akashic
1876–2024
Winchester, TN·Tennessee

Winchester, TN has voted Republican in six straight presidential elections — R+53 in 2024.

A mid-South metro where a once-reliable partisan lean has nearly vanished

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TN
LatestR+53in 2024
TypologyEvangelical Deep Southcluster typology
Population43,9902024 ACS

Winchester, TN, Tennessee: Evangelical Deep South metro. In 2024, voted R+53%. Democratic peak: D+78 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+53MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
Population
43,9902024 5-year
Median household income
$63,4942024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.1%2024 5-year
Black
4.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+78 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+53 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Winchester, TN
TrumpR+53
—
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican76.0%15,016
Kamala HarrisDemocratic22.9%4,529
OtherAll other candidates1.1%224
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −53.0% in 2024.flipped R · 2004−53.0%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+41.9%
1896+50.0%
1900+55.1%
1904+50.6%
1908+50.0%
1912+65.8%
1916+54.3%
1920+38.4%
1924+48.1%
1928+29.3%
1932+78.1%
1936+74.2%
1940+76.5%
1944+73.4%
1948+52.9%
1952+40.5%
1956+46.5%
1960+42.0%
1964+45.4%
1968+8.6%
1972−17.2%
1976+43.8%
1980+24.9%
1984+1.2%
1988+0.6%
1992+23.0%
1996+12.2%
2000+8.6%
2004−7.8%
2008−22.5%
2012−28.9%
2016−43.6%
2020−47.7%
2024−53.0%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−53.0%
4,52915,01619,769
R
−47.7%
4,86413,98719,132
R
−43.6%
4,37411,53216,404
R
−28.9%
5,60310,26216,119
R
−22.5%
6,61310,53917,432
R
−7.8%
7,8009,12917,077
D
+8.6%
7,8286,56014,691
D
+12.2%
6,9295,29613,379
D
+23.0%
7,7734,50714,176
D
+0.6%
5,4425,38110,886
D
+1.2%
5,8465,70511,621
D
+24.9%
6,7603,99511,090
D
+43.8%
6,7882,6199,524
R
−17.2%
2,8964,1367,192
O
+8.6%
2,4891,7009,128
D
+45.4%
6,0292,2628,291
D
+42.0%
5,0412,0417,139
D
+46.5%
4,7911,7276,595
D
+40.5%
4,7862,0156,834
D
+52.9%
2,9485894,461
D
+73.4%
3,9586004,573
D
+76.5%
4,3125694,893
D
+74.2%
3,5345194,066
D
+78.1%
3,0293603,417
D
+29.3%
1,6989282,632
D
+48.1%
2,0727072,837
D
+38.4%
3,5041,5585,064
D
+54.3%
2,4697113,235
D
+65.8%
2,1723702,738
D
+50.0%
2,1687162,902
D
+50.6%
2,1807042,918
D
+55.1%
2,1966132,871
D
+50.0%
2,5848343,502
D
+41.9%
1,8965773,146
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
15.8%
American
14.5%
German
9.1%
Irish
9.0%
Scottish
2.5%
French
2.0%
Polish
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.4%
3.1%
75–84
3.4%
5.9%
65–74
6.5%
6.8%
55–64
7.0%
6.1%
45–54
6.1%
5.3%
35–44
5.5%
5.4%
25–34
5.9%
6.0%
18–24
5.4%
7.4%
5–17
7.1%
2.7%
<5
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,494
Winchester, TN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Winchester, TN$63,494
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.8%
Working age (18–64)10.0%
Seniors (65+)12.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.9%
speak English only
Spanish2.4%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
21.4%
Other Christian
9.2%
Methodist
6.7%
Mainline Protestant
6.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Winchester's Franklin County core sits in the Cumberland Plateau foothills, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+2.9 marks a striking compression from earlier cycles, reflecting demographic and economic shifts reshaping small Tennessee metros.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of seventy-eight points in 1932 and a Republican high of fifty-three points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-three points.

A population of 43,990, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,494 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Winchester, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/49010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Winchester, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Winchester, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 53.0 points (R+53), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,769 votes cast, 4,529 went Democratic and 15,016 went Republican.
What is Winchester, TN, Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places Winchester, TN, Tennessee in the "Evangelical Deep South" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 7 times, and other 1 times.
When did Winchester, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Winchester, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Winchester, TN, Tennessee?
Winchester, TN, Tennessee has a population of 43,990 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winchester, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Winchester, TN, Tennessee is $63,494 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Winchester, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Winchester, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Evangelical Deep South" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.