akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 12·New Jersey

New Jersey 12th Congressional District moved 11 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

One of New Jersey's most Democratic-leaning districts, anchored by Princeton and Trenton

20082024·5 elections
NJ
LatestD+24in 2024
TypologyTexan Rightcluster typology
Population904,3782024 ACS

New Jersey 12th Congressional District: Texan Right district. In 2024, voted D+24%. Democratic peak: D+35 in 2020.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+24MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Texan RightAkashic typology
Population
904,3782024 5-year
Median household income
$113,1902024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
43.8%2024 5-year
Black
12.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
23.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 2020MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
D
WATSON COLEMAN, BonnieCongress 119 · Democratic
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score-0.59 sits at approximately the 20th percentile.0-0.59−1 liberal+1 conservative
WATSON COLEMAN scores -0.59 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: HOLT, Rush (2013–2015), HOLT, Rush (2011–2013), HOLT, Rush (2009–2011), HOLT, Rush (2007–2009)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 12
HarrisD+24
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 12, NJA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 12, NJ, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Somerset County, NJ · D+14Middlesex County, NJ · D+8Mercer County, NJ · D+34Union County, NJ · D+24
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic60.4%198,291
Donald TrumpRepublican36.5%120,060
OtherAll other candidates3.1%10,195
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +23.8% in 2024.+23.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+30.5%
2012+32.8%
2016+31.4%
2020+34.6%
2024+23.8%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+23.8%
198,291120,060328,546
D
+34.6%
236,452114,179353,234
D
+31.4%
197,381100,622307,800
D
+32.8%
188,79895,439284,237
D
+30.5%
196,376103,726303,671

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D53.6%44.0%4,031,795
2020D57.2%40.9%4,440,440
2018D54.0%42.8%3,169,310
2014D55.8%42.3%1,869,535
2012D58.9%39.4%3,376,649
2008D56.0%42.0%3,482,445
2006D53.4%44.3%2,250,070
2002D53.9%43.9%2,112,604
2000D50.1%47.1%3,015,662
1996D52.7%42.6%2,883,466
1994D50.3%47.0%2,054,887
1990D50.4%47.4%1,938,454
1988D53.6%45.2%2,987,634
1984D64.2%34.9%3,096,456
1982D50.9%47.8%2,193,945
1978D55.3%43.1%1,957,515
1976D60.7%38.0%2,771,390

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
10.4%
Irish
8.7%
German
6.4%
Polish
4.9%
English
3.6%
American
2.6%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
57.4%
speak English only
Spanish18.1%
Other Indo-European13.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander8.5%
Other languages2.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
30.4%
Non-Christian
7.9%
Other Christian
4.5%
Baptist
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.3%
Methodist
1.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

NJ-12 blends university towns, state-capital bureaucracy, and dense suburban corridors to produce some of the most consistent Democratic margins in the state, with Joe Biden and Kamala Harris each carrying it by roughly 25 points.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-five points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved eleven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-four points.

A population of 904,378, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $113,190 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 12, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3412/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 12, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 12, New Jersey voted Democratic by 23.8 points (D+24), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 328,546 votes cast, 198,291 went Democratic and 120,060 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 12, New Jersey's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 12, New Jersey in the "Texan Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 12, New Jersey?
Congressional District 12, New Jersey has a population of 904,378 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 12, New Jersey?
Median household income in Congressional District 12, New Jersey is $113,190 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Congressional District 12, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 12, New Jersey from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.