akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·Hawaii

Hawaii 2nd Congressional District moved 8 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Island-spanning district where geography shapes everything from turnout to logistics

20082024·5 elections
HI
LatestD+22in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population1,095,2012024 ACS

Hawaii 2nd Congressional District: Florida Surge district. In 2024, voted D+22%. Democratic peak: D+48 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+22MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
1,095,2012024 5-year
Median household income
$99,0872024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
23.3%2024 5-year
Black
1.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+48 in 2008MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
D
TOKUDA, JillCongress 119 · Democratic
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score-0.47 sits at approximately the 27th percentile.0-0.47−1 liberal+1 conservative
TOKUDA scores -0.47 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: KAHELE, Kaialiʻi (2021–2023), GABBARD, Tulsi (2019–2021), GABBARD, Tulsi (2017–2019), GABBARD, Tulsi (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 2
HarrisD+22
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 2, HIA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 2, HI, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Kauai County, HI · D+20Hawaii County, HI · D+28Maui County, HI · D+26Honolulu County, HI · D+22
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic59.7%159,849
Donald TrumpRepublican38.1%102,042
OtherAll other candidates2.1%5,688
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +21.6% in 2024.+21.6%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+48.4%
2012+45.5%
2016+31.8%
2020+29.6%
2024+21.6%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+21.6%
159,849102,042267,579
D
+29.6%
187,307100,390293,984
D
+31.8%
135,20865,235220,288
D
+45.5%
155,57458,278213,852
D
+48.4%
169,02057,433230,661

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D64.6%31.9%501,763
2022D71.1%26.0%409,148
2018D71.2%28.8%388,351
2016D70.1%21.2%437,664
2014D66.8%26.5%369,703
2012D61.6%36.8%437,159
2010D74.8%21.6%370,583
2006D61.3%36.8%342,842
2004D75.5%21.0%415,347
2000D72.7%24.5%345,623
1998D79.2%17.8%398,124
1994D71.8%24.2%356,902
1992D57.3%26.9%363,662
1990D54.0%44.6%349,666
1988D76.6%20.7%323,876
1986D73.6%26.4%328,797
1982D80.1%17.0%306,410
1980D77.9%18.4%288,006
1976D53.7%40.6%302,092

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.0%
English
5.4%
Irish
4.9%
Italian
2.2%
French
1.2%
American
1.1%
Scottish
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
75.8%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander19.8%
Spanish2.1%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.8%
Other Christian
10.9%
Non-Christian
4.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Baptist
1.4%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Hawaii's 2nd district covers the outer islands and rural Oahu, producing consistent Democratic margins above 20 points while presenting unique logistical challenges — candidates must campaign across open ocean to reach dispersed, multiethnic constituencies.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-eight points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-two points.

A population of 1,095,201, a 23% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,087 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Hawaii. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Hawaii vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Hawaii voted Democratic by 21.6 points (D+22), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 267,579 votes cast, 159,849 went Democratic and 102,042 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Hawaii's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 2, Hawaii in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Hawaii?
Congressional District 2, Hawaii has a population of 1,095,201 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Hawaii?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Hawaii is $99,087 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Hawaii?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Hawaii from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.