akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 10·Michigan

Michigan 10th Congressional District moved 6 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

One of Michigan's most Republican-leaning federal districts by margin

2008 — 2024·5 elections
MI
LatestR+7in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population402,4822024 ACS

Michigan 10th Congressional District: Florida Surge district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+10 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+7MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
402,4822024 5-year
Median household income
$80,4022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
74.1%2024 5-year
Black
12.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+10 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
JAMES, JohnCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.32 sits at approximately the 66th percentile.00.32−1 liberal+1 conservative
JAMES scores 0.32 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: MCCLAIN, Lisa C. (2021–2023), MITCHELL, Paul (2019–2021), MITCHELL, Paul (2019–2021), MITCHELL, Paul (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 10
TrumpR+7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 10, MIA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 10, MI, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Oakland County, MI · D+11Macomb County, MI · R+14
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican52.1%227,882
Kamala HarrisDemocratic45.6%199,324
OtherAll other candidates2.3%9,988
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −6.5% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−6.5%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+10.3%
2012+6.6%
2016−5.4%
2020−1.0%
2024−6.5%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−6.5%
199,324227,882437,194
R
−1.0%
209,969214,177429,829
R
−5.4%
166,884186,830369,992
D
+6.6%
192,180168,241360,421
D
+10.3%
204,386165,525377,019
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D48.6%48.3%5,577,187
2020D49.9%48.2%5,479,720
2018D52.3%45.8%4,237,271
2014D54.6%41.3%3,121,771
2012D58.8%38.0%4,652,918
2008D62.7%33.8%4,848,620
2006D56.9%41.3%3,780,142
2002D60.6%37.9%3,129,287
2000D49.5%47.9%4,167,685
1996D58.4%39.9%3,762,575
1994R42.7%51.9%3,043,385
1990D57.5%41.2%2,560,494
1988D60.4%38.5%3,505,985
1984D51.8%47.2%3,700,938
1982D57.7%40.9%2,994,334
1978D52.1%47.9%2,846,630
1976D52.5%46.8%3,490,412

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.2%
Polish
12.1%
Irish
9.6%
Italian
9.5%
English
7.9%
American
3.4%
French
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.4%
2.2%
75–84
3.0%
5.1%
65–74
5.8%
7.0%
55–64
7.3%
6.4%
45–54
6.6%
6.2%
35–44
6.2%
7.0%
25–34
6.9%
4.0%
18–24
3.8%
7.9%
5–17
7.5%
2.7%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$80,402
Congressional District 10 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 10$80,402
Michigan$72,875
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.1%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.0%
Working age (18–64)8.9%
Seniors (65+)10.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
84.3%
speak English only
Other Indo-European6.9%
Other languages4.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Spanish1.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.6%
Other Christian
4.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.9%
Non-Christian
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Baptist
1.4%
Methodist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Michigan's 10th congressional district, anchored in the Thumb region and rural northeastern Lower Peninsula, recorded a 33.8-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it among the state's most consistently one-sided federal constituencies.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of ten points in 2008 and a Republican high of seven points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seven points.

A population of 402,482, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,402 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 10, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2610/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 10, Michigan voted Republican by 6.5 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 437,194 votes cast, 199,324 went Democratic and 227,882 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 10, Michigan's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 10, Michigan in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 3 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 10, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 10, Michigan?
Congressional District 10, Michigan has a population of 402,482 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, Michigan?
Median household income in Congressional District 10, Michigan is $80,402 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Congressional District 10, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, Michigan from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.