Akashic
1876–2024
Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District

Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District delivered R+5.2 in 2024.

A competitive central-PA corridor where margins have tightened each cycle

20082024·5 elections
PA
Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District
TrumpR+5.2
2024
2024 presidential margin for Pennsylvania 10th Congressional DistrictThe boundary of Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (R+5.2), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District · R+5.2
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican52.0%214,243
Kamala HarrisDemocratic46.8%192,742
OtherAll other candidates1.1%4,725
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 3 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1876–2024, on its current boundaries.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −5.2% in 2024.−5.2%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−2.3%
2012−7.3%
2016−9.9%
2020−4.1%
2024−5.2%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
R
Scott Perry
U.S. House · PA-10 · Republican
D
John Karl Fetterman
U.S. Senate · Democratic
R
David Harold McCormick
U.S. Senate · Republican

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
46.8%Harris192,742
52.0%Trump214,243
1.1%
−5.2%
411,710
R
47.2%Biden188,614
51.3%Trump205,113
1.4%incl. Jorgensen
−4.1%
399,517
R
42.9%Clinton149,123
52.8%Trump183,619
4.3%incl. Johnson
−9.9%
347,661
R
46.3%Obama147,762
53.7%Romney171,153
0.0%
−7.3%
318,915
R
48.2%Obama161,280
50.5%McCain168,982
1.3%
−2.3%
334,725

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
202410R
49.4%200,434
50.6%205,567
406,001
202210R
46.2%145,215
53.8%169,331
314,546
202010R
46.7%182,938
53.3%208,896
391,834
201810R
48.7%141,668
51.3%149,365
291,033
201610R
29.8%89,823
70.2%211,282
301,105
201410R
24.8%44,737
62.6%112,851
180,322
201210R
34.4%94,227
65.6%179,563
273,790
201010R
44.8%89,846
55.2%110,599
200,445
200810D
56.3%160,837
43.7%124,681
285,518
200610D
52.9%110,115
47.0%97,862
208,173
200410R
0.0%0
92.8%191,967
206,772
200210R
0.0%0
92.6%152,017
164,159
200010R
47.4%112,580
52.6%124,830
237,410
199810R
48.4%83,760
48.7%84,275
173,056
199610R
36.2%75,536
59.8%124,670
208,540
199410R
31.1%50,635
65.7%106,992
162,890
199210R
0.0%0
90.4%189,414
209,548
199010R
0.0%0
100.0%113,490
113,490
198810R
26.8%51,179
73.2%140,096
191,275
198610R
25.3%40,248
74.7%118,603
158,851
198410R
22.9%44,571
77.1%150,166
194,737
198210R
32.5%49,868
67.5%103,617
153,485
198010R
22.7%43,152
76.6%145,703
190,319
197810R
23.5%35,721
76.5%116,003
151,724
197610R
37.4%74,925
62.6%125,218
200,143

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
48.6%3,384,180
48.8%3,399,295
6,963,137
2022D
51.2%2,751,012
46.3%2,487,260
5,368,021
2018D
55.6%2,777,680
42.7%2,134,848
4,994,643
2016R
47.3%2,865,012
48.8%2,951,702
6,051,856
2012D
53.7%3,021,364
44.6%2,509,132
5,627,422
2010R
49.0%1,948,716
51.0%2,028,945
3,977,661
2006D
58.7%2,392,984
41.3%1,684,778
4,077,762
2004R
42.0%2,334,126
52.6%2,925,080
5,558,525
2000R
45.5%2,154,908
52.4%2,481,962
4,735,116
1998R
34.8%1,028,839
61.3%1,814,180
2,957,499
1994R
46.9%1,648,481
49.4%1,735,691
3,513,112
1992R
46.3%2,224,966
49.1%2,358,125
4,802,410
1988R
32.4%1,416,764
66.5%2,901,715
4,366,598
1986R
42.9%1,448,219
56.4%1,906,537
3,378,226
1982R
39.2%1,412,965
59.3%2,136,418
3,604,108
1980R
48.0%2,122,391
50.5%2,230,404
4,418,042
1976R
46.8%2,126,977
52.4%2,381,891
4,546,353

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorPA-10Congressional districtPennsylvaniaStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White73.1%74.5%61.0%
Black10.8%10.7%12.2%
Asian4.6%3.8%6.0%
Two or more races6.8%7.1%12.6%
Other race4.8%3.9%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino9.5%8.7%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$81,964$77,971$84,427
Poverty rate10.0%11.7%12.5%
Median age40.241.239.1
Age 18–248.6%8.9%9.2%
Age 65 and older18.6%19.5%17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)34.2%35.2%35.6%
Speaks a non-English language at home11.8%12.4%22.3%
Spanish5.2%5.6%13.6%
Other Indo-European2.4%1.7%2.0%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryGerman 26.3%German 21.6%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryIrish 11.7%Irish 14.8%Mexican 11.3%
3rd-largest ancestryEnglish 8.5%Italian 10.6%English 9.5%
Religion
Catholic12.4%County context21.9%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant10.1%County context9.3%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed59.1%County context53.1%51.5%
Mainline Protestant12.4%County context10.3%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
German
26.3%
Irish
11.7%
English
8.5%
Italian
6.5%
American
5.5%
Polish
2.8%
Scottish
1.6%
French
1.5%
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries only.
African
0.4%
Nigerian
0.3%
Haitian
0.2%
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Puerto Rican
4.5%
Mexican
1.7%
Dominican
1.2%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Detailed group · ACS B02015
Asian Indian
1.6%
Nepalese
0.8%
Vietnamese
0.5%
Chinese
0.4%
Filipino
0.3%
Bhutanese
0.2%
Korean
0.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
88.2%
speak English only
Spanish5.2%
Other Indo-European2.4%
German or other West Germanic0.7%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.7%
Other languages0.5%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.5%
Vietnamese0.4%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.4%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.3%
Arabic0.3%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.2%
Korean0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
12.4%
Mainline Protestant
12.4%
Evangelical Protestant
10.1%
Black Protestant
1.6%
Other Christian
1.4%
Muslim
0.8%
Hindu
0.8%
Latter-day Saints
0.5%
Jewish
0.4%
Orthodox Christian
0.4%
Other faiths
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted59.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Pennsylvania's 10th stretches across the Cumberland Valley and Harrisburg suburbs, where a growing professional class has gradually compressed what were once comfortable Republican margins into single-digit contests.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 9.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.2 points.

A population of 764,867, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,964 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4210/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District voted Republican by 5.2 points (R+5.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 411,710 votes cast, 192,742 went Democratic and 214,243 went Republican.
What is Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District's political typology?
Akashic places Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District?
Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District has a population of 764,867 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District?
Median household income in Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District is $81,964 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.