Arizona 2nd Congressional District: Texan Right district. In 2024, voted R+15%. Republican peak: R+15 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Texan RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 978,0492024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,2092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+15 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
CRANE, Eli
CRANE scores 0.75 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).
Predecessors: KIRKPATRICK, Ann (2021–2023), KIRKPATRICK, Ann (2019–2021), MCSALLY, Martha (2017–2019), MCSALLY, Martha (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 2
TrumpR+15
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 57.0% | 237,300 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 42.0% | 174,966 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.0% | 4,202 |
D+60R+60
9 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | −7.9% |
| 2012 | −9.2% |
| 2016 | −10.2% |
| 2020 | −7.9% |
| 2024 | −15.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 174,966 | 237,300 | 416,468 | ||
| R | 183,707 | 215,669 | 405,634 | ||
| R | 130,288 | 162,512 | 317,107 | ||
| R | 124,602 | 149,927 | 274,529 | ||
| R | 126,947 | 149,095 | 281,584 |
Congressional elections · 18 Senate races
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 50.1% | 47.7% | 3,347,964 |
| 2022 | D | 51.4% | 46.5% | 2,572,294 |
| 2020 | D | 51.2% | 48.8% | 3,355,307 |
| 2018 | D | 50.0% | 47.6% | 2,384,308 |
| 2016 | R | 40.7% | 53.7% | 2,530,730 |
| 2012 | R | 46.2% | 49.2% | 2,243,422 |
| 2010 | R | 34.7% | 58.9% | 1,708,484 |
| 2006 | R | 43.5% | 53.3% | 1,526,782 |
| 2004 | R | 20.6% | 76.7% | 1,961,677 |
| 2000 | R | 0.0% | 79.3% | 1,397,076 |
| 1998 | R | 27.2% | 68.7% | 1,013,280 |
| 1994 | R | 39.5% | 53.7% | 1,119,060 |
| 1992 | R | 31.6% | 55.8% | 1,382,051 |
| 1988 | D | 56.7% | 41.1% | 1,164,539 |
| 1986 | R | 39.5% | 60.5% | 862,921 |
| 1982 | D | 56.9% | 40.3% | 723,885 |
| 1980 | R | 48.4% | 49.5% | 874,238 |
| 1976 | D | 54.0% | 43.3% | 741,210 |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.8%
English
11.7%
Irish
10.0%
American
3.9%
Italian
3.6%
Scottish
1.8%
French
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,209
Congressional District 2 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 2$70,209
Arizona$79,964
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.4%
Working age (18–64)14.6%
Seniors (65+)12.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
79.1%
speak English only
Spanish9.9%
Other languages8.8%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Arizona's 2nd covers metro Tucson and stretches into surrounding Pima County, where a large university population and a growing Latino electorate have pushed presidential margins consistently leftward over the past three cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of fifteen points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifteen points.
A population of 978,049, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,209 describe the district.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0402/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 2, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Arizona voted Republican by 15.0 points (R+15), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 416,468 votes cast, 174,966 went Democratic and 237,300 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Arizona's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 2, Arizona in the "Texan Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Arizona?
Congressional District 2, Arizona has a population of 978,049 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Arizona?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Arizona is $70,209 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Arizona from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.