akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 15·Ohio

Ohio 15th Congressional District delivered R+9 in 2024.

A suburban-to-rural Columbus exurb trending steadily rightward

2008 — 2024·5 elections
OH
LatestR+9in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population1,063,6372024 ACS

Ohio 15th Congressional District: Diversifying Metro district. In 2024, voted R+9%. Republican peak: R+10 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+9MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
1,063,6372024 5-year
Median household income
$74,4032024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.2%2024 5-year
Black
18.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.3%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+10 in 2016MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
CAREY, MikeCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.41 sits at approximately the 70th percentile.00.41−1 liberal+1 conservative
CAREY scores 0.41 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: STIVERS, Steve (2021–2023), STIVERS, Steve (2019–2021), STIVERS, Steve (2017–2019), STIVERS, Steve (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 15
TrumpR+9
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 15, OHA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 15, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Miami County, OH · R+45Fayette County, OH · R+55Madison County, OH · R+43Franklin County, OH · D+28Shelby County, OH · R+65Clark County, OH · R+29
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican53.7%197,565
Kamala HarrisDemocratic44.6%163,947
OtherAll other candidates1.7%6,379
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −9.1% in 2024.−9.1%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−5.5%
2012−4.0%
2016−10.3%
2020−6.8%
2024−9.1%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−9.1%
163,947197,565367,891
R
−6.8%
170,732195,930372,807
R
−10.3%
141,790176,086333,965
R
−4.0%
154,966167,731322,697
R
−5.5%
152,176170,301328,088
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R46.5%50.1%5,704,620
2022R46.9%53.0%4,133,342
2018D53.4%46.6%4,410,898
2016R37.2%58.0%5,374,164
2012D50.7%44.7%5,449,018
2010R39.4%56.8%3,815,098
2006D56.2%43.8%4,019,236
2004R36.1%63.8%5,425,823
2000R35.9%59.9%4,448,801
1998R43.5%56.5%3,404,351
1994R39.2%53.4%3,436,884
1992D51.0%42.3%4,793,953
1988D57.0%43.0%4,352,905
1986D62.5%37.5%3,121,189
1982D56.7%41.1%3,395,463
1980D68.8%28.2%4,027,303
1976D49.5%46.5%3,920,613

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.1%
Irish
11.6%
English
10.7%
American
5.2%
Italian
4.5%
Scottish
1.9%
Polish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
0.9%
1.7%
75–84
2.4%
4.1%
65–74
4.8%
5.7%
55–64
5.9%
5.9%
45–54
5.9%
7.0%
35–44
6.8%
8.1%
25–34
8.0%
4.5%
18–24
4.5%
8.5%
5–17
8.2%
3.2%
<5
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,403
Congressional District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 15$74,403
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.1%
Working age (18–64)12.6%
Seniors (65+)10.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.6%
speak English only
Spanish4.3%
Other languages3.7%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
16.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.4%
Mainline Protestant
4.0%
Baptist
3.9%
Non-Christian
3.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.5%
Methodist
2.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Ohio's 15th stretches from the southwestern fringe of Franklin County into reliably Republican rural territory, producing a 16-point presidential margin in 2024 that reflects the broader realignment of working-class and small-town Ohio away from its historic swing-state identity.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of ten points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nine points.

A population of 1,063,637, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,403 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 15, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3915/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 15, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 15, Ohio voted Republican by 9.1 points (R+9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 367,891 votes cast, 163,947 went Democratic and 197,565 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 15, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 15, Ohio in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 15, Ohio?
Congressional District 15, Ohio has a population of 1,063,637 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 15, Ohio?
Median household income in Congressional District 15, Ohio is $74,403 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Congressional District 15, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 15, Ohio from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.