akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·Iowa

Iowa 2nd Congressional District moved 6 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A rural-anchored district where the Missouri River corridor shapes the vote

20082024·5 elections
IA
LatestR+10in 2024
TypologyHeartland Swingcluster typology
Population795,3612024 ACS

Iowa 2nd Congressional District: Heartland Swing district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Democratic peak: D+18 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+10MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Heartland SwingAkashic typology
Population
795,3612024 5-year
Median household income
$74,1262024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
87.2%2024 5-year
Black
4.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+18 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+10 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
HINSON, AshleyCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.35 sits at approximately the 68th percentile.00.35−1 liberal+1 conservative
HINSON scores 0.35 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: MILLER-MEEKS, Mariannette (2021–2023), LOEBSACK, Dave (2019–2021), LOEBSACK, Dave (2017–2019), LOEBSACK, Dave (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 2
TrumpR+10
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 2, IAA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 2, IA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Benton County, IA · R+33Tama County, IA · R+27Poweshiek County, IA · R+17Grundy County, IA · R+42Mitchell County, IA · R+31Worth County, IA · R+28Buchanan County, IA · R+28Butler County, IA · R+45Delaware County, IA · R+40Winneshiek County, IA · R+9Bremer County, IA · R+22Cerro Gordo County, IA · R+12Hardin County, IA · R+38Clayton County, IA · R+34Chickasaw County, IA · R+37Allamakee County, IA · R+34Fayette County, IA · R+30Floyd County, IA · R+26Howard County, IA · R+32Linn County, IA · D+10Dubuque County, IA · R+9Black Hawk County, IA · D+1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican54.1%227,941
Kamala HarrisDemocratic44.2%186,017
OtherAll other candidates1.7%7,324
D+60
R+60
22 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −10.0% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−10.0%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+17.6%
2012+12.9%
2016−4.6%
2020−4.4%
2024−10.0%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−10.0%
186,017227,941421,282
R
−4.4%
203,246222,312434,421
R
−4.6%
180,282198,955408,684
D
+12.9%
231,453178,411409,864
D
+17.6%
235,118163,318407,052

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R43.3%55.4%1,230,416
2020R44.4%50.9%1,700,130
2016R35.7%60.1%1,541,036
2014R43.8%52.1%1,129,700
2010R33.3%64.4%1,116,063
2008D62.7%37.3%1,502,918
2004R27.9%70.2%1,479,228
2002D54.2%43.8%1,023,075
1998R30.5%68.4%947,907
1996D51.8%46.7%1,224,054
1992R27.2%69.6%1,292,494
1990D54.5%45.4%983,933
1986R33.6%66.0%891,762
1984D55.5%43.7%1,292,700
1980R45.5%53.5%1,276,986
1978R47.9%51.1%824,576

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
36.1%
Irish
13.4%
English
9.1%
American
4.8%
French
1.6%
Italian
1.4%
Scottish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.9%
speak English only
Spanish2.5%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.8%
Mainline Protestant
15.3%
Other Christian
5.7%
Methodist
5.6%
Baptist
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Non-Christian
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Iowa's 2nd stretches across the state's southern tier, blending small agricultural cities with river-town economies. The district has trended toward Republican margins in recent cycles, posting R+9.7 in 2024 after recording narrower gaps earlier in the decade.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eighteen points in 2008 and a Republican high of ten points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was ten points.

A population of 795,361, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,126 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1902/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Iowa voted Republican by 10.0 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 421,282 votes cast, 186,017 went Democratic and 227,941 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Iowa's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 2, Iowa in the "Heartland Swing" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 3 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 2, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Iowa?
Congressional District 2, Iowa has a population of 795,361 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Iowa?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Iowa is $74,126 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Iowa from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.