Protestant16.1%10.3%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
German
22.7%
Irish
13.4%
English
13.4%
Swedish
8.0%
Italian
7.6%
American
6.8%
Polish
3.8%
French
2.3%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Mexican
0.4%
Puerto Rican
0.2%
Below 1% of the population here; subgroup estimates are within the survey's margin of error.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Below 1% of the population here; subgroup estimates are within the survey's margin of error.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 47.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.3%
85+
1.3%
3.4%
75–84
4.5%
7.2%
65–74
7.2%
8.1%
55–64
7.8%
5.9%
45–54
5.9%
5.6%
35–44
5.3%
5.4%
25–34
4.9%
3.5%
18–24
3.1%
7.4%
5–17
7.1%
2.7%
<5
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,480
Warren, PA$60,480
Pennsylvania$77,971
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.5%
Working age (18–64)9.8%
Seniors (65+)12.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.1%
speak English only
Spanish1.1%
German or other West Germanic1.0%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.2%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.1%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.1%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.1%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
16.1%
Evangelical Protestant
11.2%
Catholic
8.1%
Black Protestant
1.8%
Other Christian
0.5%
Unaffiliated or not counted62.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Warren County anchors a small metro that has trended toward Republican presidential margins since 2008, reflecting a broader realignment among working-class white voters across Pennsylvania's northwest corridor.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.4 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 39.1 points.

A population of 37,920, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,480 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warren, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Warren, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warren, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 39.1 points (R+39.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,792 votes cast, 6,212 went Democratic and 14,345 went Republican.
When did Warren, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warren, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Warren, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 37,920 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania is $60,480 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.