akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 7·Arizona

Arizona 7th Congressional District moved 11 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

One of the most Democratic congressional districts in the Southwest

20082024·5 elections
AZ
LatestD+22in 2024
TypologyTexan Rightcluster typology
Population2,574,6632024 ACS

Arizona 7th Congressional District: Texan Right district. In 2024, voted D+22%. Democratic peak: D+34 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+22MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Texan RightAkashic typology
Population
2,574,6632024 5-year
Median household income
$81,0172024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.6%2024 5-year
Black
4.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
35.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34 in 2016MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
D
GRIJALVA, Raúl M.Congress 119 · Democratic
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score-0.60 sits at approximately the 20th percentile.0-0.60−1 liberal+1 conservative
GRIJALVA scores -0.60 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: GRIJALVA, Adelita S. (2025–2027), GALLEGO, Ruben (2021–2023), GALLEGO, Ruben (2019–2021), GALLEGO, Ruben (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 7
HarrisD+22
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 7, AZA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 7, AZ, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Maricopa County, AZ · R+3Cochise County, AZ · R+23Santa Cruz County, AZ · D+19Pinal County, AZ · R+22Yuma County, AZ · R+20Pima County, AZ · D+15
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic60.5%170,352
Donald TrumpRepublican38.4%108,028
OtherAll other candidates1.2%3,305
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +22.1% in 2024.+22.1%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+21.6%
2012+26.4%
2016+33.6%
2020+32.8%
2024+22.1%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+22.1%
170,352108,028281,685
D
+32.8%
194,85097,590296,845
D
+33.6%
150,03370,499236,551
D
+26.4%
128,47074,755203,225
D
+21.6%
126,82981,241211,480

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D50.1%47.7%3,347,964
2022D51.4%46.5%2,572,294
2020D51.2%48.8%3,355,307
2018D50.0%47.6%2,384,308
2016R40.7%53.7%2,530,730
2012R46.2%49.2%2,243,422
2010R34.7%58.9%1,708,484
2006R43.5%53.3%1,526,782
2004R20.6%76.7%1,961,677
2000R0.0%79.3%1,397,076
1998R27.2%68.7%1,013,280
1994R39.5%53.7%1,119,060
1992R31.6%55.8%1,382,051
1988D56.7%41.1%1,164,539
1986R39.5%60.5%862,921
1982D56.9%40.3%723,885
1980R48.4%49.5%874,238
1976D54.0%43.3%741,210

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.3%
English
9.8%
Irish
8.7%
Italian
4.1%
American
3.8%
Polish
2.1%
French
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
72.3%
speak English only
Spanish22.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.2%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
22.9%
Other Christian
13.2%
Non-Christian
2.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Baptist
1.6%
Methodist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arizona's 7th anchors Tucson's urban core and stretches through majority-Latino communities along the Santa Cruz Valley, producing presidential margins that regularly exceed 35 points and making it one of the most reliably left-leaning seats in the region.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-four points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved eleven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-two points.

A population of 2,574,663, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,017 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 7, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0407/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 7, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 7, Arizona voted Democratic by 22.1 points (D+22), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 281,685 votes cast, 170,352 went Democratic and 108,028 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 7, Arizona's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 7, Arizona in the "Texan Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 7, Arizona?
Congressional District 7, Arizona has a population of 2,574,663 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 7, Arizona?
Median household income in Congressional District 7, Arizona is $81,017 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Congressional District 7, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 7, Arizona from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.