akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·North Carolina

North Carolina 2nd Congressional District delivered D+28 in 2024.

A once reliably blue district now decided by single digits

20082024·5 elections
NC
LatestD+28in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population697,9022024 ACS

North Carolina 2nd Congressional District: Diversifying Metro district. In 2024, voted D+28%. Democratic peak: D+29 in 2020.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+28MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
697,9022024 5-year
Median household income
$105,7682024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.9%2024 5-year
Black
18.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+29 in 2020MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
D
ROSS, Deborah K.Congress 119 · Democratic
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score-0.39 sits at approximately the 31st percentile.0-0.39−1 liberal+1 conservative
ROSS scores -0.39 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: HOLDING, George E.B. (2019–2021), HOLDING, George E.B. (2017–2019), ELLMERS, Renee (2015–2017), ELLMERS, Renee (2013–2015)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 2
HarrisD+28
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic62.8%267,634
Donald TrumpRepublican35.1%149,598
OtherAll other candidates2.1%8,912
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +27.7% in 2024.+27.7%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+13.9%
2012+11.2%
2016+22.0%
2020+28.7%
2024+27.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+27.7%
267,634149,598426,144
D
+28.7%
264,332144,751417,066
D
+22.0%
204,797127,335351,711
D
+11.2%
177,726141,839319,565
D
+13.9%
166,428125,474295,190

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R47.3%50.5%3,773,924
2020R46.9%48.7%5,474,952
2016R45.4%51.1%4,691,133
2014R47.3%48.8%2,915,281
2010R43.0%54.8%2,660,079
2008D52.7%44.2%4,271,970
2004R47.0%51.6%3,472,082
2002R45.0%53.6%2,331,181
1998D51.2%47.0%2,012,143
1996R45.9%52.6%2,556,456
1992R46.3%50.3%2,577,891
1990R47.4%52.5%2,069,585
1986D50.9%49.1%1,534,848
1984R47.8%51.7%2,239,051
1980R49.4%50.0%1,797,665
1978R45.5%54.5%1,135,814

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.7%
German
10.4%
Irish
9.2%
American
5.9%
Italian
4.8%
Scottish
2.6%
Polish
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
80.6%
speak English only
Spanish8.5%
Other Indo-European4.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.4%
Other languages1.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.8%
Other Christian
12.4%
Baptist
9.1%
Methodist
5.5%
Non-Christian
5.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

North Carolina's 2nd anchors the Research Triangle's southern edge, where fast-growing suburban and exurban precincts have steadily compressed margins that once ran well into double digits for Democrats.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-nine points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-eight points.

A population of 697,902, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,768 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3702/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, North Carolina voted Democratic by 27.7 points (D+28), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 426,144 votes cast, 267,634 went Democratic and 149,598 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, North Carolina's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 2, North Carolina in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, North Carolina?
Congressional District 2, North Carolina has a population of 697,902 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, North Carolina?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, North Carolina is $105,768 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, North Carolina from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.