akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·New Jersey

New Jersey 2nd Congressional District moved 8 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Shore-to-suburb corridor where Republicans hold a steady double-digit edge

20082024·5 elections
NJ
LatestR+13in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population1,000,2462024 ACS

New Jersey 2nd Congressional District: Florida Surge district. In 2024, voted R+13%. Republican peak: R+13 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+13MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
1,000,2462024 5-year
Median household income
$85,2832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
68.4%2024 5-year
Black
10.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
16.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+7 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+13 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
VAN DREW, JeffersonCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.38 sits at approximately the 69th percentile.00.38−1 liberal+1 conservative
VAN DREW scores 0.38 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: VAN DREW, Jefferson (2019–2021), LoBIONDO, Frank A. (2017–2019), LoBIONDO, Frank A. (2015–2017), LoBIONDO, Frank A. (2013–2015)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 2
TrumpR+13
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 2, NJA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 2, NJ, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Cape May County, NJ · R+19Cumberland County, NJ · R+4Salem County, NJ · R+19Gloucester County, NJ · R+3Atlantic County, NJ · R+3Ocean County, NJ · R+36
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican55.5%213,831
Kamala HarrisDemocratic42.8%164,962
OtherAll other candidates1.7%6,727
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −12.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−12.7%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+5.9%
2012+6.9%
2016−7.1%
2020−5.0%
2024−12.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−12.7%
164,962213,831385,520
R
−5.0%
192,589213,042408,726
R
−7.1%
153,403177,643342,524
D
+6.9%
172,151149,902322,053
D
+5.9%
182,092161,517349,111

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D53.6%44.0%4,031,795
2020D57.2%40.9%4,440,440
2018D54.0%42.8%3,169,310
2014D55.8%42.3%1,869,535
2012D58.9%39.4%3,376,649
2008D56.0%42.0%3,482,445
2006D53.4%44.3%2,250,070
2002D53.9%43.9%2,112,604
2000D50.1%47.1%3,015,662
1996D52.7%42.6%2,883,466
1994D50.3%47.0%2,054,887
1990D50.4%47.4%1,938,454
1988D53.6%45.2%2,987,634
1984D64.2%34.9%3,096,456
1982D50.9%47.8%2,193,945
1978D55.3%43.1%1,957,515
1976D60.7%38.0%2,771,390

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
17.5%
Italian
17.3%
German
13.1%
English
7.9%
Polish
4.7%
American
4.1%
Scottish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
81.8%
speak English only
Spanish11.3%
Other Indo-European4.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
29.7%
Other Christian
7.6%
Non-Christian
4.9%
Methodist
3.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Baptist
1.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Atlantic City's casino economy and stretching across South Jersey's coastal and rural townships, NJ-02 has trended consistently toward Republican presidential candidates, posting double-digit margins in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of seven points in 2012 and a Republican high of thirteen points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirteen points.

A population of 1,000,246, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,283 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3402/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, New Jersey voted Republican by 12.7 points (R+13), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 385,520 votes cast, 164,962 went Democratic and 213,831 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, New Jersey's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 2, New Jersey in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 3 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 2, New Jersey last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, New Jersey voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, New Jersey?
Congressional District 2, New Jersey has a population of 1,000,246 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, New Jersey?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, New Jersey is $85,283 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, New Jersey from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.