akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 16·Florida

Florida 16th Congressional District moved 7 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A reliably Republican district anchored by Sarasota's Gulf Coast suburbs

2008 — 2024·5 elections
FL
LatestR+15in 2024
TypologyTexan Rightcluster typology
Population1,032,8882024 ACS

Florida 16th Congressional District: Texan Right district. In 2024, voted R+15%. Republican peak: R+15 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+15MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Texan RightAkashic typology
Population
1,032,8882024 5-year
Median household income
$79,0892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
59.3%2024 5-year
Black
12.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
25.4%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+15 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
BUCHANAN, Vernon G.Congress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.36 sits at approximately the 68th percentile.00.36−1 liberal+1 conservative
BUCHANAN scores 0.36 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: ROONEY, Thomas J. (2011–2013), ROONEY, Thomas J. (2009–2011), MAHONEY, Tim (2007–2009), FOLEY, Mark A. (2005–2007)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 16
TrumpR+15
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 16, FLA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 16, FL, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Hillsborough County, FL · R+3Manatee County, FL · R+24
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican57.1%243,089
Kamala HarrisDemocratic41.7%177,485
OtherAll other candidates1.3%5,443
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −15.4% in 2024.−15.4%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−8.0%
2012−10.9%
2016−12.6%
2020−8.9%
2024−15.4%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−15.4%
177,485243,089426,017
R
−8.9%
184,318220,727410,103
R
−12.6%
136,445178,008329,226
R
−10.9%
122,053151,865273,918
R
−8.0%
121,042142,196265,925
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R42.8%55.6%10,757,428
2022R41.3%57.7%7,758,014
2018R49.9%50.1%8,190,005
2016R44.3%52.0%9,301,820
2012D55.2%42.2%8,189,946
2010R20.2%48.9%5,411,106
2006D60.3%38.1%4,793,534
2004R48.3%49.4%7,429,894
2000D51.0%46.2%5,856,731
1998D62.5%37.5%3,900,162
1994R29.5%70.5%4,106,816
1992D65.4%34.6%4,962,290
1988R49.6%50.4%4,068,209
1986D54.7%45.3%3,429,996
1982D61.7%38.3%2,653,419
1980R48.3%51.7%3,528,028
1976D63.0%37.0%2,857,534

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
10.8%
English
9.5%
Irish
9.2%
American
6.2%
Italian
6.1%
Polish
2.4%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.4%
3.1%
75–84
3.7%
5.3%
65–74
6.2%
6.4%
55–64
6.9%
6.1%
45–54
6.3%
6.4%
35–44
6.5%
6.5%
25–34
6.5%
4.0%
18–24
4.0%
7.5%
5–17
7.2%
2.6%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$79,089
Congressional District 16 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 16$79,089
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.5%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.1%
Working age (18–64)10.7%
Seniors (65+)12.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.8%
speak English only
Spanish19.0%
Other Indo-European4.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.1%
Other Christian
12.4%
Baptist
7.2%
Methodist
2.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Florida's 16th has delivered double-digit Republican presidential margins across recent cycles, shaped by an older, affluent coastal electorate that has trended away from competitive swings seen elsewhere in the state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of fifteen points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifteen points.

A population of 1,032,888, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,089 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 16, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1216/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 16, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 16, Florida voted Republican by 15.4 points (R+15), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 426,017 votes cast, 177,485 went Democratic and 243,089 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 16, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 16, Florida in the "Texan Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 16, Florida?
Congressional District 16, Florida has a population of 1,032,888 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 16, Florida?
Median household income in Congressional District 16, Florida is $79,089 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Congressional District 16, Florida?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 16, Florida from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.