akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 3·Mississippi

Mississippi 3rd Congressional District moved 5 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

One of the South's most reliably Republican federal districts

20082024·5 elections
MS
LatestR+29in 2024
TypologyBlack Beltcluster typology
Population651,6132024 ACS

Mississippi 3rd Congressional District: Black Belt district. In 2024, voted R+29%. Republican peak: R+29 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+29MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Black BeltAkashic typology
Population
651,6132024 5-year
Median household income
$58,2222024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.3%2024 5-year
Black
34.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.8%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+29 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
GUEST, MichaelCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.53 sits at approximately the 77th percentile.00.53−1 liberal+1 conservative
GUEST scores 0.53 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: HARPER, Gregg (2017–2019), HARPER, Gregg (2015–2017), HARPER, Gregg (2013–2015), HARPER, Gregg (2011–2013)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 3
TrumpR+29
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 3, MSA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 3, MS, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Hinds County, MS · D+46Lincoln County, MS · R+45Pike County, MS · R+3Newton County, MS · R+43Kemper County, MS · D+17Smith County, MS · R+61Clarke County, MS · R+35Lauderdale County, MS · R+21Neshoba County, MS · R+51Simpson County, MS · R+37Covington County, MS · R+33Jefferson Davis County, MS · D+14Walthall County, MS · R+27Lawrence County, MS · R+37Oktibbeha County, MS · TiedJasper County, MS · R+5Scott County, MS · R+24Marion County, MS · R+42Noxubee County, MS · D+48Winston County, MS · R+18Madison County, MS · R+17Rankin County, MS · R+47Jones County, MS · R+47
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican64.1%207,371
Kamala HarrisDemocratic34.9%112,864
OtherAll other candidates1.0%3,155
D+60
R+60
23 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −29.2% in 2024.−29.2%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−25.5%
2012−24.5%
2016−27.6%
2020−24.3%
2024−29.2%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−29.2%
112,864207,371323,390
R
−24.3%
128,357212,274344,936
R
−27.6%
111,873199,549317,523
R
−24.5%
124,825205,835330,660
R
−25.5%
123,672209,825337,843

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R37.2%62.8%1,215,401
2020R44.1%54.1%1,311,354
2018R39.5%58.5%936,215
2014R37.9%59.9%631,858
2012R40.6%57.2%1,241,568
2008R38.6%61.4%1,247,026
2006R34.9%63.6%610,921
2002R0.0%84.6%630,495
2000R31.6%65.9%994,144
1996R27.4%71.0%878,662
1994R31.2%68.8%608,085
1990R0.0%100.0%274,244
1988R46.1%53.9%946,719
1984R39.1%60.9%952,240
1982D64.2%35.8%645,026
1978R31.8%45.3%590,236
1976D100.0%0.0%554,433

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
11.1%
English
10.5%
Irish
7.8%
German
4.4%
Scottish
1.6%
Italian
1.2%
French
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.8%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Other languages0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
40.7%
Other Christian
7.7%
Methodist
7.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 38.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Mississippi's 3rd has returned double-digit Republican presidential margins for decades, anchored by rural communities across the state's central and southern corridors where GOP alignment at the federal level is nearly uniform.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of twenty-nine points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-nine points.

A population of 651,613, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,222 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2803/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 3, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, Mississippi voted Republican by 29.2 points (R+29), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 323,390 votes cast, 112,864 went Democratic and 207,371 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, Mississippi's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 3, Mississippi in the "Black Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, Mississippi?
Congressional District 3, Mississippi has a population of 651,613 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Mississippi?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, Mississippi is $58,222 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Mississippi from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Black Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.