akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 14·Ohio

Ohio 14th Congressional District delivered R+18 in 2024.

A blue-collar exurban corridor where margins have widened each cycle since 2016

20082024·5 elections
OH
LatestR+18in 2024
TypologyFarm Beltcluster typology
Population786,2442024 ACS

Ohio 14th Congressional District: Farm Belt district. In 2024, voted R+18%. Republican peak: R+18 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+18MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Farm BeltAkashic typology
Population
786,2442024 5-year
Median household income
$74,0182024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.9%2024 5-year
Black
5.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+18 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
JOYCE, DavidCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.25 sits at approximately the 63rd percentile.00.25−1 liberal+1 conservative
JOYCE scores 0.25 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: LaTOURETTE, Steven C. (2011–2013), LaTOURETTE, Steven C. (2009–2011), LaTOURETTE, Steven C. (2007–2009), LaTOURETTE, Steven C. (2005–2007)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 14
TrumpR+18
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 14, OHA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 14, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Geauga County, OH · R+24Lake County, OH · R+14Ashtabula County, OH · R+28Portage County, OH · R+15Trumbull County, OH · R+17
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican58.5%236,986
Kamala HarrisDemocratic40.6%164,390
OtherAll other candidates0.8%3,435
D+60
R+60
5 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −17.9% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−17.9%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+7.6%
2012+5.6%
2016−13.6%
2020−14.9%
2024−17.9%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−17.9%
164,390236,986404,811
R
−14.9%
172,797234,487412,835
R
−13.6%
154,449205,887377,096
D
+5.6%
201,636180,364382,000
D
+7.6%
211,724181,398401,298

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R46.5%50.1%5,704,620
2022R46.9%53.0%4,133,342
2018D53.4%46.6%4,410,898
2016R37.2%58.0%5,374,164
2012D50.7%44.7%5,449,018
2010R39.4%56.8%3,815,098
2006D56.2%43.8%4,019,236
2004R36.1%63.8%5,425,823
2000R35.9%59.9%4,448,801
1998R43.5%56.5%3,404,351
1994R39.2%53.4%3,436,884
1992D51.0%42.3%4,793,953
1988D57.0%43.0%4,352,905
1986D62.5%37.5%3,121,189
1982D56.7%41.1%3,395,463
1980D68.8%28.2%4,027,303
1976D49.5%46.5%3,920,613

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
20.7%
Irish
14.4%
English
11.5%
Italian
11.5%
American
8.8%
Polish
5.0%
Scottish
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.0%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.2%
Spanish1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.1%
Other Christian
13.2%
Methodist
3.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.8%
Baptist
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching from Cleveland's southern suburbs into the rural Western Reserve, Ohio's 14th has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade as working-class white voters without college degrees have realigned away from their historic Democratic leanings.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eight points in 2008 and a Republican high of eighteen points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eighteen points.

A population of 786,244, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,018 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 14, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3914/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 14, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 14, Ohio voted Republican by 17.9 points (R+18), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 404,811 votes cast, 164,390 went Democratic and 236,986 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 14, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 14, Ohio in the "Farm Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 3 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 14, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 14, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 14, Ohio?
Congressional District 14, Ohio has a population of 786,244 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 14, Ohio?
Median household income in Congressional District 14, Ohio is $74,018 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Congressional District 14, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 14, Ohio from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.