Akashic
1876–2024
Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District

Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District delivered D+19.1 in 2024.

One of Pennsylvania's most Republican-leaning congressional districts

20082024·5 elections
PA
Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District
HarrisD+19.1
2024
2024 presidential margin for Pennsylvania 12th Congressional DistrictThe boundary of Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (D+19.1), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District · D+19.1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic58.9%253,629
Donald TrumpRepublican39.8%171,372
OtherAll other candidates1.3%5,534
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 2 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1876–2024, on its current boundaries.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +19.1% in 2024.+19.1%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+19.5%
2012+19.2%
2016+17.5%
2020+19.9%
2024+19.1%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
D
Summer Lee
U.S. House · PA-12 · Democratic
D
John Karl Fetterman
U.S. Senate · Democratic
R
David Harold McCormick
U.S. Senate · Republican

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
58.9%Harris253,629
39.8%Trump171,372
1.3%
+19.1%
430,535
D
59.4%Biden255,236
39.5%Trump169,584
1.1%incl. Jorgensen
+19.9%
429,578
D
57.1%Clinton225,087
39.6%Trump156,154
3.3%incl. Johnson
+17.5%
394,255
D
59.6%Obama222,549
40.4%Romney150,803
0.0%
+19.2%
373,352
D
59.1%Obama237,141
39.7%McCain159,084
1.2%
+19.5%
401,067

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
202412D
56.4%234,802
43.6%181,426
416,228
202212D
56.2%184,674
43.8%143,946
328,620
202012R
29.2%99,199
70.8%241,035
340,234
201812R
34.0%82,825
66.0%161,047
243,872
201612R
38.2%137,353
61.8%221,851
359,204
201412R
40.7%87,928
59.3%127,993
215,921
201212R
48.3%163,589
51.7%175,352
338,941
201012D
50.8%94,056
49.2%91,170
185,226
200812D
57.9%155,268
42.1%113,120
268,388
200612D
60.8%123,472
39.2%79,612
203,163
200412D
100.0%204,504
0.0%0
204,504
200212D
73.5%124,201
26.5%44,818
169,028
200012D
70.8%145,538
27.5%56,575
205,437
199812D
68.5%100,528
31.5%46,239
146,780
199612D
70.0%136,815
30.0%58,643
195,481
199412D
68.9%117,825
31.1%53,147
171,005
199212D
100.0%166,916
0.0%0
166,916
199012D
61.7%80,686
38.3%50,007
130,693
198812D
100.0%133,081
0.0%0
133,081
198612D
67.4%97,135
32.6%46,937
144,072
198412D
69.1%134,384
29.5%57,446
194,494
198212D
61.1%96,369
34.4%54,212
157,640
198012D
59.4%106,750
40.6%72,999
179,749
197812D
68.7%104,216
31.3%47,442
151,658
197612D
67.7%122,504
32.3%58,489
180,993

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
48.6%3,384,180
48.8%3,399,295
6,963,137
2022D
51.2%2,751,012
46.3%2,487,260
5,368,021
2018D
55.6%2,777,680
42.7%2,134,848
4,994,643
2016R
47.3%2,865,012
48.8%2,951,702
6,051,856
2012D
53.7%3,021,364
44.6%2,509,132
5,627,422
2010R
49.0%1,948,716
51.0%2,028,945
3,977,661
2006D
58.7%2,392,984
41.3%1,684,778
4,077,762
2004R
42.0%2,334,126
52.6%2,925,080
5,558,525
2000R
45.5%2,154,908
52.4%2,481,962
4,735,116
1998R
34.8%1,028,839
61.3%1,814,180
2,957,499
1994R
46.9%1,648,481
49.4%1,735,691
3,513,112
1992R
46.3%2,224,966
49.1%2,358,125
4,802,410
1988R
32.4%1,416,764
66.5%2,901,715
4,366,598
1986R
42.9%1,448,219
56.4%1,906,537
3,378,226
1982R
39.2%1,412,965
59.3%2,136,418
3,604,108
1980R
48.0%2,122,391
50.5%2,230,404
4,418,042
1976R
46.8%2,126,977
52.4%2,381,891
4,546,353

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorPA-12Congressional districtPennsylvaniaStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White73.6%74.5%61.0%
Black15.3%10.7%12.2%
Asian4.5%3.8%6.0%
Two or more races5.2%7.1%12.6%
Other race1.4%3.9%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino2.8%8.7%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$71,986$77,971$84,427
Poverty rate14.0%11.7%12.5%
Median age39.541.239.1
Age 18–248.5%8.9%9.2%
Age 65 and older20.6%19.5%17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)44.5%35.2%35.6%
Speaks a non-English language at home7.9%12.4%22.3%
Other Indo-European1.9%1.7%2.0%
Spanish1.8%5.6%13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island1.0%0.7%1.1%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryGerman 22.8%German 21.6%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryIrish 16.8%Irish 14.8%Mexican 11.3%
3rd-largest ancestryItalian 14.8%Italian 10.6%English 9.5%
Religion
Catholic35.7%County context21.9%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant7.6%County context9.3%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed40.1%County context53.1%51.5%
Mainline Protestant9.1%County context10.3%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
German
22.8%
Irish
16.8%
Italian
14.8%
English
8.6%
Polish
7.7%
Slovak
2.9%
American
2.8%
Scottish
1.8%
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries only.
African
0.4%
Jamaican
0.3%
Nigerian
0.2%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
Detailed group · ACS B02015
Asian Indian
1.6%
Chinese
0.9%
Filipino
0.2%
Vietnamese
0.2%
Korean
0.2%
Nepalese
0.2%
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Mexican
0.9%
Puerto Rican
0.6%
Dominican
0.2%
Spanish
0.2%
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.1%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.9%
Spanish1.8%
Other Asian & Pacific Island1.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.8%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.4%
Arabic0.4%
Other languages0.4%
German or other West Germanic0.3%
Korean0.2%
Vietnamese0.1%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
35.7%
Mainline Protestant
9.1%
Evangelical Protestant
7.6%
Hindu
2.0%
Black Protestant
1.7%
Jewish
1.0%
Muslim
0.9%
Orthodox Christian
0.7%
Other Christian
0.6%
Latter-day Saints
0.4%
Buddhist
0.2%
Other faiths
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted40.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Anchored in rural south-central Pennsylvania, the district delivered a 37-point presidential margin in 2024, making it among the most lopsided congressional territories in the state and a reliable baseline for tracking GOP turnout patterns.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.9 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.1 points.

A population of 764,957, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,986 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4212/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District voted Democratic by 19.1 points (D+19.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 430,535 votes cast, 253,629 went Democratic and 171,372 went Republican.
What is Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District's political typology?
Akashic places Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District?
Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District has a population of 764,957 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District?
Median household income in Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District is $71,986 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.