akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Minnesota

Minnesota 1st Congressional District delivered R+12 in 2024.

Rural-anchored district that has shifted steadily rightward over a decade

2008 — 2024·5 elections
MN
LatestR+12in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population708,7172024 ACS

Minnesota 1st Congressional District: Industrial Catholic Metro district. In 2024, voted R+12%. Republican peak: R+14 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+12MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
708,7172024 5-year
Median household income
$80,7602024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.9%2024 5-year
Black
3.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+4 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+14 in 2016MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
FINSTAD, BradCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.55 sits at approximately the 78th percentile.00.55−1 liberal+1 conservative
FINSTAD scores 0.55 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: HAGEDORN, Jim (2021–2023), HAGEDORN, Jim (2019–2021), WALZ, Tim (2017–2019), WALZ, Tim (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 1
TrumpR+12
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 1, MNA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 1, MN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Rock County, MN · R+39Nicollet County, MN · R+1Steele County, MN · R+24Blue Earth County, MN · R+1Brown County, MN · R+35Watonwan County, MN · R+28Dodge County, MN · R+32Winona County, MN · R+5Waseca County, MN · R+32Goodhue County, MN · R+16Rice County, MN · R+3Houston County, MN · R+16Fillmore County, MN · R+25Nobles County, MN · R+36Wabasha County, MN · R+28Faribault County, MN · R+37Martin County, MN · R+40Jackson County, MN · R+42Olmsted County, MN · D+11Mower County, MN · R+10Freeborn County, MN · R+21
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican54.9%213,799
Kamala HarrisDemocratic42.9%167,185
OtherAll other candidates2.2%8,577
D+60
R+60
21 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −12.0% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−12.0%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+4.5%
2012+1.9%
2016−13.9%
2020−9.2%
2024−12.0%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−12.0%
167,185213,799389,561
R
−9.2%
172,285208,056389,719
R
−13.9%
137,504186,978357,103
D
+1.9%
178,222171,618349,840
D
+4.5%
184,668168,343363,469
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D56.2%40.5%3,189,323
2020D48.7%43.5%3,214,256
2018D60.3%36.2%2,596,879
2014D53.2%42.9%1,981,528
2012D65.2%30.5%2,843,207
2008D42.0%42.0%2,887,646
2006D58.1%37.9%2,202,772
2002R47.8%49.5%2,254,636
2000D48.8%43.3%2,419,520
1996D50.3%41.3%2,182,905
1994R44.1%49.1%1,772,929
1990D50.4%47.8%1,808,045
1988R40.9%56.2%2,093,953
1984R41.3%58.1%2,066,143
1982R46.6%52.6%1,804,675
1978R40.4%56.6%1,580,622
1976D67.5%25.0%1,912,020

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
35.1%
Irish
9.2%
English
6.3%
American
4.2%
Polish
2.8%
French
1.8%
Italian
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.0%
85+
1.7%
2.4%
75–84
2.9%
5.3%
65–74
5.4%
6.3%
55–64
6.4%
5.6%
45–54
5.3%
6.5%
35–44
6.1%
6.1%
25–34
5.9%
5.2%
18–24
5.2%
8.7%
5–17
8.3%
2.9%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$80,760
Congressional District 1 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 1$80,760
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 189.9%
Working age (18–64)9.8%
Seniors (65+)10.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.0%
speak English only
Spanish4.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.0%
Other languages1.8%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
28.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
19.6%
Other Christian
5.3%
Methodist
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Baptist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Covering most of southern Minnesota's farm country and small cities like Rochester, MN-01 gave the Republican presidential candidate a 13-point margin in 2024 — a dramatic reversal from when the district regularly backed Democrats just ten years ago.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of four points in 2008 and a Republican high of fourteen points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twelve points.

A population of 708,717, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,760 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2701/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Minnesota voted Republican by 12.0 points (R+12), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 389,561 votes cast, 167,185 went Democratic and 213,799 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Minnesota's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 1, Minnesota in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 3 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 1, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Minnesota?
Congressional District 1, Minnesota has a population of 708,717 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Minnesota?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Minnesota is $80,760 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Minnesota from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.