akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 4·Arkansas

Arkansas 4th Congressional District moved 5 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

One of the nation's most Republican-leaning rural congressional districts

2008 — 2024·5 elections
AR
LatestR+40in 2024
TypologyBlack Beltcluster typology
Population813,2502024 ACS

Arkansas 4th Congressional District: Black Belt district. In 2024, voted R+40%. Republican peak: R+40 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+40MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Black BeltAkashic typology
Population
813,2502024 5-year
Median household income
$53,9062024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.7%2024 5-year
Black
18.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.0%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+40 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
WESTERMAN, BruceCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.54 sits at approximately the 77th percentile.00.54−1 liberal+1 conservative
WESTERMAN scores 0.54 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: COTTON, Thomas Bryant (Tom) (2013–2015), ROSS, Michael Avery (2011–2013), ROSS, Michael Avery (2009–2011), ROSS, Michael Avery (2007–2009)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 4
TrumpR+40
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 4, ARA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 4, AR, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Cleveland County, AR · R+68Dallas County, AR · R+29Ashley County, AR · R+48Clark County, AR · R+20Hempstead County, AR · R+40Yell County, AR · R+61Logan County, AR · R+62Johnson County, AR · R+51Montgomery County, AR · R+63Little River County, AR · R+54Miller County, AR · R+51Franklin County, AR · R+62Polk County, AR · R+70Sevier County, AR · R+62Bradley County, AR · R+39Nevada County, AR · R+40Calhoun County, AR · R+62Ouachita County, AR · R+19Lafayette County, AR · R+38Sebastian County, AR · R+38Union County, AR · R+34Pike County, AR · R+73Howard County, AR · R+47Jefferson County, AR · D+20Newton County, AR · R+64Drew County, AR · R+34Scott County, AR · R+74Pope County, AR · R+52Columbia County, AR · R+37Grant County, AR · R+69Pulaski County, AR · D+22Garland County, AR · R+36Hot Spring County, AR · R+52
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican69.0%193,295
Kamala HarrisDemocratic29.1%81,551
OtherAll other candidates1.8%5,160
D+60
R+60
33 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −39.9% in 2024.−39.9%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−20.6%
2012−24.5%
2016−30.4%
2020−35.2%
2024−39.9%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−39.9%
81,551193,295280,006
R
−35.2%
92,682198,054298,958
R
−30.4%
94,415182,694290,295
R
−24.5%
104,902173,124278,026
R
−20.6%
114,806177,005301,408
Congressional elections · 16 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R31.1%65.7%901,306
2020R0.0%66.5%1,193,261
2016R36.2%59.8%1,107,522
2014R39.4%56.5%847,505
2010R36.9%57.9%779,957
2008D79.5%0.0%1,011,754
2004D55.9%44.1%1,039,349
2002D53.9%46.1%804,121
1998D55.1%42.2%700,831
1996R47.3%52.7%846,183
1992D60.2%39.8%920,008
1990D99.8%0.0%494,735
1986D62.3%37.7%695,487
1984D57.3%42.7%875,956
1980D59.1%40.9%808,812
1978D76.5%16.3%517,138

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.4%
Irish
8.3%
American
8.3%
German
7.6%
Scottish
1.5%
Italian
1.2%
French
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.3%
2.7%
75–84
3.3%
5.4%
65–74
6.1%
6.6%
55–64
6.8%
5.9%
45–54
6.0%
5.8%
35–44
6.1%
6.1%
25–34
5.9%
4.8%
18–24
4.4%
8.5%
5–17
8.1%
2.9%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$53,906
Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 4$53,906
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.2%
Working age (18–64)16.5%
Seniors (65+)13.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.7%
speak English only
Spanish5.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
31.2%
Other Christian
13.7%
Methodist
7.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arkansas's 4th covers the southern and western reaches of the state, where Republican presidential candidates have carried the district by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, reflecting a largely rural, small-town electorate with deep conservative alignment.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of forty points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty points.

A population of 813,250, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,906 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 4, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0504/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 4, Arkansas voted Republican by 39.9 points (R+40), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 280,006 votes cast, 81,551 went Democratic and 193,295 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 4, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 4, Arkansas in the "Black Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 4, Arkansas?
Congressional District 4, Arkansas has a population of 813,250 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Arkansas?
Median household income in Congressional District 4, Arkansas is $53,906 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Arkansas from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Black Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.