akashic
1876–2024
Willmar, MN·Minnesota

Willmar, MN has voted Republican in seven straight presidential elections — R+31 in 2024.

Kandiyohi County seat where meatpacking reshaped the electorate

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MN
LatestR+31in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population44,0792024 ACS

Willmar, MN, Minnesota: Florida Surge metro. In 2024, voted R+31%. Republican peak: R+73 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+31MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
44,0792024 5-year
Median household income
$76,5922024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
78.5%2024 5-year
Black
5.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+43 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+73 in 1904MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Willmar, MN
TrumpR+31
—
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican64.5%15,013
Kamala HarrisDemocratic33.6%7,814
OtherAll other candidates2.0%455
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −30.9% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−30.9%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+36.1%
1896−14.0%
1900−31.3%
1904−73.3%
1908−37.6%
1912+11.2%
1916+9.2%
1920−46.5%
1924−37.4%
1928−38.7%
1932+35.3%
1936+43.0%
1940+25.3%
1944+26.1%
1948+30.5%
1952−0.8%
1956+11.3%
1960−0.4%
1964+38.7%
1968+19.1%
1972+4.3%
1976+19.4%
1980−2.4%
1984−6.3%
1988+1.8%
1992+5.7%
1996+10.2%
2000−9.4%
2004−11.1%
2008−5.5%
2012−6.7%
2016−25.3%
2020−25.7%
2024−30.9%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−30.9%
7,81415,01323,282
R
−25.7%
8,44014,43723,367
R
−25.3%
7,26612,78521,772
R
−6.7%
9,80511,24021,465
R
−5.5%
10,12511,31921,895
R
−11.1%
9,33711,70421,349
R
−9.4%
8,22010,02619,285
D
+10.2%
9,0097,11918,532
D
+5.7%
7,9146,78419,656
D
+1.8%
8,9628,63417,862
R
−6.3%
8,4029,53918,104
R
−2.4%
8,0388,48018,095
D
+19.4%
9,9926,66417,130
D
+4.3%
7,2416,62414,481
D
+19.1%
7,6395,08613,400
D
+38.7%
9,1084,01113,156
R
−0.4%
6,7386,78613,567
D
+11.3%
6,8345,44512,305
R
−0.8%
6,2646,37012,747
D
+30.5%
7,2043,66611,593
D
+26.1%
6,4823,78410,353
D
+25.3%
7,1874,26311,540
D
+43.0%
6,5952,5009,524
D
+35.3%
5,8132,6748,901
R
−38.7%
2,4815,7808,522
O
−37.4%
2223,2228,022
R
−46.5%
1,2824,7597,474
D
+9.2%
1,9681,6123,855
O
+11.2%
8554843,318
R
−37.6%
9472,3123,634
R
−73.3%
2522,5763,170
R
−31.3%
1,2042,3433,643
R
−14.0%
1,6382,1813,877
D
+36.1%
1,3413912,633
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
31.6%
Irish
6.2%
English
5.6%
American
3.9%
Polish
1.7%
French
1.1%
Italian
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.9%
2.9%
75–84
3.2%
6.1%
65–74
5.9%
6.2%
55–64
6.4%
5.2%
45–54
5.4%
6.5%
35–44
5.6%
5.9%
25–34
5.7%
4.2%
18–24
3.9%
9.2%
5–17
8.7%
3.5%
<5
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,592
Willmar, MN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Willmar, MN$76,592
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.1%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.8%
Working age (18–64)7.8%
Seniors (65+)11.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.7%
speak English only
Spanish9.4%
Other languages3.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
39.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
13.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
8.1%
Other Christian
4.2%
Methodist
1.9%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 32.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Willmar's rapid Latino population growth—driven by food-processing jobs—has made this west-central Minnesota hub a closely watched bellwether for how demographic shifts translate into changing margins in historically Scandinavian-rooted farm country.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-three points in 1936 and a Republican high of seventy-three points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-one points.

A population of 44,079, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,592 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Willmar, MN, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/48820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Willmar, MN, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Willmar, MN, Minnesota voted Republican by 30.9 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,282 votes cast, 7,814 went Democratic and 15,013 went Republican.
What is Willmar, MN, Minnesota's political typology?
Akashic places Willmar, MN, Minnesota in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 17 times, and other 2 times.
When did Willmar, MN, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Willmar, MN, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Willmar, MN, Minnesota has a population of 44,079 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Median household income in Willmar, MN, Minnesota is $76,592 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Willmar, MN, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.