akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Mississippi

Mississippi 1st Congressional District moved 5 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

One of the most reliably Republican congressional districts in the nation

2008 — 2024·5 elections
MS
LatestR+37in 2024
TypologyBlack Beltcluster typology
Population756,6782024 ACS

Mississippi 1st Congressional District: Black Belt district. In 2024, voted R+37%. Republican peak: R+37 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+37MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Black BeltAkashic typology
Population
756,6782024 5-year
Median household income
$63,7152024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
64.0%2024 5-year
Black
28.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.0%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
KELLY, TrentCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.64 sits at approximately the 82nd percentile.00.64−1 liberal+1 conservative
KELLY scores 0.64 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: NUNNELEE, Alan (2015–2017), NUNNELEE, Alan (2013–2015), NUNNELEE, Alan (2011–2013), CHILDERS, Travis W. (2009–2011)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 1
TrumpR+37
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 1, MSA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 1, MS, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Monroe County, MS · R+36Tate County, MS · R+44Calhoun County, MS · R+48Prentiss County, MS · R+66Chickasaw County, MS · R+14Clay County, MS · D+10Itawamba County, MS · R+80Pontotoc County, MS · R+68Tishomingo County, MS · R+79Oktibbeha County, MS · TiedBenton County, MS · R+31Lafayette County, MS · R+22Choctaw County, MS · R+49Tippah County, MS · R+67Webster County, MS · R+65Union County, MS · R+70Lowndes County, MS · R+8Alcorn County, MS · R+68Marshall County, MS · R+7DeSoto County, MS · R+24Lee County, MS · R+39
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican67.9%219,878
Kamala HarrisDemocratic30.8%99,870
OtherAll other candidates1.3%4,300
D+60
R+60
21 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −37.0% in 2024.−37.0%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−26.5%
2012−26.0%
2016−33.7%
2020−31.7%
2024−37.0%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−37.0%
99,870219,878324,048
R
−31.7%
111,534217,290333,727
R
−33.7%
96,615198,292301,494
R
−26.0%
113,229192,921306,150
R
−26.5%
113,646197,242315,538
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R37.2%62.8%1,215,401
2020R44.1%54.1%1,311,354
2018R39.5%58.5%936,215
2014R37.9%59.9%631,858
2012R40.6%57.2%1,241,568
2008R38.6%61.4%1,247,026
2006R34.9%63.6%610,921
2002R0.0%84.6%630,495
2000R31.6%65.9%994,144
1996R27.4%71.0%878,662
1994R31.2%68.8%608,085
1990R0.0%100.0%274,244
1988R46.1%53.9%946,719
1984R39.1%60.9%952,240
1982D64.2%35.8%645,026
1978R31.8%45.3%590,236
1976D100.0%0.0%554,433

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.1%
American
9.3%
Irish
8.3%
German
5.3%
Italian
1.6%
Scottish
1.5%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
1.0%
2.1%
75–84
2.9%
4.5%
65–74
5.3%
5.9%
55–64
6.4%
5.9%
45–54
6.4%
6.1%
35–44
6.5%
6.3%
25–34
6.5%
5.3%
18–24
5.2%
8.8%
5–17
8.6%
2.9%
<5
2.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,715
Congressional District 1 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 1$63,715
Mississippi$56,447
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.4%
Working age (18–64)14.3%
Seniors (65+)13.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.8%
speak English only
Spanish2.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
38.7%
Other Christian
8.6%
Methodist
7.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 39.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Mississippi's 1st district, anchored in the northeast Hill Country and Tennessee Valley region, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural, majority-white electorate with deep roots in manufacturing and agriculture.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of thirty-seven points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-seven points.

A population of 756,678, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,715 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2801/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Mississippi voted Republican by 37.0 points (R+37), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 324,048 votes cast, 99,870 went Democratic and 219,878 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Mississippi's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 1, Mississippi in the "Black Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Mississippi?
Congressional District 1, Mississippi has a population of 756,678 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Mississippi?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Mississippi is $63,715 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Mississippi from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Black Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.