akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 9·Arizona

Arizona 9th Congressional District moved 5 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Maricopa's most Democratic district by a wide margin

2008 — 2024·5 elections
AZ
LatestR+31in 2024
TypologyTexan Rightcluster typology
Population1,947,7632024 ACS

Arizona 9th Congressional District: Texan Right district. In 2024, voted R+31%. Republican peak: R+31 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+31MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Texan RightAkashic typology
Population
1,947,7632024 5-year
Median household income
$84,0202024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
59.5%2024 5-year
Black
4.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
31.7%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+31 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
GOSAR, PaulCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.70 sits at approximately the 85th percentile.00.70−1 liberal+1 conservative
GOSAR scores 0.70 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: STANTON, Greg (2021–2023), STANTON, Greg (2019–2021), SINEMA, Kyrsten (2017–2019), SINEMA, Kyrsten (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 9
TrumpR+31
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 9, AZA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 9, AZ, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Maricopa County, AZ · R+3Mohave County, AZ · R+56Yuma County, AZ · R+20La Paz County, AZ · R+44
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican65.1%262,095
Kamala HarrisDemocratic34.0%137,011
OtherAll other candidates0.8%3,354
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −31.1% in 2024.−31.1%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−24.6%
2012−28.2%
2016−29.1%
2020−25.8%
2024−31.1%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−31.1%
137,011262,095402,460
R
−25.8%
132,278225,858363,378
R
−29.1%
82,620157,038255,754
R
−28.2%
73,976132,045206,021
R
−24.6%
74,070123,587201,326
Congressional elections · 18 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D50.1%47.7%3,347,964
2022D51.4%46.5%2,572,294
2020D51.2%48.8%3,355,307
2018D50.0%47.6%2,384,308
2016R40.7%53.7%2,530,730
2012R46.2%49.2%2,243,422
2010R34.7%58.9%1,708,484
2006R43.5%53.3%1,526,782
2004R20.6%76.7%1,961,677
2000R0.0%79.3%1,397,076
1998R27.2%68.7%1,013,280
1994R39.5%53.7%1,119,060
1992R31.6%55.8%1,382,051
1988D56.7%41.1%1,164,539
1986R39.5%60.5%862,921
1982D56.9%40.3%723,885
1980R48.4%49.5%874,238
1976D54.0%43.3%741,210

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.6%
English
10.0%
Irish
8.8%
American
4.2%
Italian
4.2%
Polish
1.9%
French
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.2%
2.9%
75–84
3.2%
4.9%
65–74
5.5%
5.8%
55–64
6.2%
5.9%
45–54
6.0%
6.5%
35–44
6.3%
7.3%
25–34
6.9%
4.7%
18–24
4.3%
8.4%
5–17
8.0%
2.8%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$84,020
Congressional District 9 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 9$84,020
Arizona$79,964
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.8%
Working age (18–64)10.8%
Seniors (65+)10.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.0%
speak English only
Spanish20.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.7%
Other Christian
14.2%
Non-Christian
2.8%
Baptist
1.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arizona's 9th anchors the Democratic end of the Maricopa County map, returning a D+18.7 presidential margin in 2024 — the largest gap in the state's congressional delegation. Dense urban precincts and a large Latino population shape its voting patterns.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of thirty-one points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-one points.

A population of 1,947,763, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,020 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 9, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0409/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 9, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 9, Arizona voted Republican by 31.1 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 402,460 votes cast, 137,011 went Democratic and 262,095 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 9, Arizona's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 9, Arizona in the "Texan Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 9, Arizona?
Congressional District 9, Arizona has a population of 1,947,763 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 9, Arizona?
Median household income in Congressional District 9, Arizona is $84,020 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Congressional District 9, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 9, Arizona from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.